Monday , 12 October 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 18 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UTC Morumbi

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
08 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
02 Oct Santos FC H 1–2 L
20 Sep SC Internacional H 1–0 W
12 Sep SE Palmeiras A 0–2 L
05 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
09 Oct Coritiba FBC H 4–0 W
20 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 3–1 W
12 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
06 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
30 Aug CA Paranaense A 3–3 D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Fluminense FC
#9 Position #3
39 Points 51
30 Played 30
11 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 14 / 9 / 7
35 Scored 48
35 Conceded 37
+0 GD +11
1.30 PPG 1.70
37% Win % 47%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Sao Paulo FC are 9th (39 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
6/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 5 A
Jefferson Savarino 6 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 5 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A

H2H

Predictions

1.39 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

Sao Paulo FC36% Draw27% Fluminense FC37%

Both Teams to Score

Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.92

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Fluminense FC
64%
Sao Paulo FC or Fluminense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

Sao Paulo FC26% Draw45% Fluminense FC29%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.