Saturday , 31 October 2026

FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2026-27
2 – 2
Full Time
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stade du Moustoir HT 45' · FT 45'
Ibrahima Balde 37' 1–0
Noah Mbamba 39' 2–0
2–1 48' Casper Tengstedt
2–2 68' Thomas Jorgensen

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade du Moustoir.

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit
  • Assistant 1 Vianney Rozand (France)
  • Assistant 2 Bastien Courbet
5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Toulouse FC H 2–2 D
05 Sep Racing Club de Lens A 1–0 W
29 Aug ES Troyes AC H 1–2 L
22 Aug OGC Nice A 0–0 D
17 May Le Havre AC H 0–2 L
10 May FC Metz A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep FC Lorient A 2–2 D
03 Sep Lille OSC H 0–1 L
29 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 2–2 D
22 Aug Olympique Lyonnais H 0–2 L
17 May FC Nantes A 0–0 D
10 May Olympique Lyonnais H 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Lorient Toulouse FC
#10 Position #11
12 Points 10
8 Played 8
3 / 3 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 2
7 Scored 12
6 Conceded 11
+1 GD +1
1.50 PPG 1.25
38% Win % 25%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
63% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season
25% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

FC Lorient are 10th (12 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
7/–
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 1 G 1 A
Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 2 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Toulouse FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Lorient and Toulouse FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Toulouse FC winning 0% of all matches.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 17' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Panos Katseris.
  • 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
  • 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 426 games and scored 413 goals.
  • 32' FC Lorient is showing some good football. However, FC Lorient are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 36' Ibrahima Balde does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Lorient surge ahead!
  • 37' Goal! Ibrahima Balde scores his 19 goal in 454 matches.
  • 39' Noah Mbamba has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 39 minutes.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Niko Sigur. He replaces Rafik Messali on 46 minute.
  • 48' Casper Tengstedt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' The FC Lorient manager makes a substitution. Panos Katseris departs to be replaced by Theo Le Bris.
  • 63' Dembo Sylla has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 67' Sion Oppong gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Ilyas Azizi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' What a moment for Thomas Jorgensen! That strike on 68 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 69' FC Lorient make a change. Ibrahima Balde trudges off to be replaced by Mamadou Kone on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Toulouse FC have won 413 goals from 426 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 79' Toulouse FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 84' Alexis Vossah is ready to make an impact after coming on for Niklas Schmidt at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' FC Lorient are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.09 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: FC Lorient or Toulouse FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient35% Draw30% Toulouse FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
65%
Draw or Toulouse FC
65%
FC Lorient or Toulouse FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient23% Draw51% Toulouse FC26%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
10.9%
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.