Saturday , 14 November 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Brad Lyons 19' 1–0
1–1 31' Kyle Magennis og

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Gordon Crawford
  • Assistant 2 Stuart Stevenson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
23 Sep Dundee FC A 2–2 D
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Sep Ross County FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
13 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
16 Sep Motherwell FC A 1–0 W
02 Sep Livingston FC A 1–1 D
27 Aug Aberdeen FC H 2–2 D
12 Aug Dundee FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#12 Position #8
9 Points 14
13 Played 13
2 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 7
13 Scored 12
29 Conceded 22
-16 GD -10
0.69 PPG 1.08
15% Win % 31%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). St. Mirren FC are 8th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
Greg Kiltie 3 G
Joe Hugill 2 G 2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G
St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G 2 A
Eseosa Sule 2 G 1 A
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kilmarnock FC is hosting St. Mirren FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering St. Mirren FC that had 302 games and scored 292 goals.
  • 15' St. Mirren FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 19' Brad Lyons makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Kilmarnock FC are in front.
  • 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 29' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 31' Kyle Magennis does the damage! The net is bulging and Kilmarnock FC surge ahead!
  • 34' David Watson is replacing Kyle Magennis for the Kilmarnock FC side.
  • 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Innes Cameron.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' Keanu Baccus is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
  • 60' Innes Cameron has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 64' The whistle greets Conor McMenamin as he departs to be replaced by Thierry Small.
  • 67' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Innes Cameron departs to be replaced by Andrew Dallas.
  • 70' Fresh legs for St. Mirren FC! Toyosi Olusanya comes on to replace Mikael Mandron.
  • 72' The referee shows St. Mirren FC player a card on 72.
  • 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 78' Another substitution for Kilmarnock FC to replace Brad Lyons by Liam Polworth on 78 minute.
  • 83' The whistle greets Greg Kiltie as he departs to be replaced by Alex Greive.
  • 85' A moment of madness from Toyosi Olusanya on 85 minutes earns him a card. St. Mirren FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' A moment of madness from David Watson on 90 minutes earns him a card. Kilmarnock FC will be frustrated.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC36% Draw30% St. Mirren FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
66%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
64%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC25% Draw50% St. Mirren FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.