Saturday , 14 November 2026

Southampton FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Southampton FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC St. Mary's Stadium 31,206 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Carlton Morris
Leo Scienza 62' 1–1
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 69' 2–1
Y 53' Dion Sanderson
Y 55' Oscar Fraulo
Cyle Larin 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 George Byrne
7 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Birmingham City FC 15 29
2 Middlesbrough FC 15 29
3 Stoke City FC 15 29
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 15 28
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 15 28
6 Swansea City AFC 15 26
7 Southampton FC 15 24
8 Queens Park Rangers FC 15 24
9 West Ham United FC 15 23
10 Sheffield United FC 15 22
11 Portsmouth FC 15 22
12 Norwich City FC 15 21
13 Blackburn Rovers FC 15 21
14 Cardiff City FC 15 18
15 Wrexham AFC 15 18
16 Millwall FC 15 18
17 Bristol City FC 15 18
18 Bolton Wanderers FC 15 17
19 Charlton Athletic FC 15 17
20 Watford FC 15 15
21 Lincoln City FC 15 15
22 Burnley FC 15 10
23 Derby County FC 15 10
24 Preston North End FC 15 8

Head-to-Head

1
3
Southampton FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-11 Southampton FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2025-10-04 Derby County FC 1–1 Southampton FC 2019-01-16 Southampton FC 2–2 Derby County FC 2019-01-05 Derby County FC 2–2 Southampton FC

Recent Form

Southampton FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Derby County FC H 2–1 W
07 Apr Wrexham AFC A 5–1 W
04 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
21 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–0 W
18 Mar Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
14 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Southampton FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
21 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
10 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Derby County FC
#7 Position #23
24 Points 10
15 Played 15
8 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
29 Scored 14
15 Conceded 30
+14 GD -16
1.60 PPG 0.67
53% Win % 13%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Southampton FC are 7th (24 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Kuryu Matsuki 4 G 1 A
Finn Azaz 3 G 5 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at St. Mary's Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The 26-year-old Daniel Peretz has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 9' Oscar Fraulo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bobby Clark at the 9 minute mark.
  • 14' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 19' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 24' Carlton Morris has been relatively quiet despite scoring 68 goals in his last 329 appearances.
  • 29' Southampton FC currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' Southampton FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 38' Against the run of play, Carlton Morris has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 43' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 48' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 53' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 55' Oscar Fraulo is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
  • 60' It looks surprising Southampton FC does not make any changes. Ryan Manning has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' The deadlock is broken! Leo Scienza gets on the scoresheet on 62 minutes.
  • 64' Kuryu Matsuki is replacing Tom Fellows for the Southampton FC side.
  • 66' Jaydon Banel makes way for Owen Eames at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 67' Craig Forsyth is ready to make an impact after coming on for Max Johnston at the 67 minute mark.
  • 69' GOAL! Taylor Harwood-Bellis fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Samuel Edozie. He replaces Leo Scienza on 75 minute.
  • 80' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 84' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Lewis Travis is withdrawn and Lars-Jorgen Salvesen gets his opportunity.
  • 87' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace James Bree by Nathan Wood-Gordon on 87 minute.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Cyle Larin.
  • It finishes all square. Southampton FC and Derby County FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

Southampton FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tonda Eckert

Derby County FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nathan Redmond 3
Tom Lawrence 1
Jack Marriott 1
Martyn Waghorn 1
Craig Bryson 1
Harry Wilson 1
Stuart Armstrong 1
Carlton Morris 1

Head to Head

2026-04-11 Southampton FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2025-10-04 Derby County FC 1–1 Southampton FC 2019-01-16 Southampton FC 2–2 Derby County FC 2019-01-05 Derby County FC 2–2 Southampton FC

Southampton FC Form

2026-04-11 Southampton FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2026-04-07 Wrexham AFC 1–5 Southampton FC W 2026-04-04 Southampton FC 2–1 Arsenal FC W 2026-03-21 Southampton FC 2–0 Oxford United FC W 2026-03-18 Southampton FC 1–0 Norwich City FC W 2026-03-14 Coventry City FC 1–2 Southampton FC W

Derby County FC Form

2026-04-11 Southampton FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2026-04-06 Derby County FC 2–0 Stoke City FC W 2026-04-03 Coventry City FC 3–2 Derby County FC L 2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC W 2026-03-16 Portsmouth FC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.42 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Southampton FC to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC67% Draw19% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Derby County FC
33%
Southampton FC or Derby County FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC51% Draw38% Derby County FC11%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
5.1%
4 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 28% — 72%
-2 28% 21% 52%
-1.5 48% — 52%
-1 48% 22% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.