Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 19,178 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Mason Greenwood
0–2 17' Mason Greenwood
0–3 52' Charlie Cresswell og

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephanie Frappart
  • Assistant 1 Mikael Berchebru
  • Assistant 2 Aurelien Drouet
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Olympique de Marseille H 1–3 L
25 Aug OGC Nice A 1–1 D
18 Aug FC Nantes H 0–0 D
19 May Stade Brestois 29 H 0–3 L
12 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 3–1 W
03 May Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Toulouse FC A 3–1 W
25 Aug Stade de Reims H 2–2 D
17 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 5–1 W
19 May Le Havre AC A 2–1 W
15 May Stade de Reims A 0–1 L
12 May FC Lorient H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Olympique de Marseille
#13 Position #17
5 Points 3
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 4
7 Scored 7
9 Conceded 8
-2 GD -1
1.00 PPG 0.60
20% Win % 20%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC25% Draw23% Olympique de Marseille52%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
75%
Toulouse FC or Olympique de Marseille
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC20% Draw39% Olympique de Marseille41%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 21% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 16% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.