Saturday , 17 October 2026

Chapecoense AF vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC Arena Conda HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Leozinho
0–2 29' Luiz Gustavo
0–3 31' Kevin Viveros
Mauricio Garcez 72' 1–3
1–4 78' Kevin Viveros
Marcinho 40' Y
Joao Paulo 45' Y
Y 70' Gilberto

Overview

Match Preview

Chapecoense AF vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at Arena Conda.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–4 L
07 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–4 L
19 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
12 Sep SC Internacional H 1–2 L
06 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
30 Aug Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Oct Chapecoense AF A 4–1 W
08 Oct CA Mineiro H 2–2 D
20 Sep EC Bahia H 2–1 W
12 Sep Coritiba FBC A 3–3 D
06 Sep Cruzeiro EC A 1–3 L
30 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D

Season Stats

Chapecoense AF CA Paranaense
#20 Position #3
18 Points 53
29 Played 30
3 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 15 / 8 / 7
30 Scored 49
61 Conceded 35
-31 GD +14
0.62 PPG 1.77
10% Win % 50%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season
33% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season

Chapecoense AF are 20th (18 pts). CA Paranaense are 3rd (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chapecoense AF
0-15
1/6
16-30
4/11
31-45
4/6
46-60
3/6
61-75
2/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/4
16-30
4/5
31-45
6/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/4
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chapecoense AF
Marcinho 5 G 2 A
Walter Clar 3 G 1 A
CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 21 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G 1 A
Leozinho 5 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: CA Paranaense gets underway.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jadson made 400 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 6' Leozinho makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and CA Paranaense are in front.
  • 11' CA Paranaense has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 16' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 16 minutes.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with CA Paranaense winning 100% of all matches.
  • 26' Chapecoense AF currently sit 20 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 29' A stunning finish from Luiz Gustavo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 31' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kevin Viveros makes it 0-3.
  • 32' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kevin Viveros makes it 0-4.
  • 37' It looks surprising CA Paranaense does not make any changes. Mauricio Garcez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' Marcinho picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 45' Joao Paulo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Chapecoense AF. Dudu is replaced by Eduardo Doma.
  • 51' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Arena Conda. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 61' The travelling CA Paranaense supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 66' Chapecoense AF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Gilberto. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 70' Chapecoense AF make a change. Yago Felipe trudges off to be replaced by David Antunes on 70 minutes.
  • 71' The Chapecoense AF manager makes a substitution. Giovanni Augusto departs to be replaced by Rodrigo.
  • 72' GOAL! Mauricio Garcez scores on 72. Assisted by Yannick Bolasie
  • 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Paranaense needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 78' What composure from Kevin Viveros! The Colombia international strokes it home. 1-5.
  • 83' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Chapecoense AF! Rafael Thyere comes on to replace Kauan Gomes.
  • 88' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Juan Portilla comes on to replace Luiz Gustavo.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CA Paranaense players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 Chapecoense AF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.62 CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chapecoense AF20% Draw22% CA Paranaense58%
Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Chapecoense AF or Draw
42%
Draw or CA Paranaense
80%
Chapecoense AF or CA Paranaense
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Chapecoense AF15% Draw36% CA Paranaense49%
Actual: CA Paranaense win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 3
6.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 4
4.1%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Chapecoense AF

Handicap Chapecoense AF covers Push CA Paranaense covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 9% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 34% — 66%
+1 34% 20% 46%
+1.5 54% — 46%
+2 54% 19% 27%
+2.5 73% — 27%

Clean Sheet

Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.