Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Kilmarnock FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Sat 2 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Rugby Park 5,915 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 18' Will Dennis og

Will Dennis 41' Y

David Watson 68' Y

Y 79' Calem Nieuwenhof

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee David Dickinson
Assistant 1 Chris Rae (Scotland)
Assistant 2 Colin Drummond (Scotland)

7 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	13	31
2	Rangers FC	12	27
3	Falkirk FC	13	21
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	12	20
5	Dundee FC	12	17
6	Dundee United FC	12	17
7	St. Johnstone FC	13	17
8	St. Mirren FC	13	14
9	Motherwell FC	13	13
10	Hibernian FC	12	11
11	Aberdeen FC	12	11
12	Kilmarnock FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Kilmarnock FC 22 games · Avg 2.1 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-12-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-08-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–0 Kilmarnock FC 2023-04-01 Kilmarnock FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC 2022-10-09 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Dec	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	0–1	L
25 Nov	Ross County FC	A	0–0	D
11 Nov	Hibernian FC	A	0–1	L
04 Nov	Motherwell FC	H	1–0	W
01 Nov	St. Johnstone FC	A	1–2	L
29 Oct	Aberdeen FC	H	2–0	W

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Dec	Kilmarnock FC	A	1–0	W
25 Nov	St. Johnstone FC	H	1–0	W
11 Nov	Motherwell FC	A	2–1	W
01 Nov	Livingston FC	H	1–0	W
29 Oct	Rangers FC	A	1–2	L
22 Oct	Celtic FC	H	1–4	L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#12	Position	#4
9	Points	20
13	Played	12
2 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 2 / 4
13	Scored	26
29	Conceded	22
-16	GD	+4
0.69	PPG	1.67
15%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

1/4

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/3

61-75

2/3

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/4

16-30

3/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

6/4

61-75

3/1

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC

Greg Kiltie	3 G
Joe Hugill	2 G	2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G

Heart of Midlothian FC

Claudio Braga	6 G	2 A
Calvin Miller	5 G	1 A
James Wilson	3 G
Laurent Mendy	3 G
Joshua McPake	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Kilmarnock FC is hosting Heart of Midlothian FC for another epic battle.
5' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
10' Kilmarnock FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
15' Calem Nieuwenhof has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
18' What composure from Will Dennis! The England international strokes it home. 1-0.
23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steven Naismith will be considering his options from the bench.
28' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Heart of Midlothian FC's 3-5-2 shape.
30' A change in the Heart of Midlothian FC ranks — Liam Boyce exits the field as Toby Sibbick enters on 30.
35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Liam Boyce, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
41' Controversy at the stadium! Will Dennis argues furiously but the card stands.
46' Heart of Midlothian FC have won 349 goals from 319 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
51' Kyosuke Tagawa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
56' The 31-year-old Stuart Findlay has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
61' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Frankie Kent has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
64' The whistle greets Yutaro Oda as he departs to be replaced by Kyosuke Tagawa.
68' David Watson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
70' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Robbie Deas trudges off to be replaced by Matty Kennedy on 70 minutes.
75' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Heart of Midlothian FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
79' Heart of Midlothian FC player sees a card in front of him.
80' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Andrew Dallas comes on to replace David Watson.
84' Aidan Denholm is ready to make an impact after coming on for Calem Nieuwenhof at the 84 minute mark.
89' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
The points are shared — Kilmarnock FC 0-1 Heart of Midlothian FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Steven Naismith

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Chris Burke	4
Lawrence Shankland	3
Sean Clare	2
Stuart Findlay	2
Danny Armstrong	2
Eamonn Brophy	2
Stephen Kingsley	2
Uche Ikpeazu	1

Head to Head

Kilmarnock FC Form

2023-12-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-11-25 Ross County FC 0–0 Kilmarnock FC D 2023-11-11 Hibernian FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2023-11-04 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Motherwell FC W 2023-11-01 St. Johnstone FC 2–1 Kilmarnock FC L 2023-10-29 Kilmarnock FC 2–0 Aberdeen FC W

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2023-12-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-11-25 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 St. Johnstone FC W 2023-11-11 Motherwell FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-11-01 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Livingston FC W 2023-10-29 Rangers FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-10-22 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–4 Celtic FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.19 Kilmarnock FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.19 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC23% Draw24% Heart of Midlothian FC53%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw

48%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

77%

Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kilmarnock FC17% Draw40% Heart of Midlothian FC43%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

8.2%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

6.8%

0 – 3

5.8%

2 – 2

5.5%

2 – 1

5.1%

0 – 0

4.8%

2 – 3

4.1%

1 – 4

3.8%

1 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap	Kilmarnock FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	11%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	41%	—	59%
+1	41%	22%	37%
+1.5	63%	—	37%
+2	63%	18%	19%
+2.5	81%	—	19%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.