Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Fri 6 Jan 2023 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 22' Jack Hingert
Y 23' Jack Hingert
Cadete 78' Y
Nani 90' Y

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Brisbane Roar FC
#4 Position #11
40 Points 26
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 12
44 Scored 27
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD -9
1.54 PPG 1.00
42% Win % 23%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Melbourne Victory FC have kicked off against Brisbane Roar FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Australia international Ben Folami has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' Brisbane Roar FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 22' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jack Hingert.
  • 23' Brisbane Roar FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 23.
  • 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
  • 33' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kai Trewin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Brisbane Roar FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 48' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 53' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Warren Moon will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 58' It’s high time Warren Moon made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 60' Carlo Armiento was booked on 60.
  • 65' Brisbane Roar FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
  • 66' The Brisbane Roar FC manager makes a substitution. Jack Hingert departs to be replaced by Louis Zabala.
  • 68' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Ben Folami exits the field as Nishan Velupillay enters on 68.
  • 72' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Raimon Marchan gets a Yellow card.
  • 73' The James O'Shea breaks the deadlock on 73 minutes. 0-1!
  • 74' Lleyton Brooks gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Joshua Brillante and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Cadete as he leaves the pitch. Jay Barnett steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 85' Another substitution for Brisbane Roar FC to replace Carlo Armiento by Riku Danzaki on 85 minute.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Brisbane Roar FC. Nikola Mileusnic is replaced by Rahmat Akbari.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Nani. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 0-1 the final result. Melbourne Victory FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw31% Brisbane Roar FC25%
Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
56%
Melbourne Victory FC or Brisbane Roar FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC33% Draw52% Brisbane Roar FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.7%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 25% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✓
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.