Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 10 Dec 2023 · 12:00 UTC Rugby Park 7,706 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 33' Matt O'Riley
Nathaniel Phillips og 75' 1–1
Matty Kennedy 87' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Munro
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
  • Assistant 2 Sean Carr

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Celtic FC H 2–1 W
06 Dec Aberdeen FC A 1–0 W
02 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov Ross County FC A 0–0 D
11 Nov Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
04 Nov Motherwell FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 1–2 L
06 Dec Hibernian FC H 4–1 W
03 Dec St. Johnstone FC A 3–1 W
28 Nov SS Lazio A 0–2 L
25 Nov Motherwell FC H 1–1 D
12 Nov Aberdeen FC H 6–0 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Celtic FC
#11 Position #3
28 Points 67
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 21 / 4 / 8
37 Scored 59
65 Conceded 35
-28 GD +24
0.85 PPG 2.03
18% Win % 64%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Celtic FC are 3rd (67 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Kilmarnock FC welcome Celtic FC for this crunch clash at Rugby Park.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Brendan Rodgers will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Celtic FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Joe Hart has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Corrie Ndaba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 25' Kyle Vassell has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 357 appearances.
  • 30' Celtic FC is showing some good football. However, Celtic FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 33' What composure from Matt O'Riley! The Denmark international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 38' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 41' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Brad Lyons gets a card.
  • 46' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Celtic FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' It looks surprising Celtic FC does not make any changes. Matty Kennedy has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 66' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 66 minute. Liam Donnelly leaves to be changed by Marley Watkins.
  • 69' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Robbie Deas will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' Hyun-jun Yang is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mikey Johnston at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' Goal! Nathaniel Phillips scores his 5 goal in 438 matches.
  • 76' Another substitution for Celtic FC to replace Tomoki Iwata by Kyogo Furuhashi on 76 minute.
  • 79' Danny Armstrong catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
  • 83' It’s gonna be a card for Alistair Johnston.
  • 84' Another change for Celtic FC made on 84 minute. Luis Palma leaves to be changed by James Forrest.
  • 87' A goal from the Northern Ireland international Matty Kennedy! He fires home on 87 to make it 1-2!
  • 90' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Kyle Vassell is withdrawn and Rory McKenzie gets his opportunity.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Celtic FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 Celtic FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC26% Draw23% Celtic FC51%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Celtic FC
74%
Kilmarnock FC or Celtic FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC16% Draw40% Celtic FC44%
Actual: Celtic FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.8%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Celtic FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% 20%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Celtic FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.