Sunday , 16 August 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 2 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Rugby Park 5,915 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Will Dennis og

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Chris Rae (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Colin Drummond (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov Ross County FC A 0–0 D
11 Nov Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
04 Nov Motherwell FC H 1–0 W
01 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 1–2 L
29 Oct Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov St. Johnstone FC H 1–0 W
11 Nov Motherwell FC A 2–1 W
01 Nov Livingston FC H 1–0 W
29 Oct Rangers FC A 1–2 L
22 Oct Celtic FC H 1–4 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #4
0 Points 3
2 Played 2
0 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
4 Scored 5
9 Conceded 2
-5 GD +3
0.00 PPG 1.50
0% Win % 50%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Kilmarnock FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Heart of Midlothian FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 18' Will Dennis has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Toby Sibbick is ready to make an impact after coming on for Liam Boyce at the 30 minute mark.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' The travelling Heart of Midlothian FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' Will Dennis picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' David Watson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Kyosuke Tagawa. He replaces Yutaro Oda on 64 minute.
  • 68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for David Watson on 68 minutes.
  • 70' Matty Kennedy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Robbie Deas on 70 minute.
  • 75' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 79' Calem Nieuwenhof picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 80' The crowd applauds David Watson as he leaves the pitch. Andrew Dallas steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
  • 84' The Heart of Midlothian FC bench stirs into life. Calem Nieuwenhof is withdrawn and Aidan Denholm gets his opportunity.
  • 89' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • Kilmarnock FC will have plenty to reflect on. Heart of Midlothian FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
4.38 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 90% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC14% Draw15% Heart of Midlothian FC71%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 5.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 90%
10%
± 3.5 78%
22%
± 4.5 62%
38%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
29%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
86%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC8% Draw23% Heart of Midlothian FC69%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 4
7.1%
1 – 3
6.7%
1 – 5
6.2%
0 – 4
5.8%
0 – 3
5.5%
0 – 5
5%
1 – 2
4.8%
1 – 6
4.5%
2 – 4
4.5%
2 – 3
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 5
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 4% 94%
-0.5 6% 94%
+0.5 15% 85%
+1 15% 13% 72%
+1.5 28% 72%
+2 28% 17% 54%
+2.5 46% 54%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
2%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.