Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Central Coast Mariners FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 FINAL

A League · 2023-24
Sat 25 May 2024 · 09:45 UTC Central Coast Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Central Coast Mariners FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Central Coast Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Kris Griffiths-Jones (Australia)

Recent Form

Season Stats

Central Coast Mariners FC Melbourne Victory FC
#9 Position #4
32 Points 40
26 Played 26
8 / 8 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
35 Scored 44
42 Conceded 33
-7 GD +11
1.23 PPG 1.54
31% Win % 42%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Central Coast Mariners FC to score. At the same time, Melbourne Victory FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Joshua Nisbet has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Adama Traore has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Melbourne Victory FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 21' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Adama Traore gets a card.
  • 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 31' Jason Geria needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 14 Yellow cards this season.
  • 36' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 41' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 46' Ryan Edmondson is replacing Alou Kuol for the Central Coast Mariners FC side.
  • 50' GOAL! Jason Geria fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 58' The Central Coast Mariners FC manager makes a substitution. Christian Theoharous departs to be replaced by Miguel Di Pizio.
  • 63' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Central Coast Mariners FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 68' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Daniel Arzani is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 70.
  • 70' The Central Coast Mariners FC manager makes a substitution. Storm Roux departs to be replaced by Ronald Barcellos.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Ben Folami. He replaces Daniel Arzani on 75 minute.
  • 80' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 83' Jacob Farrell picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Connor Chapman suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Jake Brimmer comes on to replace Jordi Valadon.
  • With this win, Central Coast Mariners FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.57 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Central Coast Mariners FC46% Draw25% Melbourne Victory FC29%
Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Central Coast Mariners FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
54%
Central Coast Mariners FC or Melbourne Victory FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Central Coast Mariners FC30% Draw44% Melbourne Victory FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Central Coast Mariners FC

Handicap Central Coast Mariners FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.