Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 29,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
Curtis Nelson 54' 1–0
Marcus Harness 55' 2–0
Eiran Cashin 38' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee David Webb
  • Assistant 1 Rob Smith
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Bristol City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Derby County FC A 0–2 L
01 Oct Hull City AFC H 1–3 L
28 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–2 L
21 Sep Millwall FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug Luton Town FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Queens Park Rangers FC
#22 Position #6
5 Points 13
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 1
7 Scored 10
14 Conceded 7
-7 GD +3
0.63 PPG 1.63
13% Win % 38%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Queens Park Rangers FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Queens Park Rangers FC are 6th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Queens Park Rangers FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Queens Park Rangers FC
Ilias Chair 2 G 1 A
Rumarn Burrell 2 G 1 A
Koki Saito 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Queens Park Rangers FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Queens Park Rangers FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC38% Draw30% Queens Park Rangers FC32%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Queens Park Rangers FC
62%
Derby County FC or Queens Park Rangers FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC23% Draw53% Queens Park Rangers FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14.2%
0 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
11%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Queens Park Rangers FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Queens Park Rangers FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.