Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 PLAYOFFS

Refresh

A League · 2023-24

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 18 May 2024 · 06:30 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 30' Daniel Arzani

Youstin Salas 90' Y

Y 98' Connor Chapman

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Elder
Referee Alex King

24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-01-19 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-11-10 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–2	L
12 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–0	D
27 Apr	Macarthur FC	H	3–0	W
19 Apr	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–0	W
06 Apr	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–2	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–1	W
12 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	0–0	D
05 May	Melbourne City FC	H	3–2	W
27 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	3–4	L
20 Apr	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–0	D
12 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#8	Position	#4
33	Points	40
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
36	Scored	44
48	Conceded	33
-12	GD	+11
1.27	PPG	1.54
35%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC get this one started.
5' Wellington Phoenix FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Melbourne Victory FC backline.
10' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
20' Wellington Phoenix FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
30' The referee calls foul for Daniel Arzani. He receives a card.
35' Finn Surman has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 209 appearances.
40' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
45' Wellington Phoenix FC have won 296 goals from 209 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
60' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
65' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Jordi Valadon trudges off to be replaced by Jake Brimmer on 65 minutes.
66' Ben Folami has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Arzani on 66 minute.
71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tim Payne, as he is very good at scoring at Wellington Regional Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
73' Fresh legs for Wellington Phoenix FC! Oskar Zawada comes on to replace Bozhidar Kraev.
78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
82' GOAL! Adama Traore scores on 82. Assisted by Jake Brimmer
85' The Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes a substitution. Nicholas Pennington departs to be replaced by Youstin Salas.
86' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Roly Bonevacia departs to be replaced by Connor Chapman.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Youstin Salas.
90' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Chris Ikonomidis on, Bruno Fornaroli off on 90 minutes.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

10
David Ball ↓ Oskar van Hattum 66'
4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses
14
Alex Rufer
11
Bozhidar Kraev ↓ Oskar Zawada 73'
6
Tim Payne ↓ Mohamed Al-Taay 111'
19
Sam Sutton ↓ Lukas Kelly-Heald 111'
40
Alex Paulsen
3
Finn Surman ↓ Isaac Hughes 111'
15
Nicholas Pennington ↓ Youstin Salas 85'
8
Ben Old

Bench

24
Oskar van Hattum ↑ 66'
25
Jack Duncan
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↑ 111'
9
Oskar Zawada ↑ 73'
17
Youstin Salas ↑ 85'
26
Isaac Hughes ↑ 111'
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald ↑ 111'

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Damien da Silva
28
Roly Bonevacia ↓ Connor Chapman 86'
20
Paul Izzo
21
Roderick Miranda
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Ben Folami 66'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 90'
3
Adama Traore ↓ Kasey Bos 120'
12
Ryan Teague
2
Jason Geria
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Salim Khelifi 66'
27
Jordi Valadon ↓ Jake Brimmer 65'

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 66'
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 65'
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 90'
23
Salim Khelifi ↑ 66'
14
Connor Chapman ↑ 86'
40
Christian Siciliano
37
Kasey Bos ↑ 120'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
David Ball	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-04-27 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–0 Macarthur FC W 2024-04-19 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-04-06 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-05-05 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Melbourne City FC W 2024-04-27 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Brisbane Roar FC D 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.29 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC34% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC39%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

61%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

66%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC23% Draw45% Melbourne Victory FC32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

8.1%

0 – 0

7.6%

2 – 1

7.2%

0 – 2

6.9%

1 – 0

6.5%

2 – 2

5.7%

2 – 0

4.7%

1 – 3

4.6%

0 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.