Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Mon 6 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 31,095 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaydon Banel 54' 1–0
Carlton Morris 89' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FCChampionship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Ian Cooper
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
21 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
10 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
07 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
03 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
20 Mar Preston North End FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar Watford FC H 3–1 W
10 Mar Ipswich Town FC H 3–3 D
07 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Stoke City FC
#8 Position #17
69 Points 55
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 15 / 10 / 21
67 Scored 51
59 Conceded 56
+8 GD -5
1.50 PPG 1.20
43% Win % 33%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Derby County FC and Stoke City FC is underway.
  • 3' Sydney Agina was booked on 3.
  • 8' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stoke City FC that had 380 games and scored 400 goals.
  • 13' Stoke City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 18' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Richard O'Donnell made 114 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 23' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 28' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Tomas Rigo by Joon-ho Bae on 35 minute.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' The whistle greets Patrick Agyemang as he departs to be replaced by Jaydon Banel.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Lamine Cisse is replaced by Sam Gallagher.
  • 51' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 54' Goal! Jaydon Banel scores his 3 goal in 480 matches.
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 63' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Steven N'Zonzi departs to be replaced by Lewis Baker.
  • 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Million Manhoef, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 69' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 69.
  • 74' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Patrick Agyemang has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 78' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Joon-ho Bae by Milan Smit on 78 minute.
  • 80' The whistle greets David Ozoh as he departs to be replaced by Oscar Fraulo.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Jaydon Banel.
  • 89' Goal! Carlton Morris scores his 67 goal in 329 matches.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Cruz Allen. He replaces Bobby Clark on 90 minute.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Derby County FC and Stoke City FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.66 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC55% Draw26% Stoke City FC19%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Stoke City FC
45%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC38% Draw47% Stoke City FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.