Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Celtic FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Celtic FC 7 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Munro
- Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
- Assistant 2 Sean Carr
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Celtic FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | Aberdeen FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Dec | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Ross County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Nov | Hibernian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Nov | Motherwell FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Dec | Hibernian FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Dec | St. Johnstone FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | SS Lazio | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Nov | Motherwell FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | Aberdeen FC | H | 6–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Celtic FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 5 | Points | 18 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 1 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 1 |
| 6 | Scored | 14 |
| 15 | Conceded | 4 |
| -9 | GD | +10 |
| 0.71 | PPG | 2.57 |
| 14% | Win % | 86% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Celtic FC this season
Celtic FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Celtic FC are 1st (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Celtic FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Celtic FC
| Benjamin Nygren | 3 G | 3 A |
| Camilo Duran | 3 G | 3 A |
| Kasper Hogh | 3 G | |
| Hyun-jun Yang | 2 G | |
| Luke McCowan | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Rugby Park as Kilmarnock FC face off against Celtic FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Liam Polworth has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Ireland international Mikey Johnston has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Celtic FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 33' GOAL! Matt O'Riley scores on 33.
- 38' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Celtic FC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 41' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Brad Lyons gets a card.
- 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lewis Mayo made 406 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tomoki Iwata, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' Celtic FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 66' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Liam Donnelly has done his job and it is now time for Marley Watkins to step up.
- 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Robbie Deas.
- 70' It is a substitution in Celtic FC team. Mikey Johnston is replaced by Hyun-jun Yang on 70 minute.
- 75' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nathaniel Phillips makes it 0-2.
- 76' The whistle greets Tomoki Iwata as he departs to be replaced by Kyogo Furuhashi.
- 79' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 79.
- 83' The referee has no hesitation. Alistair Johnston is booked for Celtic FC — card on 83.
- 84' The crowd applauds Luis Palma as he leaves the pitch. James Forrest steps in for Celtic FC.
- 87' GOAL! Matty Kennedy fires home to make it 1-2!
- 90' The crowd applauds Kyle Vassell as he leaves the pitch. Rory McKenzie steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
- Another three points for Kilmarnock FC.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
9
Kyle Vassell ↓ Rory McKenzie 90'
- 17
-
22
Liam Donnelly ↓ Marley Watkins 66'
- 3
- 31
- 5
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 10
Bench
-
23
Marley Watkins ↑ 66'
- 39
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 90'
- 15
- 20
- 21
- 25
- 14
- 19
Coach
Derek McInnes
Celtic FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 33
- 42
- 3
-
24
Tomoki Iwata ↓ Kyogo Furuhashi 76'
- 6
- 5
- 2
- 19
-
90
Mikey Johnston ↓ Hyun-jun Yang 70'
-
7
Luis Palma ↓ James Forrest 84'
Bench
-
49
James Forrest ↑ 84'
- 29
- 56
-
8
Kyogo Furuhashi ↑ 76'
- 14
- 25
- 17
- 28
-
13
Hyun-jun Yang ↑ 70'
Coach
Brendan Rodgers
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Odsonne Edouard | 7 |
| Matt O'Riley | 6 |
| Kyogo Furuhashi | 5 |
| Reo Hatate | 4 |
| James Forrest | 3 |
| Ryan Christie | 3 |
| Kasper Hogh | 3 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 3 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.83
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.56
Celtic FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Celtic FC to win 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
40%
Draw or Celtic FC
80%
Kilmarnock FC or Celtic FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Celtic FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–1 not predicted2 – 1Actual
0 – 2
11.1%
0 – 3
9.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
7.5%
0 – 4
5.8%
1 – 4
4.9%
0 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 3
3.2%
0 – 5
3%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Celtic FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -0.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| +0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| +1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +2 | 48% | 21% | 31% |
| +2.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Celtic FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

