Monday , 12 October 2026

CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
CA Mineiro
3 – 1
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC ARENA MRV HT 45' · FT 45'
Reinier 61' 1–0
Tomas Cuello 63' 2–0
Vitor Fernandes 81' 3–0
3–1 90' Rodrigo Castillo
Alan Franco 19' Y
Y 52' Otavio
Y 69' Rodrigo Castillo

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 Fluminense FC 30 51
4 CA Paranaense 29 50
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 29 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
10 Coritiba FBC 29 38
11 RB Bragantino 29 37
12 EC Vitoria 30 36
13 Botafogo FR 29 35
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 28 18

Head-to-Head

9
6
8
CA Mineiro 23 games · Avg 3.0 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-09-12 CA Mineiro 3–1 Fluminense FC 2026-03-21 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Mineiro 2025-10-04 Fluminense FC 3–0 CA Mineiro 2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC 2024-09-25 CA Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
05 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
29 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
22 Aug SC Internacional A 0–0 D
16 Aug Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
08 Aug Clube do Remo A 2–2 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
06 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
30 Aug CA Paranaense A 3–3 D
22 Aug Clube do Remo H 2–1 W
15 Aug SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
09 Aug Botafogo FR A 1–1 D

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Fluminense FC
#7 Position #3
47 Points 51
30 Played 30
13 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 14 / 9 / 7
41 Scored 48
35 Conceded 37
+6 GD +11
1.57 PPG 1.70
43% Win % 47%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (47 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/4
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 5 A
Jefferson Savarino 6 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 5 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at ARENA MRV. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 19' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Alan Franco will be fuming at that decision.
  • 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Fluminense FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' Tomas Cuello has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 395 games and scored 428 goals.
  • 49' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 52' Otavio is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
  • 57' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Rodrigo Castillo scoring 1 goals.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Luciano Acosta as he leaves the pitch. Hercules steps in for Fluminense FC.
  • 61' Reinier does the damage! The net is bulging and CA Mineiro surge ahead!
  • 63' A goal from the Argentina international Tomas Cuello! He fires home on 63 to make it 2-0!
  • 65' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Kevin Castano departs to be replaced by Mamady Cisse.
  • 69' Rodrigo Castillo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 69.
  • 70' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 70 minute. Tomas Cuello leaves to be changed by Igor Gomes.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Otavio as he leaves the pitch. Ganso steps in for Fluminense FC.
  • 77' CA Mineiro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 78' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Reinier exits the field as Mateo Cassierra enters on 78.
  • 81' Vitor Fernandes adds to his 1 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 86' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Julio Cesar is replaced by Jemmes on 88 minute.
  • 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Rodrigo Castillo makes it 3-1.
  • With this win, CA Mineiro is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Eduardo Domínguez

Fluminense FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hulk 6
Jhon Arias 3
Kevin Serna 3
Samuel Xavier 3
German Cano 3
Paulinho 2
Eduardo Sasha 2
Eduardo Vargas 2

Head to Head

2026-09-12 CA Mineiro 3–1 Fluminense FC 2026-03-21 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Mineiro 2025-10-04 Fluminense FC 3–0 CA Mineiro 2025-05-11 CA Mineiro 3–2 Fluminense FC 2024-09-25 CA Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense FC

CA Mineiro Form

2026-09-12 CA Mineiro 3–1 Fluminense FC W 2026-09-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2026-08-29 CA Mineiro 2–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-08-22 SC Internacional 0–0 CA Mineiro D 2026-08-16 CA Mineiro 3–0 Gremio FBPA W 2026-08-08 Clube do Remo 2–2 CA Mineiro D

Fluminense FC Form

2026-09-12 CA Mineiro 3–1 Fluminense FC L 2026-09-06 Fluminense FC 1–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2026-08-30 CA Paranaense 3–3 Fluminense FC D 2026-08-22 Fluminense FC 2–1 Clube do Remo W 2026-08-15 Fluminense FC 3–2 SE Palmeiras W 2026-08-09 Botafogo FR 1–1 Fluminense FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.89 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro50% Draw24% Fluminense FC26%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
74%
Draw or Fluminense FC
50%
CA Mineiro or Fluminense FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro36% Draw42% Fluminense FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.