Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Elliot Bell (England)
- Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
- Assistant 2 Ian Cooper
6 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | Watford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 07 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #7 |
| 5 | Points | 13 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 13 |
| 14 | Conceded | 12 |
| -7 | GD | +1 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 13% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Pride Park Stadium!
- 3' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sydney Agina on 3.
- 8' Jesurun Rak-Sakyi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 13' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 13.
- 18' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 23' David Ozoh needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Yellow cards this season.
- 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John Eustace will be considering his options from the bench.
- 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 35 minute. Tomas Rigo leaves to be changed by Joon-ho Bae.
- 40' Chile international Ben Brereton has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 41' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Patrick Agyemang exits the field as Jaydon Banel enters on 41.
- 46' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Sam Gallagher on, Lamine Cisse off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 54' Brilliant from the forward! Jaydon Banel makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 54.
- 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 63' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Steven N'Zonzi by Lewis Baker on 63 minute.
- 68' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 69' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
- 74' It’s high time Mark Robins made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 78' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 78 minute. Joon-ho Bae leaves to be changed by Milan Smit.
- 80' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Oscar Fraulo is hanging David Ozoh on the field on 80 minute.
- 85' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 89' What a moment for Carlton Morris! That strike on 89 puts his side firmly in control.
- 90' The crowd applauds Bobby Clark as he leaves the pitch. Cruz Allen steps in for Derby County FC.
- Another three points for Derby County FC.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 12
- 27
-
25
Ben Brereton ↓ Max Johnston 90'
- 23
- 9
- 28
- 2
-
42
Bobby Clark ↓ Cruz Allen 90'
-
7
Patrick Agyemang ↓ Jaydon Banel 41'
-
18
David Ozoh ↓ Oscar Fraulo 80'
Bench
- 3
-
15
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen ↑ 90'
- 16
-
29
Oscar Fraulo ↑ 80'
-
34
Jaydon Banel ↑ 41'
- 6
-
22
Max Johnston ↑ 90'
-
54
Cruz Allen ↑ 90'
- 52
Coach
John Eustace
Stoke City FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 7
-
15
Steven N'Zonzi ↓ Lewis Baker 63'
- 31
- 17
- 12
-
19
Tomas Rigo ↓ Joon-ho Bae 35'
-
29
Lamine Cisse ↓ Sam Gallagher 46'
- 26
- 18
- 21
-
50
Sydney Agina ↓ Million Manhoef 63'
Bench
- 23
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 46'
- 3
- 4
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 63'
-
42
Million Manhoef ↑ 63'
- 49
- 25
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 35'
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Ince | 3 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Sam Clucas | 1 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Luke Plange | 1 |
| Ben Gibson | 1 |
| Liam Lindsay | 1 |
| Thomas Cannon | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Stoke City FC
56%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9%
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

