Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 29 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 29 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 29 | 61 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 29 | 60 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 29 | 50 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 29 | 49 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro EC | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 29 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 29 | 44 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 29 | 42 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 29 | 39 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 29 | 37 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 29 | 36 |
| 12 | EC Vitoria | 29 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo FR | 29 | 35 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 28 | 34 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 29 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 29 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Internacional | 29 | 31 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 29 | 30 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 29 | 24 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 28 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Chapecoense AF | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Mirassol FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Sep | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #12 |
| 36 | Points | 36 |
| 29 | Played | 29 |
| 10 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 13 |
| 33 | Scored | 32 |
| 34 | Conceded | 42 |
| -1 | GD | -10 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 34% | Win % | 34% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Sao Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). EC Vitoria are 12th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
–/11
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
2/2
61-75
7/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 5 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
1.54
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
75%
Draw or EC Vitoria
52%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
35%
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
22%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.