Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Orange Velodrome 64,320 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gabriel Suazo og 21' 1–0
1–1 29' Frank Magri
Mason Greenwood 57' 2–1
Adrien Rabiot 64' 3–1
3–2 76' Vincent Sierro

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
  • Assistant 2 Julien Aube

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Toulouse FC H 3–2 W
29 Mar Stade de Reims A 1–3 L
16 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
08 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 0–1 L
02 Mar FC Nantes H 2–0 W
22 Feb AJ Auxerre A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 2–3 L
30 Mar Stade Brestois 29 H 2–4 L
16 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–2 L
07 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Angers SCO A 4–0 W
23 Feb Le Havre AC A 4–1 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Toulouse FC
#7 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Olympique de Marseille to score. At the same time, Toulouse FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Toulouse FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 420 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 21' Magnificent from Gabriel Suazo! That is 3 goals in 420 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 24' Poor challenge from Mason Greenwood. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 29' Frank Magri has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 29 minutes.
  • 32' Poor challenge from Shavy Warren Babicka. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 37' Adrien Rabiot has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 42' Bilal Nadir needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Yellow cards this season.
  • 47' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 52' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' Frank Magri is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
  • 56' A tactical swap from Olympique de MarseilleJonathan Rowe on, Neal Maupay off on 56 minutes.
  • 57' GOAL! Mason Greenwood fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 64' GOAL! Adrien Rabiot scores on 64.
  • 68' The referee shows Toulouse FC player a card on 68.
  • 73' Djibril Sidibe has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 422 appearances.
  • 75' Another change for Toulouse FC made on 75 minute. Yann Gboho leaves to be changed by Joshua King.
  • 76' What composure from Vincent Sierro! The Switzerland international strokes it home. 2-3.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Olympique de Marseille! Ulisses Garcia comes on to replace Quentin Merlin.
  • 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 86' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 90' Bilal Nadir is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' Olympique de Marseille manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Amar Dedic is hanging Mason Greenwood on the field on 90 minute.
  • 3-2 the final result. Toulouse FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.03 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille43% Draw31% Toulouse FC26%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
74%
Draw or Toulouse FC
57%
Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille24% Draw56% Toulouse FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
17.5%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
14%
0 – 1
11.6%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 0
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
42%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.