Thursday , 2 July 2026

Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC Loftus Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Derby County FC H 2–3 L
21 Apr Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
18 Apr Millwall FC A 0–2 L
11 Apr Bristol City FC H 0–0 D
06 Apr Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
03 Apr Watford FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–2 W
21 Apr Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
18 Apr Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
11 Apr Southampton FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Queens Park Rangers FC Derby County FC
#15 Position #8
58 Points 69
46 Played 46
16 / 10 / 20 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
61 Scored 67
73 Conceded 59
-12 GD +8
1.26 PPG 1.50
35% Win % 43%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Queens Park Rangers FC are 15th (58 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.58 Queens Park Rangers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Queens Park Rangers FC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Queens Park Rangers FC35% Draw26% Derby County FC39%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Queens Park Rangers FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Derby County FC
65%
Queens Park Rangers FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Queens Park Rangers FC28% Draw43% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC

Handicap Queens Park Rangers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Queens Park Rangers FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.