Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Brad Lyons 19' 1–0
1–1 31' Kyle Magennis og

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Gordon Crawford
  • Assistant 2 Stuart Stevenson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
23 Sep Dundee FC A 2–2 D
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Sep Ross County FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
13 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
16 Sep Motherwell FC A 1–0 W
02 Sep Livingston FC A 1–1 D
27 Aug Aberdeen FC H 2–2 D
12 Aug Dundee FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#12 Position #5
5 Points 10
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
6 Scored 8
15 Conceded 9
-9 GD -1
0.71 PPG 1.43
14% Win % 43%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keanu Baccus suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 19' Brad Lyons makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Kilmarnock FC are in front.
  • 24' Innes Cameron has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' St. Mirren FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' The deadlock is broken! Kyle Magennis gets on the scoresheet on 31 minutes.
  • 34' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Watson is hanging Kyle Magennis on the field on 34 minute.
  • 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 44' Kyle Vassell, a Northern Ireland , has 12 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Innes Cameron on 45.
  • 50' St. Mirren FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 55' Keanu Baccus was booked on 55.
  • 60' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 64' Time for substitution for St. Mirren FC. Conor McMenamin is replaced by Thierry Small.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Innes Cameron as he leaves the pitch. Andrew Dallas steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
  • 70' St. Mirren FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Toyosi Olusanya is hanging Mikael Mandron on the field on 70 minute.
  • 72' It’s gonna be a card for Ryan Strain.
  • 77' Kilmarnock FC have won 275 goals from 265 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 78' Liam Polworth gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Brad Lyons and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Alex Greive is replacing Greg Kiltie for the St. Mirren FC side.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Toyosi Olusanya on 85.
  • 90' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 90.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC30% Draw29% St. Mirren FC41%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
59%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
70%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC19% Draw49% St. Mirren FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 23% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.