Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,281 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaydon Banel 22' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FCChampionship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Hristo Karaivanov
  • Assistant 2 Lee Venamore

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
11 Apr Southampton FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
21 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Derby County FC A 0–1 L
11 Apr Watford FC H 2–0 W
06 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
03 Apr Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
21 Mar Southampton FC A 0–2 L
14 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Oxford United FC
#8 Position #22
69 Points 47
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 11 / 14 / 21
67 Scored 45
59 Conceded 59
+8 GD -14
1.50 PPG 1.02
43% Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Pride Park Stadium that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Oxford United FC.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 10' Oxford United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 22' What a strike from Jaydon Banel! The score is 1-0.
  • 26' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 26.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 36' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mark Harris made 22 appearances and scored 32 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 51' It looks surprising Oxford United FC does not make any changes. David Ozoh has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' Oxford United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 62' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Jamie Donley by Jin-woo Jeon on 62 minute.
  • 67' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 67.
  • 70' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Oscar Fraulo is hanging David Ozoh on the field on 70 minute.
  • 71' The whistle greets Dion Sanderson as he departs to be replaced by Sondre Langas.
  • 76' It’s gonna be a card for Samuel Szmodics.
  • 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Cameron Brannagan.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. Yunus Konak is replaced by Mark Harris.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Jaydon Banel is replaced by Max Johnston on 86 minute.
  • 87' Oscar Fraulo was booked on 87.
  • 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Derry Murkin on 88.
  • 89' Will Vaulks is replacing Brodie Spencer for the Oxford United FC side.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Craig Forsyth. He replaces Derry Murkin on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC55% Draw27% Oxford United FC18%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Oxford United FC
45%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw51% Oxford United FC13%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
11.7%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 26% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.