Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.
- Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Olympique de Marseille 5 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stephanie Frappart
- Assistant 1 Mikael Berchebru
- Assistant 2 Aurelien Drouet
8 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 8.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Olympique de Marseille | H | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | OGC Nice | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | FC Nantes | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 0–3 | L |
| 12 May | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 03 May | Montpellier HSC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Toulouse FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | Stade de Reims | H | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Aug | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 5–1 | W |
| 19 May | Le Havre AC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 May | Stade de Reims | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 May | FC Lorient | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Toulouse FC | Olympique de Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #17 |
| 5 | Points | 3 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 4 |
| 7 | Scored | 7 |
| 9 | Conceded | 8 |
| -2 | GD | -1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.60 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
Olympique de Marseille this season
Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 3 G | |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 1 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Olympique de Marseille
| Amine Gouiri | 4 G | 1 A |
| Pierre Emile Hojbjerg | 1 G | |
| Keyliane Abdallah | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Toulouse FC get us underway at Stadium de Toulouse.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toulouse FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Controversy at the stadium! Pierre Emile Hojbjerg argues furiously but the card stands.
- 15' Olympique de Marseille come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 16' Mason Greenwood has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 16 minutes.
- 17' Mason Greenwood does the damage! The net is bulging and Olympique de Marseille surge ahead!
- 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 27' Frank Magri has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 27.
- 32' Sepe Elye Wahi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toulouse FC and Olympique de Marseille are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 44' The referee calls foul for Cristian Casseres Jr.. He receives a card.
- 49' Aron Donnum was booked on 49.
- 52' What a strike from Charlie Cresswell! The score is 1-2.
- 57' With 0 assists to his name this season, Pierre Emile Hojbjerg is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Olympique de Marseille.
- 62' A change in the Toulouse FC ranks — Charlie Cresswell exits the field as Djibril Sidibe enters on 62.
- 66' It is a substitution in Olympique de Marseille team. Luis Henrique is replaced by Jonathan Rowe on 66 minute.
- 71' It looks surprising Toulouse FC does not make any changes. Valentin Rongier has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Shavy Warren Babicka.
- 76' It is a substitution in Toulouse FC team. Yann Gboho is replaced by Niklas Schmidt on 76 minute.
- 81' Toulouse FC is showing some good football. However, Toulouse FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 82' A moment of madness from Vincent Sierro on 82 minutes earns him a card. Toulouse FC will be frustrated.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Bamo Meite. He replaces Pierre Emile Hojbjerg on 86 minute.
- 90' The Gabon Shavy Warren Babicka breaks the deadlock on 90 minutes. 2-2!
- Olympique de Marseille celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
10
Yann Gboho ↓ Niklas Schmidt 76'
- 8
- 23
- 3
- 2
- 7
- 4
- 9
- 50
- 17
-
15
Aron Donnum ↓ Joshua King 76'
Bench
-
13
Joshua King ↑ 76'
- 5
-
19
Djibril Sidibe ↑ 62'
-
20
Niklas Schmidt ↑ 76'
- 30
-
12
Warren Kamanzi ↑ 62'
-
80
Shavy Warren Babicka ↑ 62'
- 6
- 33
Coach
Carles Martínez
Olympique de Marseille Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
-
11
Amine Harit ↓ Valentin Carboni 66'
- 19
- 1
- 10
- 13
-
44
Luis Henrique ↓ Jonathan Rowe 66'
- 20
-
9
Sepe Elye Wahi ↓ Neal Maupay 76'
- 3
- 62
Bench
-
32
Neal Maupay ↑ 76'
- 12
-
21
Valentin Rongier ↑ 86'
- 29
-
17
Jonathan Rowe ↑ 66'
-
18
Bamo Meite ↑ 86'
-
7
Valentin Carboni ↑ 66'
- 48
- 22
Coach
Roberto De Zerbi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dimitri Payet | 4 |
| Nuno Tavares | 4 |
| Cengiz Under | 3 |
| Mason Greenwood | 3 |
| Florian Thauvin | 2 |
| Valentin Rongier | 2 |
| Dimitri Payet | 2 |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | 2 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Olympique de Marseille Form
2024-08-31
Toulouse FC
1–3
Olympique de Marseille
W
2024-08-25
Olympique de Marseille
2–2
Stade de Reims
D
2024-08-17
Stade Brestois 29
1–5
Olympique de Marseille
W
2024-05-19
Le Havre AC
1–2
Olympique de Marseille
W
2024-05-15
Stade de Reims
1–0
Olympique de Marseille
L
2024-05-12
Olympique de Marseille
3–1
FC Lorient
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Olympique de Marseille win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
75%
Toulouse FC or Olympique de Marseille
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | Olympique de Marseille covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 21% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 16% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

