Sunday , 16 August 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Orange Velodrome 64,320 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gabriel Suazo og 21' 1–0
1–1 29' Frank Magri
Mason Greenwood 57' 2–1
Adrien Rabiot 64' 3–1
3–2 76' Vincent Sierro

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
  • Assistant 2 Julien Aube

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Toulouse FC H 3–2 W
29 Mar Stade de Reims A 1–3 L
16 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
08 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 0–1 L
02 Mar FC Nantes H 2–0 W
22 Feb AJ Auxerre A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 2–3 L
30 Mar Stade Brestois 29 H 2–4 L
16 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–2 L
07 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Angers SCO A 4–0 W
23 Feb Le Havre AC A 4–1 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Toulouse FC
#7 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Orange Velodrome. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Olympique de Marseille are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Toulouse FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' It looks surprising Toulouse FC does not make any changes. Warren Kamanzi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 21' Goal! Gabriel Suazo scores his 3 goal in 420 matches.
  • 24' Olympique de Marseille receives a card for a hard tackle on 24.
  • 29' What a moment for Frank Magri! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Shavy Warren Babicka on 32 minutes.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Olympique de Marseille must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 47' It’s high time Carles Martínez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 52' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' Frank Magri has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 56.
  • 56' The supporters are chanting for Jonathan Rowe. He replaces Neal Maupay on 56 minute.
  • 57' The England right winger Mason Greenwood breaks the deadlock on 57 minutes. 1-2!
  • 62' Toulouse FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 64' Goal! Adrien Rabiot scores his 41 goal in 520 matches.
  • 68' Cristian Casseres Jr. was booked on 68.
  • 73' The travelling Toulouse FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Joshua King. He replaces Yann Gboho on 75 minute.
  • 76' Vincent Sierro has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Olympique de Marseille. Quentin Merlin is replaced by Ulisses Garcia.
  • 81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Olympique de Marseille needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Bilal Nadir on 90 minutes earns him a card. Olympique de Marseille will be frustrated.
  • 90' Olympique de Marseille make a change. Mason Greenwood trudges off to be replaced by Amar Dedic on 90 minutes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toulouse FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille43% Draw31% Toulouse FC26%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
74%
Draw or Toulouse FC
57%
Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille24% Draw56% Toulouse FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
14%
0 – 1
11.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
42%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.