Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC — Ligue 1 at Stade Municipal.
- Toulouse FC 6 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
- Lille OSC 6 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Mathieu Vernice
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
4 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 16.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Lorient | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | OGC Nice | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Racing Club de Lens | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | Angers SCO | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Olympique de Marseille | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans FC | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse FC | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | AJ Auxerre | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 6 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep | Lille OSC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | FC Nantes | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 May | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | RC Strasbourg Alsace | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep | Toulouse FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | Angers SCO | A | 2–0 | W |
| 17 May | AJ Auxerre | H | 0–2 | L |
| 10 May | AS Monaco FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Le Havre AC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Toulouse FC | Lille OSC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #2 |
| 6 | Points | 13 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 1 / 3 / 2 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 1 |
| 9 | Scored | 9 |
| 11 | Conceded | 4 |
| -2 | GD | +5 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.17 |
| 17% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
62%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
67%
Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season
Lille OSC this season
Toulouse FC are 15th (6 pts). Lille OSC are 2nd (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
5/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Lille OSC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 4 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 1 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Lille OSC
| Dilane Bakwa | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ayase Ueda | 2 G | |
| Tiago Santos | 2 G | |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 G | 2 A |
| Hakon Haraldsson | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Toulouse FC host Lille OSC — let the battle begin!
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Toulouse FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Lille OSC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 10' Toulouse FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toulouse FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' Toulouse FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tiago Santos suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' It’s high time Jens Berthel Askou made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
- 46' Lille OSC ring the changes. Osame Sahraoui has done his job and it is now time for Dilane Bakwa to step up.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Davide Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' With 1 assists to his name this season, Dilane Bakwa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toulouse FC.
- 57' Fresh legs for Toulouse FC! Julian Vignolo comes on to replace Santiago Hidalgo.
- 62' Lille OSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
- 65' A change in the Toulouse FC ranks — Jacen Russell-Rowe exits the field as Casper Tengstedt enters on 65.
- 66' Ismail Diallo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafik Messali at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' Basar Onal is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nabil Bentaleb at the 71 minute mark.
- 72' Toulouse FC make a change. Alexis Vossah trudges off to be replaced by Niklas Schmidt on 72 minutes.
- 73' What a moment for Ayase Ueda! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
- 78' A quiet spell here at Stade Municipal. Toulouse FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 88' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toulouse FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 0-1 the final result. Toulouse FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23
- 3
- 2
- 16
- 13
- 9
- 8
-
22
Rafik Messali ↓ Ismail Diallo 66'
-
6
Alexis Vossah ↓ Niklas Schmidt 72'
- 37
- 12
Bench
-
31
Niklas Schmidt ↑ 72'
-
20
Casper Tengstedt ↑ 65'
- 18
-
60
Mathys Niflore ↑ 71'
- 5
-
7
Julian Vignolo ↑ 57'
- 14
- 11
-
94
Ismail Diallo ↑ 66'
Coach
Jens Berthel Askou
Lille OSC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Ayase Ueda 57'
-
24
Calvin Verdonk ↓ Romain Perraud 46'
- 21
-
6
Nabil Bentaleb ↓ Basar Onal 71'
- 4
- 22
-
11
Osame Sahraoui ↓ Dilane Bakwa 46'
- 3
- 10
-
8
Ethan Mbappe ↓ Ngal'ayel Mukau 57'
Bench
-
15
Romain Perraud ↑ 46'
- 28
-
18
Ayase Ueda ↑ 57'
-
7
Dilane Bakwa ↑ 46'
- 14
-
19
Basar Onal ↑ 71'
-
17
Ngal'ayel Mukau ↑ 57'
- 12
- 26
Coach
Davide Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Max-Alain Gradel | 3 |
| Alexsandro Ribeiro | 2 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 2 |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo | 2 |
| Loic Remy | 2 |
| Mitchel Bakker | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 1 |
| Thomas Meunier | 1 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.59
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Lille OSC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 62% + Lille OSC to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Lille OSC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
41%
Draw or Lille OSC
84%
Toulouse FC or Lille OSC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
14.3%
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 3
8.3%
1 – 3
5.1%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 4
3.7%
2 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.6%
1 – 4
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | Lille OSC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| +0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 26% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +2 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.