Saturday , 14 November 2026

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Carrow Road 25,058 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mohamed Toure 33' 1–0
1–1 54' David Ozoh
Liam Gibbs 60' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
  • Assistant 2 Mark Russell
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Derby County FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Bristol City FC A 4–2 W
11 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L
06 Apr Millwall FC A 2–1 W
03 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
21 Mar Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
18 Apr Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
11 Apr Southampton FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Stoke City FC H 2–0 W
03 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
21 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Norwich City FC Derby County FC
#12 Position #23
21 Points 10
15 Played 15
7 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
32 Scored 14
24 Conceded 30
+8 GD -16
1.40 PPG 0.67
47% Win % 13%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Norwich City FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Norwich City FC are 12th (21 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Norwich City FC
0-15
6/6
16-30
6/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
4/6
61-75
9/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Norwich City FC
Mohamed Toure 5 G
Mathias Kvistgaarden 4 G 4 A
Edmond-Paris Maghoma 4 G 2 A
Andre Brooks 3 G 2 A
Anthony Musaba 3 G 1 A
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.48 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Norwich City FC to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC64% Draw20% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Norwich City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Derby County FC
36%
Norwich City FC or Derby County FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC49% Draw37% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Norwich City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5%
4 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 19% 55%
-1.5 45% — 55%
-1 45% 21% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.