Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.
- Olympique de Marseille 5 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Pignard Jeremie
- Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
- Assistant 2 Julien Aube
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Toulouse FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Mar | Stade de Reims | A | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Mar | Racing Club de Lens | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | FC Nantes | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | AJ Auxerre | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | Olympique de Marseille | A | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 2–4 | L |
| 16 Mar | RC Strasbourg Alsace | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | AS Monaco FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Mar | Angers SCO | A | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Le Havre AC | A | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Olympique de Marseille | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #13 |
| 3 | Points | 5 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 0 / 4 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| 7 | Scored | 7 |
| 8 | Conceded | 9 |
| -1 | GD | -2 |
| 0.60 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
Olympique de Marseille this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Olympique de Marseille
| Amine Gouiri | 4 G | 1 A |
| Pierre Emile Hojbjerg | 1 G | |
| Keyliane Abdallah | 1 G |
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 3 G | |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 1 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Orange Velodrome as Olympique de Marseille face off against Toulouse FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Toulouse FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' Olympique de Marseille currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 21' The Chile Gabriel Suazo breaks the deadlock on 21 minutes. 0-1!
- 24' A moment of madness from Mason Greenwood on 24 minutes earns him a card. Olympique de Marseille will be frustrated.
- 29' Goal! Frank Magri scores his 30 goal in 174 matches.
- 32' Shavy Warren Babicka is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
- 37' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 42' Geoffrey Kondogbia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Olympique de Marseille so far.
- 47' The home supporters are growing impatient. Olympique de Marseille must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 52' Toulouse FC is showing some good football. However, Toulouse FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' Frank Magri was booked on 56.
- 56' Jonathan Rowe is replacing Neal Maupay for the Olympique de Marseille side.
- 57' The deadlock is broken! Mason Greenwood gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
- 62' Bilal Nadir has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 467 appearances.
- 64' GOAL! Adrien Rabiot scores on 64.
- 68' That looks like a foul for a card for Cristian Casseres Jr..
- 73' Vincent Sierro, a Switzerland central midfielder, has 23 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 75' Joshua King is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yann Gboho at the 75 minute mark.
- 76' What a moment for Vincent Sierro! That strike on 76 puts his side firmly in control.
- 76' Olympique de Marseille ring the changes. Quentin Merlin has done his job and it is now time for Ulisses Garcia to step up.
- 81' Joshua King has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 86' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 423 games and scored 406 goals.
- 90' Bilal Nadir was booked on 90.
- 90' Time for substitution for Olympique de Marseille. Mason Greenwood is replaced by Amar Dedic.
- Another three points for Olympique de Marseille.
Lineups
Olympique de Marseille Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
8
Neal Maupay ↓ Jonathan Rowe 56'
- 25
- 21
- 19
- 1
-
22
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Bilal Nadir 90'
-
10
Mason Greenwood ↓ Amar Dedic 90'
- 13
- 44
-
3
Quentin Merlin ↓ Ulisses Garcia 76'
- 62
Bench
- 23
- 12
- 11
-
29
Pol Mikel Lirola ↑ 56'
-
6
Ulisses Garcia ↑ 76'
-
77
Amar Dedic ↑ 90'
-
26
Bilal Nadir ↑ 90'
-
17
Jonathan Rowe ↑ 56'
- 14
Coach
Roberto De Zerbi
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Djibril Sidibe ↓ Jaydee Canvot 75'
-
10
Yann Gboho ↓ Joshua King 75'
- 8
- 23
- 3
- 4
- 9
- 50
- 17
- 15
- 80
Bench
-
13
Joshua King ↑ 75'
- 21
- 16
-
12
Warren Kamanzi ↑ 90'
- 37
-
31
Noah Edjouma ↑ 75'
- 22
-
29
Jaydee Canvot ↑ 75'
- 6
Coach
Carles Martínez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nuno Tavares | 4 |
| Dimitri Payet | 4 |
| Cengiz Under | 3 |
| Mason Greenwood | 3 |
| Valentin Rongier | 2 |
| Dimitri Payet | 2 |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | 2 |
| Branco van den Boomen | 2 |
Head to Head
Olympique de Marseille Form
2025-04-06
Olympique de Marseille
3–2
Toulouse FC
W
2025-03-29
Stade de Reims
3–1
Olympique de Marseille
L
2025-03-16
Paris Saint-Germain FC
3–1
Olympique de Marseille
L
2025-03-08
Olympique de Marseille
0–1
Racing Club de Lens
L
2025-03-02
Olympique de Marseille
2–0
FC Nantes
W
2025-02-22
AJ Auxerre
3–0
Olympique de Marseille
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.05
Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Olympique de Marseille win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Olympique de Marseille or Draw
73%
Draw or Toulouse FC
50%
Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.4%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille
| Handicap | Olympique de Marseille covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.