Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 10 Dec 2023 · 12:00 UTC Rugby Park 7,706 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 33' Matt O'Riley
Nathaniel Phillips og 75' 1–1
Matty Kennedy 87' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Munro
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
  • Assistant 2 Sean Carr

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Celtic FC H 2–1 W
06 Dec Aberdeen FC A 1–0 W
02 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov Ross County FC A 0–0 D
11 Nov Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
04 Nov Motherwell FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 1–2 L
06 Dec Hibernian FC H 4–1 W
03 Dec St. Johnstone FC A 3–1 W
28 Nov SS Lazio A 0–2 L
25 Nov Motherwell FC H 1–1 D
12 Nov Aberdeen FC H 6–0 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Celtic FC
#12 Position #1
5 Points 18
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 1
6 Scored 14
15 Conceded 4
-9 GD +10
0.71 PPG 2.57
14% Win % 86%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
Celtic FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Celtic FC are 1st (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Celtic FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Rugby Park as Kilmarnock FC face off against Celtic FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Liam Polworth has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Ireland international Mikey Johnston has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Celtic FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 33' GOAL! Matt O'Riley scores on 33.
  • 38' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Celtic FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 41' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Brad Lyons gets a card.
  • 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lewis Mayo made 406 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tomoki Iwata, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' Celtic FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 66' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Liam Donnelly has done his job and it is now time for Marley Watkins to step up.
  • 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Robbie Deas.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Celtic FC team. Mikey Johnston is replaced by Hyun-jun Yang on 70 minute.
  • 75' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nathaniel Phillips makes it 0-2.
  • 76' The whistle greets Tomoki Iwata as he departs to be replaced by Kyogo Furuhashi.
  • 79' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 79.
  • 83' The referee has no hesitation. Alistair Johnston is booked for Celtic FC — card on 83.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Luis Palma as he leaves the pitch. James Forrest steps in for Celtic FC.
  • 87' GOAL! Matty Kennedy fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 90' The crowd applauds Kyle Vassell as he leaves the pitch. Rory McKenzie steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
  • Another three points for Kilmarnock FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.83 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.56 Celtic FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Celtic FC to win 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC20% Draw20% Celtic FC60%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
40%
Draw or Celtic FC
80%
Kilmarnock FC or Celtic FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC10% Draw36% Celtic FC54%
Actual: Celtic FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–1 not predicted
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
11.1%
0 – 3
9.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
7.5%
0 – 4
5.8%
1 – 4
4.9%
0 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 3
3.2%
0 – 5
3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Celtic FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 6% 91%
-0.5 9% — 91%
+0.5 27% — 73%
+1 27% 21% 52%
+1.5 48% — 52%
+2 48% 21% 31%
+2.5 69% — 31%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Celtic FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.