Southampton FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.
- Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 George Byrne
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Apr | Wrexham AFC | A | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | Arsenal FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Norwich City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Southampton FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 80 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 82 | Scored | 67 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| +26 | GD | +8 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 48% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
- 5' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Ryan Manning has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 9' The whistle greets Bobby Clark as he departs to be replaced by Oscar Fraulo.
- 14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Southampton FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 19' Matt Clarke needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daniel Peretz made 43 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 38' Goal! Carlton Morris scores his 67 goal in 329 matches.
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 48' Southampton FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 53' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 53.
- 55' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
- 60' Southampton FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Taylor Harwood-Bellis scoring 1 goals.
- 62' What an equalizer from Leo Scienza!
- 64' Another change for Southampton FC made on 64 minute. Tom Fellows leaves to be changed by Kuryu Matsuki.
- 66' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Owen Eames is hanging Jaydon Banel on the field on 66 minute.
- 67' Craig Forsyth has so much to prove this time. He replaces Max Johnston on 67 minute.
- 69' GOAL! Taylor Harwood-Bellis scores on 69. Assisted by Ryan Manning
- 74' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 75' Samuel Edozie has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leo Scienza on 75 minute.
- 80' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 84' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen is replacing Lewis Travis for the Derby County FC side.
- 87' The whistle greets James Bree as he departs to be replaced by Nathan Wood-Gordon.
- 90' Cyle Larin is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Another three points for Southampton FC.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 4
-
14
James Bree ↓ Nathan Wood-Gordon 87'
- 3
-
11
Ross Stewart ↓ Cyle Larin 64'
- 41
- 6
-
10
Finn Azaz ↓ Shea Charles 75'
-
18
Tom Fellows ↓ Kuryu Matsuki 64'
- 20
-
13
Leo Scienza ↓ Samuel Edozie 75'
Bench
-
15
Nathan Wood-Gordon ↑ 87'
- 25
-
9
Cyle Larin ↑ 64'
- 19
- 34
-
27
Kuryu Matsuki ↑ 64'
-
23
Samuel Edozie ↑ 75'
-
24
Shea Charles ↑ 75'
- 48
Coach
Tonda Eckert
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 12
- 27
- 23
- 9
- 19
- 28
-
42
Bobby Clark ↓ Oscar Fraulo 9'
-
34
Jaydon Banel ↓ Owen Eames 66'
-
18
David Ozoh ↓ Sondre Langas 67'
-
22
Max Johnston ↓ Craig Forsyth 67'
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 67'
- 4
- 31
-
15
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen ↑ 84'
-
29
Oscar Fraulo ↑ 9'
-
6
Sondre Langas ↑ 67'
- 54
- 44
-
37
Owen Eames ↑ 66'
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nathan Redmond | 3 |
| Leo Scienza | 1 |
| Tom Lawrence | 1 |
| Jack Marriott | 1 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Craig Bryson | 1 |
| Harry Wilson | 1 |
| Stuart Armstrong | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
45%
Southampton FC or Derby County FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 22% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.