Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 23 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Tynecastle 18,717 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
  • Assistant 1 David McGeachie
  • Assistant 2 Douglas Ross
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
16 Dec Celtic FC A 2–0 W
09 Dec Aberdeen FC A 1–2 L
06 Dec Rangers FC H 0–1 L
02 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov St. Johnstone FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
16 Dec Motherwell FC H 0–0 D
09 Dec Ross County FC H 2–0 W
06 Dec St. Johnstone FC A 0–1 L
03 Dec Rangers FC A 0–2 L
28 Nov Ross County FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC St. Mirren FC
#1 Position #10
70 Points 30
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 9 / 17
58 Scored 27
28 Conceded 48
+30 GD -21
2.12 PPG 0.91
64% Win % 21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.49 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 67% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC64% Draw24% St. Mirren FC12%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
88%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
36%
Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC44% Draw48% St. Mirren FC8%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
18.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13%
1 – 1
9.8%
3 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 1
4.4%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
2.1%
4 – 1
2.1%
2 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 21% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 27% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
61%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.