Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kearney Robinson
- Referee
7 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Macarthur FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Melbourne City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | Sydney FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Auckland FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | Adelaide United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 20 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Brisbane Roar FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #11 |
| 40 | Points | 26 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 12 |
| 44 | Scored | 27 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | -9 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 42% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season
Brisbane Roar FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brisbane Roar FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Brisbane Roar FC
| Justin Vidic | 4 G | 2 A |
| Chris Long | 4 G | 1 A |
| Samuel Klein | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Brisbane Roar FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Brisbane Roar FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Brisbane Roar FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' Hosine Bility has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 25' Brisbane Roar FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 28' It’s gonna be a card for Walid Shour.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 37' The deadlock is broken! Nishan Velupillay gets on the scoresheet on 37 minutes.
- 42' It looks surprising Brisbane Roar FC does not make any changes. Antonee Burke-Gilroy has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 47' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 52' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nikolaos Vergos suffering a number of foals already.
- 57' Walid Shour, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 62' The whistle greets Reno Piscopo as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Arzani.
- 63' The crowd applauds Keegan Jelacic as he leaves the pitch. Antonee Burke-Gilroy steps in for Brisbane Roar FC.
- 68' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 71' The whistle greets Walid Shour as he departs to be replaced by Samuel Klein.
- 72' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 72 minute. Nikolaos Vergos leaves to be changed by Jing Reec.
- 76' GOAL! Jason Geria fires home to make it 2-0!
- 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 85' It’s gonna be a card for Harry Van der Saag.
- 86' Time for substitution for Brisbane Roar FC. Harry Van der Saag is replaced by Louis Zabala.
- 90' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Nishan Velupillay by Fabian Monge on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Brisbane Roar FC.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Clarismario 72'
- 5
- 21
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Daniel Arzani 62'
- 6
- 25
- 2
- 17
- 14
- 28
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Jing Reec 72'
Bench
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 62'
- 3
- 22
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 90'
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 72'
- 30
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 72'
Coach
Patrick Kisnorbo
Brisbane Roar FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
27
Ben Halloran ↓ Adam Zimarino 71'
- 10
- 1
- 17
- 23
- 15
- 26
- 16
- 4
-
8
Walid Shour ↓ Samuel Klein 71'
Bench
- 19
-
35
Louis Zabala ↑ 86'
-
24
Samuel Klein ↑ 71'
-
7
Rafael Struick ↑ 63'
-
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 71'
- 29
-
21
Antonee Burke-Gilroy ↑ 63'
Coach
Ruben Zadkovich
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosta Barbarouses | 7 |
| Ola Toivonen | 3 |
| Scott McDonald | 3 |
| Marco Rojas | 2 |
| Riku Danzaki | 2 |
| Andrew Nabbout | 2 |
| Dylan Wenzel-Halls | 1 |
| Thomas Waddingham | 1 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2024-11-09
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Brisbane Roar FC
W
2024-11-03
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Macarthur FC
W
2024-10-26
Melbourne City FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-10-18
Central Coast Mariners FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-05-25
Central Coast Mariners FC
3–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-05-18
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Brisbane Roar FC Form
2024-11-09
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2024-11-01
Brisbane Roar FC
2–3
Sydney FC
L
2024-10-19
Auckland FC
2–0
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2024-04-26
Brisbane Roar FC
3–4
Adelaide United FC
L
2024-04-20
Melbourne Victory FC
0–0
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2024-04-13
Brisbane Roar FC
0–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72
Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
41%
Melbourne Victory FC or Brisbane Roar FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Brisbane Roar FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

