Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 2 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Rugby Park 5,915 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Will Dennis og

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Chris Rae (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Colin Drummond (Scotland)
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov Ross County FC A 0–0 D
11 Nov Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
04 Nov Motherwell FC H 1–0 W
01 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 1–2 L
29 Oct Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov St. Johnstone FC H 1–0 W
11 Nov Motherwell FC A 2–1 W
01 Nov Livingston FC H 1–0 W
29 Oct Rangers FC A 1–2 L
22 Oct Celtic FC H 1–4 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #3
5 Points 13
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 2
6 Scored 14
15 Conceded 8
-9 GD +6
0.71 PPG 1.86
14% Win % 57%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Kilmarnock FC host Heart of Midlothian FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alex Cochrane, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Kilmarnock FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 18' A stunning finish from Will Dennis — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 23' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
  • 28' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' A tactical swap from Heart of Midlothian FC — Toby Sibbick on, Liam Boyce off on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Heart of Midlothian FC is showing some good football. However, Heart of Midlothian FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steven Naismith will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 41' Will Dennis catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 41.
  • 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Donnelly made 298 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 51' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 61' Beni Baningime is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heart of Midlothian FC tonight.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Kyosuke Tagawa. He replaces Yutaro Oda on 64 minute.
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for David Watson.
  • 70' Matty Kennedy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Robbie Deas at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 79' A moment of madness from Calem Nieuwenhof on 79 minutes earns him a card. Heart of Midlothian FC will be frustrated.
  • 80' The whistle greets David Watson as he departs to be replaced by Andrew Dallas.
  • 84' Aidan Denholm is ready to make an impact after coming on for Calem Nieuwenhof at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • The points are shared — Kilmarnock FC 0-1 Heart of Midlothian FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.89 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC19% Draw24% Heart of Midlothian FC57%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
43%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
81%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC12% Draw41% Heart of Midlothian FC47%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.9%
1 – 1
9.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 3
7.7%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 0
6.2%
0 – 4
4.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 1
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 9% 87%
-0.5 13% — 87%
+0.5 35% — 65%
+1 35% 23% 43%
+1.5 57% — 43%
+2 57% 20% 23%
+2.5 77% — 23%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.