Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Brad Lyons 19' 1–0
1–1 31' Kyle Magennis og

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Gordon Crawford
  • Assistant 2 Stuart Stevenson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
23 Sep Dundee FC A 2–2 D
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Sep Ross County FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
13 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
16 Sep Motherwell FC A 1–0 W
02 Sep Livingston FC A 1–1 D
27 Aug Aberdeen FC H 2–2 D
12 Aug Dundee FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#11 Position #10
28 Points 30
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 7 / 9 / 17
37 Scored 27
65 Conceded 48
-28 GD -21
0.85 PPG 0.91
18% Win % 21%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kilmarnock FC is hosting St. Mirren FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steve Robinson will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 19' Brad Lyons is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 24' Supporters expect more eagerness from Charles Dunne, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 29' Joe Wright has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 235 appearances.
  • 31' What composure from Kyle Magennis! The Scotland international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 34' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Kyle Magennis trudges off to be replaced by David Watson on 34 minutes.
  • 39' Ryan Strain has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Innes Cameron. He receives a card.
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Innes Cameron made 260 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' It’s a booking for St. Mirren FC player. Keanu Baccus gets a card.
  • 60' St. Mirren FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 64' The St. Mirren FC manager makes a substitution. Conor McMenamin departs to be replaced by Thierry Small.
  • 67' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Innes Cameron trudges off to be replaced by Andrew Dallas on 67 minutes.
  • 70' A tactical swap from St. Mirren FCToyosi Olusanya on, Mikael Mandron off on 70 minutes.
  • 72' The referee has no hesitation. Ryan Strain is booked for St. Mirren FC — card on 72.
  • 77' St. Mirren FC have won 281 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 78' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Brad Lyons trudges off to be replaced by Liam Polworth on 78 minutes.
  • 83' The St. Mirren FC bench stirs into life. Greg Kiltie is withdrawn and Alex Greive gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Toyosi Olusanya is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! David Watson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • It finishes all square. Kilmarnock FC and St. Mirren FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC38% Draw30% St. Mirren FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
68%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
62%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC26% Draw51% St. Mirren FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
34%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.