Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 PLAYOFFS

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A League · 2023-24

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 18 May 2024 · 06:30 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 30' Daniel Arzani

Youstin Salas 90' Y

Y 98' Connor Chapman

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Elder
Referee Alex King

24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-01-19 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–2	L
12 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–0	D
27 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	3–0	W
19 Apr	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–0	W
06 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–2	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–1	W
12 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	0–0	D
05 May	Melbourne City FC	H	3–2	W
27 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	3–4	L
20 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–0	D
12 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#8	Position	#4
33	Points	40
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
36	Scored	44
48	Conceded	33
-12	GD	+11
1.27	PPG	1.54
35%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Wellington Regional Stadium. Wellington Phoenix FC are looking to make home advantage count against Melbourne Victory FC.
5' Wellington Phoenix FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
10' Paul Izzo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wellington Phoenix FC that had 209 games and scored 296 goals.
20' Daniel Arzani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
30' The referee calls foul for Daniel Arzani. He receives a card.
35' Alex Rufer is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
40' Wellington Phoenix FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Melbourne Victory FC backline.
45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Wellington Phoenix FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Wellington Phoenix FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
65' The supporters are chanting for Jake Brimmer. He replaces Jordi Valadon on 65 minute.
66' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Daniel Arzani is withdrawn and Ben Folami gets his opportunity.
71' It looks surprising Wellington Phoenix FC does not make any changes. Ben Old has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
73' The Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes a substitution. Bozhidar Kraev departs to be replaced by Oskar Zawada.
78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
82' Adama Traore puts Melbourne Victory FC on the lead.
85' Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Youstin Salas is hanging Nicholas Pennington on the field on 85 minute.
86' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 86 minute. Roly Bonevacia leaves to be changed by Connor Chapman.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Youstin Salas.
90' Chris Ikonomidis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bruno Fornaroli on 90 minute.
The points are shared — Wellington Phoenix FC 1-2 Melbourne Victory FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

10
David Ball ↓ Oskar van Hattum 66'
4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses
14
Alex Rufer
11
Bozhidar Kraev ↓ Oskar Zawada 73'
6
Tim Payne ↓ Mohamed Al-Taay 111'
19
Sam Sutton ↓ Lukas Kelly-Heald 111'
40
Alex Paulsen
3
Finn Surman ↓ Isaac Hughes 111'
15
Nicholas Pennington ↓ Youstin Salas 85'
8
Ben Old

Bench

24
Oskar van Hattum ↑ 66'
25
Jack Duncan
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↑ 111'
9
Oskar Zawada ↑ 73'
17
Youstin Salas ↑ 85'
26
Isaac Hughes ↑ 111'
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald ↑ 111'

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Damien da Silva
28
Roly Bonevacia ↓ Connor Chapman 86'
20
Paul Izzo
21
Roderick Miranda
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Ben Folami 66'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 90'
3
Adama Traore ↓ Kasey Bos 120'
12
Ryan Teague
2
Jason Geria
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Salim Khelifi 66'
27
Jordi Valadon ↓ Jake Brimmer 65'

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 66'
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 65'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 90'
23
Salim Khelifi ↑ 66'
14
Connor Chapman ↑ 86'
40
Christian Siciliano
37
Kasey Bos ↑ 120'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
David Ball	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-04-27 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–0 Macarthur FC W 2024-04-19 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-04-06 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-05-05 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Melbourne City FC W 2024-04-27 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Brisbane Roar FC D 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.29 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC34% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC39%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

61%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

66%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC23% Draw45% Melbourne Victory FC32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

8.1%

0 – 0

7.6%

2 – 1

7.2%

0 – 2

6.9%

1 – 0

6.5%

2 – 2

5.7%

2 – 0

4.7%

1 – 3

4.6%

0 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.