Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.
- Olympique de Marseille 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 8 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | OGC Nice | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | Racing Club de Lens | 9 | 13 |
| 9 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Toulouse FC | 8 | 10 |
| 12 | AJ Auxerre | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Angers SCO | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 8 | 7 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 8 | 5 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 9 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Le Havre AC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 22 Oct | SK Sturm Graz | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | Angers SCO | A | 5–2 | W |
| 15 Oct | PAE Olympiakos SFP | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | ES Troyes AC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | ES Troyes AC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Oct | Le Mans FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | AS Monaco FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | Le Havre AC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | FC Lorient | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | Lille OSC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Olympique de Marseille | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #11 |
| 12 | Points | 10 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 0 / 4 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 2 |
| 18 | Scored | 12 |
| 13 | Conceded | 11 |
| +5 | GD | +1 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.25 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
Olympique de Marseille this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Olympique de Marseille are 9th (12 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Olympique de Marseille
0-15
2/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
7/–
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Olympique de Marseille
| Amine Gouiri | 5 G | 2 A |
| Himad Abdelli | 3 G | |
| Amine Harit | 2 G | 1 A |
| Igor Paixao | 2 G | |
| Pierre Emile Hojbjerg | 1 G |
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nuno Tavares | 4 |
| Dimitri Payet | 4 |
| Cengiz Under | 3 |
| Mason Greenwood | 3 |
| Valentin Rongier | 2 |
| Dimitri Payet | 2 |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | 2 |
| Branco van den Boomen | 2 |
Head to Head
Olympique de Marseille Form
2026-10-25
Olympique de Marseille
4–3
Le Havre AC
W
2026-10-22
SK Sturm Graz
1–0
Olympique de Marseille
L
2026-10-18
Angers SCO
2–5
Olympique de Marseille
W
2026-10-15
Olympique de Marseille
0–1
PAE Olympiakos SFP
L
2026-10-11
ES Troyes AC
0–2
Olympique de Marseille
W
2026-09-20
Olympique de Marseille
1–2
Paris Saint-Germain FC
L
Predictions
2.14
Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Olympique de Marseille or Draw
71%
Draw or Toulouse FC
52%
Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC
78%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille
| Handicap | Olympique de Marseille covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
18%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

