Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kearney Robinson
- Referee
7 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Macarthur FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Melbourne City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | Sydney FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | Auckland FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | Adelaide United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 20 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Apr | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Brisbane Roar FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #11 |
| 40 | Points | 26 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 8 / 12 |
| 44 | Scored | 27 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | -9 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 42% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season
Brisbane Roar FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brisbane Roar FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Brisbane Roar FC
| Justin Vidic | 4 G | 2 A |
| Chris Long | 4 G | 1 A |
| Samuel Klein | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Brisbane Roar FC's compact .
- 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ruben Zadkovich will be considering his options from the bench.
- 20' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' It looks surprising Brisbane Roar FC does not make any changes. Jay O'Shea has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 28' Walid Shour catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
- 33' Samuel Klein is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Brisbane Roar FC tonight.
- 37' GOAL! Nishan Velupillay fires home to make it 1-0!
- 42' Brisbane Roar FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Macklin Freke suffering a number of foals already.
- 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' Brisbane Roar FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 62' The whistle greets Reno Piscopo as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Arzani.
- 63' Another substitution for Brisbane Roar FC to replace Keegan Jelacic by Antonee Burke-Gilroy on 63 minute.
- 68' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 71' Time for substitution for Brisbane Roar FC. Walid Shour is replaced by Samuel Klein.
- 72' Jing Reec is replacing Nikolaos Vergos for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
- 76' Brilliant from the ! Jason Geria makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 76.
- 81' Nikolaos Vergos, a Greece , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 85' It’s gonna be a card for Harry Van der Saag.
- 86' The Brisbane Roar FC manager makes a substitution. Harry Van der Saag departs to be replaced by Louis Zabala.
- 90' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Nishan Velupillay departs to be replaced by Fabian Monge.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Clarismario 72'
- 5
- 21
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Daniel Arzani 62'
- 6
- 25
- 2
- 17
- 14
- 28
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Jing Reec 72'
Bench
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 62'
- 3
- 22
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 90'
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 72'
- 30
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 72'
Coach
Patrick Kisnorbo
Brisbane Roar FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
27
Ben Halloran ↓ Adam Zimarino 71'
- 10
- 1
- 17
- 23
- 15
- 26
- 16
- 4
-
8
Walid Shour ↓ Samuel Klein 71'
Bench
- 19
-
35
Louis Zabala ↑ 86'
-
24
Samuel Klein ↑ 71'
-
7
Rafael Struick ↑ 63'
-
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 71'
- 29
-
21
Antonee Burke-Gilroy ↑ 63'
Coach
Ruben Zadkovich
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosta Barbarouses | 7 |
| Scott McDonald | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 3 |
| Andrew Nabbout | 2 |
| Marco Rojas | 2 |
| Riku Danzaki | 2 |
| Eric Bautheac | 1 |
| Brendan Hamill | 1 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2024-11-09
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Brisbane Roar FC
W
2024-11-03
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Macarthur FC
W
2024-10-26
Melbourne City FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-10-18
Central Coast Mariners FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-05-25
Central Coast Mariners FC
3–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-05-18
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Brisbane Roar FC Form
2024-11-09
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2024-11-01
Brisbane Roar FC
2–3
Sydney FC
L
2024-10-19
Auckland FC
2–0
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2024-04-26
Brisbane Roar FC
3–4
Adelaide United FC
L
2024-04-20
Melbourne Victory FC
0–0
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2024-04-13
Brisbane Roar FC
0–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72
Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
41%
Melbourne Victory FC or Brisbane Roar FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Brisbane Roar FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

