Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 11:30 UTC The Den 18,934 HT 45' · FT 45'
Camiel Neghli 17' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Queens Park Rangers FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
  • Assistant 1 George Byrne
  • Assistant 2 Graham Kane

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
10 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Norwich City FC H 1–2 L
03 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 2–1 W
21 Mar Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
14 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Millwall FC A 0–2 L
11 Apr Bristol City FC H 0–0 D
06 Apr Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
03 Apr Watford FC H 2–1 W
21 Mar Portsmouth FC H 6–1 W
14 Mar Leicester City FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Queens Park Rangers FC
#3 Position #15
83 Points 58
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 16 / 10 / 20
64 Scored 61
49 Conceded 73
+15 GD -12
1.80 PPG 1.26
52% Win % 35%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Queens Park Rangers FC are 15th (58 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at The Den. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 3' What a strike from Derek Mazou-Sacko! The score is 1-0.
  • 8' Rumarn Burrell needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 13' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 17' What a strike from Camiel Neghli! The score is 2-0.
  • 19' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ronnie Edwards on 19.
  • 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 29' Queens Park Rangers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Amadou Salif Mbengue was booked on 30.
  • 34' Femi Azeez is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Kieran Morgan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' The whistle greets Paul Smyth as he departs to be replaced by Rumarn Burrell.
  • 51' It’s high time Alex Neil made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' Ilias Chair has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kwame Poku on 60 minute.
  • 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Queens Park Rangers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Thierno Ballo by Tom Watson on 70 minute.
  • 75' Millwall FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Derek Mazou-Sacko scoring 1 goals.
  • 80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Casper De Norre made 263 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Femi Azeez is replaced by Luke Cundle on 86 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Isaac Hayden on 90.
  • 90' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Derek Mazou-Sacko departs to be replaced by Barry Bannan.
  • With this win, Millwall FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.72 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Queens Park Rangers FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC53% Draw25% Queens Park Rangers FC22%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Queens Park Rangers FC
47%
Millwall FC or Queens Park Rangers FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC37% Draw45% Queens Park Rangers FC18%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Queens Park Rangers FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Queens Park Rangers FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.