Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Toulouse FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Olympique de Marseille

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 20:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Toulouse FC vs Olympique de Marseille — Ligue 1 .

Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Olympique de Marseille 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Bastien Dechepy

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals Olympique de Marseille

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille 2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC 2025-04-06 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Toulouse FC 2024-08-31 Toulouse FC 1–3 Olympique de Marseille 2024-04-21 Toulouse FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Olympique de Marseille	H	0–1	L
28 Feb	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	0–1	L
21 Feb	Paris FC	H	1–1	D
15 Feb	Le Havre AC	A	1–2	L
08 Feb	Angers SCO	A	0–1	L
01 Feb	AJ Auxerre	H	0–0	D

Olympique de Marseille

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Toulouse FC	A	1–0	W
01 Mar	Olympique Lyonnais	H	3–2	W
20 Feb	Stade Brestois 29	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	RC Strasbourg Alsace	H	2–2	D
08 Feb	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	0–5	L
31 Jan	Paris FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		Olympique de Marseille
#11	Position	#7
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Toulouse FC and Olympique de Marseille is underway.
With this win, Olympique de Marseille is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nuno Tavares	4
Dimitri Payet	4
Cengiz Under	3
Mason Greenwood	3
Branco van den Boomen	2
Florian Thauvin	2
Valentin Rongier	2
Dimitri Payet	2

Head to Head

Toulouse FC Form

2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-02-28 Stade Rennais FC 1901 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-21 Toulouse FC 1–1 Paris FC D 2026-02-15 Le Havre AC 2–1 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-08 Angers SCO 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2026-02-01 Toulouse FC 0–0 AJ Auxerre D

Olympique de Marseille Form

2026-03-07 Toulouse FC 0–1 Olympique de Marseille W 2026-03-01 Olympique de Marseille 3–2 Olympique Lyonnais W 2026-02-20 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-02-14 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 RC Strasbourg Alsace D 2026-02-08 Paris Saint-Germain FC 5–0 Olympique de Marseille L 2026-01-31 Paris FC 2–2 Olympique de Marseille D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.63 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.68 Olympique de Marseille xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Under — clean sheet likely 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Toulouse FC28% Draw39% Olympique de Marseille33%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes25% 0% No75%

Avg goals/match: 1.31

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	70%	30%
± 1.5	38%	62%
± 2.5	15%	85%
± 3.5	5%	95%
± 4.5	1%	99%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Olympique de Marseille

72%

Toulouse FC or Olympique de Marseille

61%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toulouse FC16% Draw66% Olympique de Marseille18%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

29.7%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

15.3%

1 – 1

12.7%

0 – 2

5.7%

2 – 0

4.9%

1 – 2

4.1%

2 – 1

3.8%

2 – 2

1.5%

0 – 3

1.3%

3 – 0

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	6%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	19%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	21%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

51% ✗

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet

53% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.