Thursday , 2 July 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Melbourne Victory FC A 0–2 L
01 Nov Sydney FC H 2–3 L
19 Oct Auckland FC A 0–2 L
26 Apr Adelaide United FC H 3–4 L
20 Apr Melbourne Victory FC A 0–0 D
13 Apr Newcastle United Jets FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Brisbane Roar FC
#4 Position #11
40 Points 26
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 12
44 Scored 27
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD -9
1.54 PPG 1.00
42% Win % 23%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brisbane Roar FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Brisbane Roar FC
Justin Vidic 4 G 2 A
Chris Long 4 G 1 A
Samuel Klein 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Brisbane Roar FC's compact .
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ruben Zadkovich will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' It looks surprising Brisbane Roar FC does not make any changes. Jay O'Shea has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 28' Walid Shour catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 28.
  • 33' Samuel Klein is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Brisbane Roar FC tonight.
  • 37' GOAL! Nishan Velupillay fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 42' Brisbane Roar FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Macklin Freke suffering a number of foals already.
  • 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' Brisbane Roar FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 62' The whistle greets Reno Piscopo as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Arzani.
  • 63' Another substitution for Brisbane Roar FC to replace Keegan Jelacic by Antonee Burke-Gilroy on 63 minute.
  • 68' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Brisbane Roar FC. Walid Shour is replaced by Samuel Klein.
  • 72' Jing Reec is replacing Nikolaos Vergos for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
  • 76' Brilliant from the ! Jason Geria makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 76.
  • 81' Nikolaos Vergos, a Greece , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Harry Van der Saag.
  • 86' The Brisbane Roar FC manager makes a substitution. Harry Van der Saag departs to be replaced by Louis Zabala.
  • 90' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Nishan Velupillay departs to be replaced by Fabian Monge.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 59% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC59% Draw25% Brisbane Roar FC16%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
41%
Melbourne Victory FC or Brisbane Roar FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC40% Draw48% Brisbane Roar FC12%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 26% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.