Wednesday , 4 November 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2026-27
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 66' Ferran Torres
Angel Gomes 72' 1–1
1–2 74' Marquinhos
Tim Weah 32' Y
Y 39' Nuno Mendes
Tim Weah 77' YR
Angel Gomes 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
18 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–2 L
17 Sep Besiktas JK A 1–4 L
11 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–1 L
06 Sep Paris FC H 2–3 L
30 Aug AS Monaco FC A 0–2 L
21 Aug RC Strasbourg Alsace H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 2–1 W
13 Sep Stade Brestois 29 A 1–0 W
09 Sep SK Slovan Bratislava H 6–1 W
04 Sep AS Monaco FC H 1–2 L
28 Aug Lille OSC A 2–2 D
23 Aug Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Paris Saint-Germain FC
#6 Position #1
15 Points 20
9 Played 9
5 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 6 / 2 / 1
20 Scored 21
13 Conceded 10
+7 GD +11
1.67 PPG 2.22
56% Win % 67%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
22% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 6th (15 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 1st (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/2
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 6 G 3 A
Amine Harit 3 G 1 A
Himad Abdelli 3 G
Igor Paixao 2 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G 1 A
Achraf Hakimi 3 G 2 A
Marquinhos 3 G
Mika Godts 2 G 1 A
Senny Mayulu 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille27% Draw23% Paris Saint-Germain FC50%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
51%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
73%
Olympique de Marseille or Paris Saint-Germain FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille23% Draw39% Paris Saint-Germain FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.1%
0 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.4%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 14% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.