Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 PLAYOFFS
Overview
Match Preview
Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Elder
- Referee Alex King
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 May | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Apr | Macarthur FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 May | Melbourne City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 20 Apr | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Wellington Phoenix FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 36 | Scored | 44 |
| 48 | Conceded | 33 |
| -12 | GD | +11 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 35% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Wellington Phoenix FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jason Geria suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wellington Phoenix FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' Nicholas Pennington has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 50' A quiet spell here at Wellington Regional Stadium. Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 55' Melbourne Victory FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Roly Bonevacia is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 65' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Jordi Valadon is withdrawn and Jake Brimmer gets his opportunity.
- 66' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Ben Folami comes on to replace Daniel Arzani.
- 71' Wellington Phoenix FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Melbourne Victory FC backline.
- 73' Oskar Zawada is replacing Bozhidar Kraev for the Wellington Phoenix FC side.
- 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 82' GOAL! Adama Traore scores on 82. Assisted by Jake Brimmer
- 85' Fresh legs for Wellington Phoenix FC! Youstin Salas comes on to replace Nicholas Pennington.
- 86' Connor Chapman has so much to prove this time. He replaces Roly Bonevacia on 86 minute.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Youstin Salas on 90.
- 90' Chris Ikonomidis is replacing Bruno Fornaroli for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
- The points are shared — Wellington Phoenix FC 1-2 Melbourne Victory FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
David Ball ↓ Oskar van Hattum 66'
- 4
- 7
- 14
-
11
Bozhidar Kraev ↓ Oskar Zawada 73'
-
6
Tim Payne ↓ Mohamed Al-Taay 111'
-
19
Sam Sutton ↓ Lukas Kelly-Heald 111'
- 40
-
3
Finn Surman ↓ Isaac Hughes 111'
- 15
- 8
Bench
-
24
Oskar van Hattum ↑ 66'
- 25
-
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↑ 111'
-
9
Oskar Zawada ↑ 73'
-
17
Youstin Salas ↑ 85'
-
26
Isaac Hughes ↑ 111'
-
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald ↑ 111'
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
28
Roly Bonevacia ↓ Connor Chapman 86'
- 20
- 21
-
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Ben Folami 66'
- 10
-
3
Adama Traore ↓ Kasey Bos 120'
- 12
- 2
- 17
-
27
Jordi Valadon ↓ Jake Brimmer 65'
Bench
-
11
Ben Folami ↑ 66'
-
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 65'
-
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 90'
-
23
Salim Khelifi ↑ 66'
-
14
Connor Chapman ↑ 86'
- 40
-
37
Kasey Bos ↑ 120'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| David Ball | 2 |
Head to Head
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2024-05-18
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-05-12
Melbourne Victory FC
0–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2024-04-27
Wellington Phoenix FC
3–0
Macarthur FC
W
2024-04-19
Newcastle United Jets FC
1–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2024-04-12
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-04-06
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2024-05-18
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-05-12
Melbourne Victory FC
0–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2024-05-05
Melbourne Victory FC
3–2
Melbourne City FC
W
2024-04-27
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
2024-04-20
Melbourne Victory FC
0–0
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2024-04-12
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
66%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.9%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC
| Handicap | Wellington Phoenix FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.