Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Mon 6 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 31,095 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaydon Banel 54' 1–0
Carlton Morris 89' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Ian Cooper
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
21 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
10 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
07 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
03 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
20 Mar Preston North End FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar Watford FC H 3–1 W
10 Mar Ipswich Town FC H 3–3 D
07 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Stoke City FC
#22 Position #7
5 Points 13
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
7 Scored 13
14 Conceded 12
-7 GD +1
0.63 PPG 1.63
13% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Pride Park Stadium!
  • 3' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sydney Agina on 3.
  • 8' Jesurun Rak-Sakyi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 13' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 13.
  • 18' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 23' David Ozoh needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Yellow cards this season.
  • 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John Eustace will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 35 minute. Tomas Rigo leaves to be changed by Joon-ho Bae.
  • 40' Chile international Ben Brereton has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Patrick Agyemang exits the field as Jaydon Banel enters on 41.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Sam Gallagher on, Lamine Cisse off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 54' Brilliant from the forward! Jaydon Banel makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 54.
  • 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 63' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Steven N'Zonzi by Lewis Baker on 63 minute.
  • 68' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 69' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
  • 74' It’s high time Mark Robins made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 78' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 78 minute. Joon-ho Bae leaves to be changed by Milan Smit.
  • 80' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Oscar Fraulo is hanging David Ozoh on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 89' What a moment for Carlton Morris! That strike on 89 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Bobby Clark as he leaves the pitch. Cruz Allen steps in for Derby County FC.
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Stoke City FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC44% Draw27% Stoke City FC29%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Stoke City FC
56%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw47% Stoke City FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9%
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.