Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2024-25

Toulouse FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Olympique de Marseille

Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 19,178 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 16' Mason Greenwood

0–2 17' Mason Greenwood

0–3 52' Charlie Cresswell og

Shavy Warren Babicka 90' 1–3

Y 10' Pierre Emile Hojbjerg

Frank Magri 27' R

Cristian Casseres Jr. 44' Y

Aron Donnum 49' Y

Shavy Warren Babicka 73' Y

Y 73' Lilian Brassier

Vincent Sierro 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Olympique de Marseille 10 games · 18 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Stephanie Frappart
Assistant 1 Mikael Berchebru
Assistant 2 Aurelien Drouet

8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain FC	10	23
2	Lille OSC	10	21
3	Paris FC	10	20
4	Olympique de Marseille	10	18
5	Olympique Lyonnais	10	17
6	OGC Nice	10	17
7	AS Monaco FC	10	16
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	10	16
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	15
10	FC Lorient	10	15
11	Racing Club de Lens	10	13
12	Toulouse FC	10	13
13	RC Strasbourg Alsace	10	10
14	AJ Auxerre	10	10
15	Le Mans FC	10	8
16	Angers SCO	10	8
17	ES Troyes AC	10	8
18	Le Havre AC	10	2

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 21 games · Avg 3.2 goals Olympique de Marseille

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-31 Toulouse FC 1–3 Olympique de Marseille 2024-04-21 Toulouse FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille 2023-09-17 Olympique de Marseille 0–0 Toulouse FC 2023-02-19 Toulouse FC 2–3 Olympique de Marseille 2022-12-29 Olympique de Marseille 6–1 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	Olympique de Marseille	H	1–3	L
25 Aug	OGC Nice	A	1–1	D
18 Aug	FC Nantes	H	0–0	D
19 May	Stade Brestois 29	H	0–3	L
12 May	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	3–1	W
03 May	Montpellier HSC	H	1–2	L

Olympique de Marseille

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	Toulouse FC	A	3–1	W
25 Aug	Stade de Reims	H	2–2	D
17 Aug	Stade Brestois 29	A	5–1	W
19 May	Le Havre AC	A	2–1	W
15 May	Stade de Reims	A	0–1	L
12 May	FC Lorient	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		Olympique de Marseille
#12	Position	#4
13	Points	18
10	Played	10
3 / 4 / 3	W / D / L	6 / 0 / 4
15	Scored	22
14	Conceded	14
+1	GD	+8
1.30	PPG	1.80
30%	Win %	60%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

8/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Olympique de Marseille

0-15

4/3

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

6/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	5 G	1 A
Thomas Jorgensen	3 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	2 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Olympique de Marseille

Amine Gouiri	7 G	3 A
Amine Harit	3 G	1 A
Himad Abdelli	3 G
Igor Paixao	2 G	1 A
Keyliane Abdallah	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Stadium de Toulouse. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Toulouse FC is showing some good football. However, Toulouse FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pierre Emile Hojbjerg on 10 minutes.
15' England international Mason Greenwood has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
16' Mason Greenwood does the damage! The net is bulging and Olympique de Marseille surge ahead!
17' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mason Greenwood makes it 0-2.
22' Olympique de Marseille looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Amine Gouiri scoring 1 goals.
27' That is a card for Toulouse FC. Frank Magri will be fuming at that decision.
32' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toulouse FC and Olympique de Marseille are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
42' Olympique de Marseille come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
44' The referee calls foul for Cristian Casseres Jr.. He receives a card.
49' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Aron Donnum on 49 minutes.
52' What composure from Charlie Cresswell! The England international strokes it home. 1-2.
57' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
62' Fresh legs for Toulouse FC! Djibril Sidibe comes on to replace Charlie Cresswell.
66' The crowd applauds Luis Henrique as he leaves the pitch. Jonathan Rowe steps in for Olympique de Marseille.
71' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
73' Controversy at the stadium! Shavy Warren Babicka argues furiously but the card stands.
76' Another substitution for Toulouse FC to replace Yann Gboho by Niklas Schmidt on 76 minute.
81' Jonathan Rowe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Olympique de Marseille so far.
82' A moment of madness from Vincent Sierro on 82 minutes earns him a card. Toulouse FC will be frustrated.
86' Olympique de Marseille make a change. Pierre Emile Hojbjerg trudges off to be replaced by Bamo Meite on 86 minutes.
90' What a moment for Shavy Warren Babicka! That strike on 90 puts his side firmly in control.
Full Time. Olympique de Marseille beats Toulouse FC

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

10
Yann Gboho ↓ Niklas Schmidt 76'
8
Vincent Sierro
23
Cristian Casseres Jr. ↓ Shavy Warren Babicka 62'
3
Mark McKenzie
2
Rasmus Nicolaisen
7
Zakaria Aboukhlal ↓ Warren Kamanzi 62'
4
Charlie Cresswell ↓ Djibril Sidibe 62'
9
Frank Magri
50
Guillaume Restes
17
Gabriel Suazo
15
Aron Donnum ↓ Joshua King 76'

Bench

Coach Carles Martínez

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

23
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg ↓ Bamo Meite 86'
11
Amine Harit ↓ Valentin Carboni 66'
19
Geoffrey Kondogbia ↓ Valentin Rongier 86'
1
Geronimo Rulli
10
Mason Greenwood
13
Derek Cornelius
44
Luis Henrique ↓ Jonathan Rowe 66'
20
Lilian Brassier
9
Sepe Elye Wahi ↓ Neal Maupay 76'
3
Quentin Merlin
62
Michael Murillo

Bench

Coach Roberto De Zerbi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dimitri Payet	4
Nuno Tavares	4
Cengiz Under	3
Mason Greenwood	3
Florian Thauvin	2
Valentin Rongier	2
Dimitri Payet	2
Rasmus Nicolaisen	2

Head to Head

Toulouse FC Form

2024-08-31 Toulouse FC 1–3 Olympique de Marseille L 2024-08-25 OGC Nice 1–1 Toulouse FC D 2024-08-18 Toulouse FC 0–0 FC Nantes D 2024-05-19 Toulouse FC 0–3 Stade Brestois 29 L 2024-05-12 Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–3 Toulouse FC W 2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC L

Olympique de Marseille Form

2024-08-31 Toulouse FC 1–3 Olympique de Marseille W 2024-08-25 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Stade de Reims D 2024-08-17 Stade Brestois 29 1–5 Olympique de Marseille W 2024-05-19 Le Havre AC 1–2 Olympique de Marseille W 2024-05-15 Stade de Reims 1–0 Olympique de Marseille L 2024-05-12 Olympique de Marseille 3–1 FC Lorient W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.3 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.33 Olympique de Marseille xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC22% Draw23% Olympique de Marseille55%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.63

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

45%

Draw or Olympique de Marseille

78%

Toulouse FC or Olympique de Marseille

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC18% Draw38% Olympique de Marseille44%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

9.1%

1 – 1

8.9%

0 – 2

7.2%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 2

5.8%

0 – 1

5.8%

0 – 3

5.5%

2 – 1

5.1%

2 – 3

4.5%

1 – 4

4.1%

0 – 0

3.9%

0 – 4

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	11%	80%
-0.5	20%	—	80%
+0.5	41%	—	59%
+1	41%	21%	38%
+1.5	62%	—	38%
+2	62%	18%	21%
+2.5	79%	—	21%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.