Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Mon 6 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 31,095 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaydon Banel 54' 1–0
Carlton Morris 89' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Ian Cooper
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
21 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
10 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
07 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
03 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
20 Mar Preston North End FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar Watford FC H 3–1 W
10 Mar Ipswich Town FC H 3–3 D
07 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Stoke City FC
#23 Position #3
10 Points 29
15 Played 15
2 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 2 / 4
14 Scored 24
30 Conceded 18
-16 GD +6
0.67 PPG 1.93
13% Win % 60%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Stoke City FC are 3rd (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/3
31-45
4/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Stoke City FC
Jack McGlynn 5 G 2 A
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 4 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Stoke City FC 73% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC41% Draw27% Stoke City FC32%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Stoke City FC
59%
Derby County FC or Stoke City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC26% Draw47% Stoke City FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
1 – 0
8%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✗
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.