Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Elliot Bell (England)
- Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
- Assistant 2 Ian Cooper
3 games this season
🟨 5.3/game
⚽ 17.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Stoke City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | Millwall FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Mar | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | Watford FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 07 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Stoke City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #3 |
| 10 | Points | 29 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 2 / 4 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 4 |
| 14 | Scored | 24 |
| 30 | Conceded | 18 |
| -16 | GD | +6 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.93 |
| 13% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Stoke City FC
| Jack McGlynn | 5 G | 2 A |
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 4 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Stoke City FC gets underway.
- 3' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 3.
- 8' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Lewis Travis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 13' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 18' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 23' Derby County FC currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 28' The 24-year-old Million Manhoef has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 33' Stoke City FC is showing some good football. However, Stoke City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' The Stoke City FC manager makes a substitution. Tomas Rigo departs to be replaced by Joon-ho Bae.
- 40' Stoke City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 41' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Patrick Agyemang is replaced by Jaydon Banel.
- 46' Stoke City FC ring the changes. Lamine Cisse has done his job and it is now time for Sam Gallagher to step up.
- 51' Stoke City FC come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 54' Magnificent from Jaydon Banel! That is 3 goals in 489 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 59' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 63' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Lewis Baker comes on to replace Steven N'Zonzi.
- 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Stoke City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 69' Lewis Travis was booked on 69.
- 74' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 78' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Milan Smit on, Joon-ho Bae off on 78 minutes.
- 80' Oscar Fraulo is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Ozoh at the 80 minute mark.
- 85' The referee calls foul for Jaydon Banel. He receives a card.
- 89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Carlton Morris makes it 2-0.
- 90' The crowd applauds Bobby Clark as he leaves the pitch. Cruz Allen steps in for Derby County FC.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Derby County FC take all three points.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 12
- 27
-
25
Ben Brereton ↓ Max Johnston 90'
- 23
- 9
- 28
- 2
-
42
Bobby Clark ↓ Cruz Allen 90'
-
7
Patrick Agyemang ↓ Jaydon Banel 41'
-
18
David Ozoh ↓ Oscar Fraulo 80'
Bench
- 3
-
15
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen ↑ 90'
- 16
-
29
Oscar Fraulo ↑ 80'
-
34
Jaydon Banel ↑ 41'
- 6
-
22
Max Johnston ↑ 90'
-
54
Cruz Allen ↑ 90'
- 52
Coach
John Eustace
Stoke City FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 7
-
15
Steven N'Zonzi ↓ Lewis Baker 63'
- 31
- 17
- 12
-
19
Tomas Rigo ↓ Joon-ho Bae 35'
-
29
Lamine Cisse ↓ Sam Gallagher 46'
- 26
- 18
- 21
-
50
Sydney Agina ↓ Million Manhoef 63'
Bench
- 23
-
20
Sam Gallagher ↑ 46'
- 3
- 4
-
8
Lewis Baker ↑ 63'
-
42
Million Manhoef ↑ 63'
- 49
- 25
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 35'
Coach
Mark Robins
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Tom Ince | 3 |
| Luke Plange | 1 |
| Ben Gibson | 1 |
| Liam Lindsay | 1 |
| Thomas Cannon | 1 |
| Scott Hogan | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC 73% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Stoke City FC
59%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

