Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Olympique de Marseille

2 – 2

Full Time

Toulouse FC

Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 20:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

Olympique de Marseille 5 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Eric Wattellier

4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Monaco FC	5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille OSC	5	10
5	Stade Rennais FC 1901	5	10
6	Paris Saint-Germain FC	5	8
7	Angers SCO	5	7
8	RC Strasbourg Alsace	5	7
9	Le Mans FC	5	6
10	AJ Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	FC Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse FC	5	5
14	OGC Nice	5	5
15	Racing Club de Lens	5	4
16	ES Troyes AC	5	4
17	Olympique de Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre AC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Olympique de Marseille 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals Toulouse FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC 2025-04-06 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Toulouse FC 2024-08-31 Toulouse FC 1–3 Olympique de Marseille 2024-04-21 Toulouse FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille 2023-09-17 Olympique de Marseille 0–0 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Olympique de Marseille

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Toulouse FC	H	2–2	D
25 Nov	Newcastle United FC	H	2–1	W
21 Nov	OGC Nice	A	5–1	W
08 Nov	Stade Brestois 29	H	3–0	W
05 Nov	Atalanta BC	H	0–1	L
01 Nov	AJ Auxerre	A	1–0	W

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Olympique de Marseille	A	2–2	D
23 Nov	Angers SCO	H	0–1	L
09 Nov	FC Lorient	A	1–1	D
02 Nov	Le Havre AC	H	0–0	D
29 Oct	Stade Rennais FC 1901	H	2–2	D
25 Oct	AS Monaco FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille		Toulouse FC
#17	Position	#13
3	Points	5
5	Played	5
1 / 0 / 4	W / D / L	1 / 2 / 2
7	Scored	7
8	Conceded	9
-1	GD	-2
0.60	PPG	1.00
20%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/2

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/3

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille

Amine Gouiri	4 G	1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg	1 G
Keyliane Abdallah	1 G

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	3 G
Thomas Jorgensen	2 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	1 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Olympique de Marseille welcome Toulouse FC for this crunch clash at .
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nuno Tavares	4
Dimitri Payet	4
Cengiz Under	3
Mason Greenwood	3
Valentin Rongier	2
Dimitri Payet	2
Rasmus Nicolaisen	2
Branco van den Boomen	2

Head to Head

Olympique de Marseille Form

2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC D 2025-11-25 Olympique de Marseille 2–1 Newcastle United FC W 2025-11-21 OGC Nice 1–5 Olympique de Marseille W 2025-11-08 Olympique de Marseille 3–0 Stade Brestois 29 W 2025-11-05 Olympique de Marseille 0–1 Atalanta BC L 2025-11-01 AJ Auxerre 0–1 Olympique de Marseille W

Toulouse FC Form

2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC D 2025-11-23 Toulouse FC 0–1 Angers SCO L 2025-11-09 FC Lorient 1–1 Toulouse FC D 2025-11-02 Toulouse FC 0–0 Le Havre AC D 2025-10-29 Toulouse FC 2–2 Stade Rennais FC 1901 D 2025-10-25 AS Monaco FC 1–0 Toulouse FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.95 Olympique de Marseille xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 Toulouse FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Olympique de Marseille51% Draw23% Toulouse FC26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.36

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw

75%

Draw or Toulouse FC

49%

Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Olympique de Marseille36% Draw41% Toulouse FC23%

Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.4%

2 – 1

2 – 0

6.6%

1 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

6.1%

3 – 1

5.8%

0 – 0

0 – 1

4.2%

3 – 0

4.2%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap	Olympique de Marseille covers	Push	Toulouse FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	20%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.