Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Olympique de Marseille

2 – 2

Full Time

Toulouse FC

Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 20:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

Olympique de Marseille 10 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Eric Wattellier

7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 14.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain FC	10	23
2	Lille OSC	10	21
3	Paris FC	10	20
4	Olympique de Marseille	10	18
5	Olympique Lyonnais	10	17
6	OGC Nice	10	17
7	AS Monaco FC	10	16
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	10	16
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	15
10	FC Lorient	10	15
11	Racing Club de Lens	10	13
12	Toulouse FC	10	13
13	RC Strasbourg Alsace	10	10
14	AJ Auxerre	10	10
15	Le Mans FC	10	8
16	Angers SCO	10	8
17	ES Troyes AC	10	8
18	Le Havre AC	10	2

Head-to-Head

Olympique de Marseille 21 games · Avg 3.2 goals Toulouse FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC 2025-04-06 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Toulouse FC 2024-08-31 Toulouse FC 1–3 Olympique de Marseille 2024-04-21 Toulouse FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille 2023-09-17 Olympique de Marseille 0–0 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Olympique de Marseille

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Toulouse FC	H	2–2	D
25 Nov	Newcastle United FC	H	2–1	W
21 Nov	OGC Nice	A	5–1	W
08 Nov	Stade Brestois 29	H	3–0	W
05 Nov	Atalanta BC	H	0–1	L
01 Nov	AJ Auxerre	A	1–0	W

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Olympique de Marseille	A	2–2	D
23 Nov	Angers SCO	H	0–1	L
09 Nov	FC Lorient	A	1–1	D
02 Nov	Le Havre AC	H	0–0	D
29 Oct	Stade Rennais FC 1901	H	2–2	D
25 Oct	AS Monaco FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille		Toulouse FC
#4	Position	#12
18	Points	13
10	Played	10
6 / 0 / 4	W / D / L	3 / 4 / 3
22	Scored	15
14	Conceded	14
+8	GD	+1
1.80	PPG	1.30
60%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille

0-15

4/3

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

6/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

8/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille

Amine Gouiri	7 G	3 A
Amine Harit	3 G	1 A
Himad Abdelli	3 G
Igor Paixao	2 G	1 A
Keyliane Abdallah	2 G

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	5 G	1 A
Thomas Jorgensen	3 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	2 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse FC.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dimitri Payet	4
Nuno Tavares	4
Cengiz Under	3
Mason Greenwood	3
Valentin Rongier	2
Dimitri Payet	2
Rasmus Nicolaisen	2
Branco van den Boomen	2

Head to Head

Olympique de Marseille Form

2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC D 2025-11-25 Olympique de Marseille 2–1 Newcastle United FC W 2025-11-21 OGC Nice 1–5 Olympique de Marseille W 2025-11-08 Olympique de Marseille 3–0 Stade Brestois 29 W 2025-11-05 Olympique de Marseille 0–1 Atalanta BC L 2025-11-01 AJ Auxerre 0–1 Olympique de Marseille W

Toulouse FC Form

2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC D 2025-11-23 Toulouse FC 0–1 Angers SCO L 2025-11-09 FC Lorient 1–1 Toulouse FC D 2025-11-02 Toulouse FC 0–0 Le Havre AC D 2025-10-29 Toulouse FC 2–2 Stade Rennais FC 1901 D 2025-10-25 AS Monaco FC 1–0 Toulouse FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.13 Olympique de Marseille xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.34 Toulouse FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Olympique de Marseille55% Draw23% Toulouse FC22%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.47

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw

78%

Draw or Toulouse FC

45%

Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Olympique de Marseille40% Draw40% Toulouse FC20%

Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

7.1%

3 – 1

6.4%

1 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 2

5.8%

3 – 0

4.9%

0 – 0

4.5%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 1

3.6%

4 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap	Olympique de Marseille covers	Push	Toulouse FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	21%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.