Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Brad Lyons 19' 1–0
1–1 31' Kyle Magennis og

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Gordon Crawford
  • Assistant 2 Stuart Stevenson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
23 Sep Dundee FC A 2–2 D
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Sep Ross County FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
13 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
16 Sep Motherwell FC A 1–0 W
02 Sep Livingston FC A 1–1 D
27 Aug Aberdeen FC H 2–2 D
12 Aug Dundee FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#12 Position #2
0 Points 6
2 Played 2
0 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 0
4 Scored 3
9 Conceded 0
-5 GD +3
0.00 PPG 3.00
0% Win % 100%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
100% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). St. Mirren FC are 2nd (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Kilmarnock FC to score. At the same time, St. Mirren FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and St. Mirren FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 19' Brilliant from the ! Brad Lyons makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 19.
  • 24' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Danny Armstrong, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 31' Brilliant from the ! Kyle Magennis makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 31.
  • 34' The whistle greets Kyle Magennis as he departs to be replaced by David Watson.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 44' St. Mirren FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Innes Cameron will be fuming at that decision.
  • 50' Will Dennis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for St. Mirren FC so far.
  • 55' Keanu Baccus is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
  • 60' St. Mirren FC have won 283 goals from 290 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 64' Another change for St. Mirren FC made on 64 minute. Conor McMenamin leaves to be changed by Thierry Small.
  • 67' Andrew Dallas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Innes Cameron at the 67 minute mark.
  • 70' A tactical swap from St. Mirren FCToyosi Olusanya on, Mikael Mandron off on 70 minutes.
  • 72' Ryan Strain is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 77' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FCLiam Polworth on, Brad Lyons off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Alex Greive. He replaces Greg Kiltie on 83 minute.
  • 85' The referee has no hesitation. Toyosi Olusanya is booked for St. Mirren FC — card on 85.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for David Watson.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.52 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.82 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: St. Mirren FC to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC15% Draw17% St. Mirren FC68%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
32%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
85%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC5% Draw33% St. Mirren FC62%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
14.3%
0 – 3
12.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
0 – 4
9%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 3
6.7%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 5
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 4
4.8%
1 – 5
2.8%
0 – 6
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 3% 96%
-0.5 4% 96%
+0.5 17% 83%
+1 17% 19% 64%
+1.5 36% 64%
+2 36% 22% 42%
+2.5 58% 42%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
7%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
60%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.