Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2024-25

Olympique de Marseille

3 – 2

Full Time

Toulouse FC

Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Orange Velodrome 64,320 HT 45' · FT 45'

Gabriel Suazo og 21' 1–0

1–1 29' Frank Magri

Mason Greenwood 57' 2–1

Adrien Rabiot 64' 3–1

3–2 76' Vincent Sierro

Mason Greenwood 24' Y

Y 32' Shavy Warren Babicka

Y 56' Frank Magri

Y 68' Cristian Casseres Jr.

Bilal Nadir 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Olympique de Marseille 10 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Pignard Jeremie
Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
Assistant 2 Julien Aube

5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 7.4 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain FC	10	23
2	Lille OSC	10	21
3	Paris FC	10	20
4	Olympique de Marseille	10	18
5	Olympique Lyonnais	10	17
6	OGC Nice	10	17
7	AS Monaco FC	10	16
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	10	16
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	15
10	FC Lorient	10	15
11	Racing Club de Lens	10	13
12	Toulouse FC	10	13
13	RC Strasbourg Alsace	10	10
14	AJ Auxerre	10	10
15	Le Mans FC	10	8
16	Angers SCO	10	8
17	ES Troyes AC	10	8
18	Le Havre AC	10	2

Head-to-Head

Olympique de Marseille 21 games · Avg 3.2 goals Toulouse FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-06 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Toulouse FC 2024-08-31 Toulouse FC 1–3 Olympique de Marseille 2024-04-21 Toulouse FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille 2023-09-17 Olympique de Marseille 0–0 Toulouse FC 2023-02-19 Toulouse FC 2–3 Olympique de Marseille

Recent Form

Olympique de Marseille

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	Toulouse FC	H	3–2	W
29 Mar	Stade de Reims	A	1–3	L
16 Mar	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	1–3	L
08 Mar	Racing Club de Lens	H	0–1	L
02 Mar	FC Nantes	H	2–0	W
22 Feb	AJ Auxerre	A	0–3	L

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	Olympique de Marseille	A	2–3	L
30 Mar	Stade Brestois 29	H	2–4	L
16 Mar	RC Strasbourg Alsace	A	1–2	L
07 Mar	AS Monaco FC	H	1–1	D
02 Mar	Angers SCO	A	4–0	W
23 Feb	Le Havre AC	A	4–1	W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille		Toulouse FC
#4	Position	#12
18	Points	13
10	Played	10
6 / 0 / 4	W / D / L	3 / 4 / 3
22	Scored	15
14	Conceded	14
+8	GD	+1
1.80	PPG	1.30
60%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille

0-15

4/3

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

6/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

1/3

46-60

8/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille

Amine Gouiri	7 G	3 A
Amine Harit	3 G	1 A
Himad Abdelli	3 G
Igor Paixao	2 G	1 A
Keyliane Abdallah	2 G

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	5 G	1 A
Thomas Jorgensen	3 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	2 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Orange Velodrome as Olympique de Marseille face off against Toulouse FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
15' Cristian Casseres Jr. has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 301 appearances.
20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
21' Gabriel Suazo adds to his 0 season tally! Toulouse FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
24' It’s gonna be a card for Mason Greenwood.
29' Frank Magri adds to his 0 season tally! Toulouse FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
32' Poor challenge from Shavy Warren Babicka. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
42' Both keepers have barely been tested. Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
47' France international Valentin Rongier has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
56' That is a card for Toulouse FC. Frank Magri will be fuming at that decision.
56' Olympique de Marseille make a change. Neal Maupay trudges off to be replaced by Jonathan Rowe on 56 minutes.
57' A stunning finish from Mason Greenwood — that came from absolutely nowhere!
62' Olympique de Marseille currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
64' Adrien Rabiot adds to his 5 season tally! Olympique de Marseille lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
68' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cristian Casseres Jr. on 68 minutes.
73' With 0 assists to his name this season, Warren Kamanzi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Olympique de Marseille.
75' A tactical swap from Toulouse FC — Joshua King on, Yann Gboho off on 75 minutes.
76' Magnificent from Vincent Sierro! That is 13 goals in 503 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
76' Ulisses Garcia is replacing Quentin Merlin for the Olympique de Marseille side.
81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Roberto De Zerbi might look to freshen things up shortly.
86' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
90' Bilal Nadir picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' Olympique de Marseille make a change. Mason Greenwood trudges off to be replaced by Amar Dedic on 90 minutes.
With this win, Olympique de Marseille is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

8
Neal Maupay ↓ Jonathan Rowe 56'
25
Adrien Rabiot
21
Valentin Rongier
19
Geoffrey Kondogbia
1
Geronimo Rulli
22
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Bilal Nadir 90'
10
Mason Greenwood ↓ Amar Dedic 90'
13
Derek Cornelius ↓ Pol Mikel Lirola 56'
44
Luis Henrique
3
Quentin Merlin ↓ Ulisses Garcia 76'
62
Michael Murillo

Bench

Coach Roberto De Zerbi

Toulouse FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Djibril Sidibe ↓ Jaydee Canvot 75'
10
Yann Gboho ↓ Joshua King 75'
8
Vincent Sierro
23
Cristian Casseres Jr.
3
Mark McKenzie
4
Charlie Cresswell ↓ Warren Kamanzi 90'
9
Frank Magri
50
Guillaume Restes
17
Gabriel Suazo
15
Aron Donnum
80
Shavy Warren Babicka ↓ Noah Edjouma 75'

Bench

13
Joshua King ↑ 75'
21
Miha Zajc
16
Kjetil Haug
12
Warren Kamanzi ↑ 90'
37
Edhy Zuliani
31
Noah Edjouma ↑ 75'
22
Rafik Messali
29
Jaydee Canvot ↑ 75'
6
Umit Akdag

Coach Carles Martínez

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nuno Tavares	4
Dimitri Payet	4
Cengiz Under	3
Mason Greenwood	3
Branco van den Boomen	2
Florian Thauvin	2
Valentin Rongier	2
Dimitri Payet	2

Head to Head

Olympique de Marseille Form

2025-04-06 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Toulouse FC W 2025-03-29 Stade de Reims 3–1 Olympique de Marseille L 2025-03-16 Paris Saint-Germain FC 3–1 Olympique de Marseille L 2025-03-08 Olympique de Marseille 0–1 Racing Club de Lens L 2025-03-02 Olympique de Marseille 2–0 FC Nantes W 2025-02-22 AJ Auxerre 3–0 Olympique de Marseille L

Toulouse FC Form

2025-04-06 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Toulouse FC L 2025-03-30 Toulouse FC 2–4 Stade Brestois 29 L 2025-03-16 RC Strasbourg Alsace 2–1 Toulouse FC L 2025-03-07 Toulouse FC 1–1 AS Monaco FC D 2025-03-02 Angers SCO 0–4 Toulouse FC W 2025-02-23 Le Havre AC 1–4 Toulouse FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.23 Olympique de Marseille xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.55 Toulouse FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Olympique de Marseille54% Draw22% Toulouse FC24%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.78

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw

76%

Draw or Toulouse FC

46%

Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Olympique de Marseille39% Draw38% Toulouse FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.7%

2 – 1

8.5%

2 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

6.3%

1 – 2

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

4.6%

3 – 0

4.2%

4 – 1

3.5%

0 – 0

3.5%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap	Olympique de Marseille covers	Push	Toulouse FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	20%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.