Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Loftus Road.
- Queens Park Rangers FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Busby
4 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Apr | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Millwall FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Bristol City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Apr | Watford FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Apr | Norwich City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Oxford United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Queens Park Rangers FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #22 |
| 13 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 10 | Scored | 7 |
| 7 | Conceded | 14 |
| +3 | GD | -7 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 38% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Queens Park Rangers FC this season
Queens Park Rangers FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Queens Park Rangers FC are 6th (13 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Queens Park Rangers FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Queens Park Rangers FC
| Ilias Chair | 2 G | 1 A |
| Rumarn Burrell | 2 G | 1 A |
| Koki Saito | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Queens Park Rangers FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Jonathan Varane has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 13' The deadlock is broken! Harvey Vale gets on the scoresheet on 13 minutes.
- 18' The home supporters are growing impatient. Queens Park Rangers FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 23' Rhys Norrington-Davies needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 25' A goal from the Denmark international Oscar Fraulo! He fires home on 25 to make it 1-1!
- 30' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Loftus Road. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' Craig Forsyth has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 393 appearances.
- 45' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 46' Kealey Adamson is replacing Amadou Salif Mbengue for the Queens Park Rangers FC side.
- 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 54' Poor challenge from Samuel Szmodics. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 55' Against the run of play, Richard Kone has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 60' Queens Park Rangers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Craig Forsyth is hanging Dion Sanderson on the field on 61 minute.
- 62' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Oscar Fraulo is replaced by David Ozoh.
- 63' That is a card for Derby County FC. Sondre Langas will be fuming at that decision.
- 68' Another substitution for Queens Park Rangers FC to replace Richard Kone by Ilias Chair on 68 minute.
- 70' Poor challenge from Rumarn Burrell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 75' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Lewis Travis exits the field as Lars-Jorgen Salvesen enters on 75.
- 76' The deadlock is broken! Sondre Langas gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
- 79' Another substitution for Queens Park Rangers FC to replace Paul Smyth by Koki Saito on 79 minute.
- 81' A moment of madness from Ben Brereton on 81 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 86' The 30-year-old Carlton Morris has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 88' What a moment for Jaydon Banel! That strike on 88 puts his side firmly in control.
- 90' The whistle greets Samuel Szmodics as he departs to be replaced by Danny Batth.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Queens Park Rangers FC 2-3 Derby County FC.
Lineups
Queens Park Rangers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
-
11
Paul Smyth ↓ Koki Saito 79'
- 6
- 1
- 37
- 40
- 27
- 20
-
23
Daniel Bennie ↓ Rumarn Burrell 62'
-
22
Richard Kone ↓ Ilias Chair 68'
-
21
Kieran Morgan ↓ Nicolas Madsen 62'
Bench
- 29
-
10
Ilias Chair ↑ 68'
-
16
Rumarn Burrell ↑ 62'
-
24
Nicolas Madsen ↑ 62'
-
14
Koki Saito ↑ 79'
- 28
- 48
- 26
-
2
Kealey Adamson ↑ 46'
Coach
Julien Stéphan
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 27
- 25
- 23
- 9
-
19
Samuel Szmodics ↓ Danny Batth 90'
-
28
Dion Sanderson ↓ Craig Forsyth 61'
-
29
Oscar Fraulo ↓ David Ozoh 62'
- 1
- 6
-
22
Max Johnston ↓ Jaydon Banel 61'
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 61'
-
4
Danny Batth ↑ 90'
- 31
-
15
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen ↑ 75'
-
34
Jaydon Banel ↑ 61'
-
18
David Ozoh ↑ 62'
- 54
- 44
- 37
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ilias Chair | 3 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 2 |
| Geoff Cameron | 1 |
| Luke Amos | 1 |
| Harry Wilson | 1 |
| Marcus Harness | 1 |
| Curtis Nelson | 1 |
| Eberechi Eze | 1 |
Head to Head
Queens Park Rangers FC Form
2026-04-25
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–3
Derby County FC
L
2026-04-21
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–2
Swansea City AFC
L
2026-04-18
Millwall FC
2–0
Queens Park Rangers FC
L
2026-04-11
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–0
Bristol City FC
D
2026-04-06
Preston North End FC
1–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
D
2026-04-03
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–1
Watford FC
W
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69
Queens Park Rangers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Queens Park Rangers FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
55%
Queens Park Rangers FC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC
| Handicap | Queens Park Rangers FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Queens Park Rangers FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.