Thursday , 2 July 2026

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Carrow Road 25,058 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mohamed Toure 33' 1–0
1–1 54' David Ozoh
Liam Gibbs 60' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
  • Assistant 2 Mark Russell
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Derby County FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Bristol City FC A 4–2 W
11 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
06 Apr Millwall FC A 2–1 W
03 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
21 Mar Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
18 Apr Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
11 Apr Southampton FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
21 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Norwich City FC Derby County FC
#9 Position #8
65 Points 69
46 Played 46
19 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
63 Scored 67
56 Conceded 59
+7 GD +8
1.41 PPG 1.50
41% Win % 43%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Norwich City FC are 9th (65 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Norwich City FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Norwich City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Norwich City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 19' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 19.
  • 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 33' What a strike from Mohamed Toure! The score is 1-0.
  • 38' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 43' Norwich City FC is showing some good football. However, Norwich City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Norwich City FC player. Mohamed Toure gets a card.
  • 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Amankwah Forson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 54' Goal! David Ozoh scores his 2 goal in 322 matches.
  • 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Derby County FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 60' Norwich City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Liam Gibbs on 60.
  • 62' Norwich City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mathias Kvistgaarden is hanging Mohamed Toure on the field on 62 minute.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Jaydon Banel is replaced by Lars-Jorgen Salvesen on 67 minute.
  • 69' Vladan Kovacevic is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
  • 74' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 74 minutes.
  • 75' The whistle greets David Ozoh as he departs to be replaced by Oscar Fraulo.
  • 80' Errol Mundle-Smith has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amankwah Forson on 80 minute.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lewis Travis on 82.
  • 87' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Lewis Travis by Owen Eames on 87 minute.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Matt Clarke.
  • 88' Sam Field is replacing Jack Stacey for the Norwich City FC side.
  • Another three points for Norwich City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC49% Draw25% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Norwich City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Norwich City FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC32% Draw45% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Norwich City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.