Thursday , 2 July 2026

Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Fri 14 Feb 2025 · 20:00 UTC Loftus Road 16,591 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ilias Chair 21' 1–0
Koki Saito 35' 2–0
Ilias Chair 57' 3–0
Ronnie Edwards 66' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Loftus Road.

Match Details

  • Referee David Webb
  • Assistant 1 Rob Smith
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Derby County FC H 4–0 W
11 Feb Coventry City FC A 0–1 L
04 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
01 Feb Millwall FC A 1–2 L
25 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–2 L
21 Jan Hull City AFC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Queens Park Rangers FC Derby County FC
#15 Position #8
58 Points 69
46 Played 46
16 / 10 / 20 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
61 Scored 67
73 Conceded 59
-12 GD +8
1.26 PPG 1.50
35% Win % 43%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Queens Park Rangers FC are 15th (58 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Queens Park Rangers FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Loftus Road.
  • 5' Queens Park Rangers FC have won 398 goals from 378 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 21' Against the run of play, Ilias Chair has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 31' Ronnie Edwards needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 35' What composure from Koki Saito! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marti Cifuentes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' Thomas Barkhuizen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lars-Jorgen Salvesen on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 57' The Morocco Ilias Chair breaks the deadlock on 57 minutes. 3-0!
  • 62' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Queens Park Rangers FC. Min-hyuk Yang is replaced by Paul Smyth.
  • 64' Kieran Morgan gets the nod from Queens Park Rangers FC. He replaces Sam Field and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' That looks like a foul for a card for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
  • 66' What a moment for Ronnie Edwards! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 67' Ben Osborn makes way for Kenzo Goudmijn at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 72' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 73' The Queens Park Rangers FC bench stirs into life. Ilias Chair is withdrawn and Nicolas Madsen gets his opportunity.
  • 78' Queens Park Rangers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 78.
  • 83' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 84' Liam Morrison gets the nod from Queens Park Rangers FC. He replaces Steve Cook and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Harrison Armstrong is hanging Ebou Adams on the field on 85 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kayden Jackson on 90.
  • Queens Park Rangers FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82 Queens Park Rangers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Queens Park Rangers FC53% Draw24% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Queens Park Rangers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Queens Park Rangers FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Derby County FC
47%
Queens Park Rangers FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Queens Park Rangers FC36% Draw43% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Queens Park Rangers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC

Handicap Queens Park Rangers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Queens Park Rangers FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.