Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Macarthur FC 26 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jack Morgan
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Macarthur FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Melbourne City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Perth Glory FC | H | 6–1 | W |
| 04 May | Sydney FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Sydney FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Macarthur FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #7 |
| 40 | Points | 34 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 10 |
| 44 | Scored | 37 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +11 | GD | -7 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.31 |
| 42% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Macarthur FC this season
Macarthur FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Macarthur FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Macarthur FC
| Harry Sawyer | 6 G | 1 A |
| Mitchell Duke | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luke Vickery | 5 G | 1 A |
| Rafael Duran | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Macarthur FC get us underway at AAMI Park.
- 5' Macarthur FC is showing some good football. However, Macarthur FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 15' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Macarthur FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 30' Melbourne Victory FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Macarthur FC's shape.
- 35' Australia international Reno Piscopo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' Macarthur FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Macarthur FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' Walter Scott is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ivan Vujica at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' The deadlock is broken! Valere Germain gets on the scoresheet on 51 minutes.
- 56' Luke Brattan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 208 appearances.
- 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Macarthur FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 62' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Daniel Arzani on, Zinedine Machach off on 62 minutes.
- 67' Ivan Vujica needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 69' What composure from Daniel Arzani! The Australia international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 75' What composure from Reno Piscopo! The Australia international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 78' Another change for Macarthur FC made on 78 minute. Jed Drew leaves to be changed by Dean Bosnjak.
- 81' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Nikolaos Vergos is replaced by Jing Reec on 81 minute.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Jason Geria. He receives a card.
- 87' The whistle greets Kealey Adamson as he departs to be replaced by Harry Sawyer.
- 88' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Reno Piscopo trudges off to be replaced by Fabian Monge on 88 minutes.
- Melbourne Victory FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Fabian Monge 88'
- 6
- 25
- 2
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Clarismario 81'
- 14
- 28
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Jing Reec 81'
Bench
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 62'
- 3
- 22
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 88'
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 81'
- 30
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 81'
Coach
Patrick Kisnorbo
Macarthur FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
-
13
Ivan Vujica ↓ Walter Scott 46'
- 12
- 15
- 26
- 44
-
22
Liam Rose ↓ Joshua Damevski 78'
- 6
- 8
-
11
Jed Drew ↓ Dean Bosnjak 78'
-
20
Kealey Adamson ↓ Harry Sawyer 87'
Bench
-
18
Walter Scott ↑ 46'
- 30
- 5
-
27
Joshua Damevski ↑ 78'
-
28
Harry Sawyer ↑ 87'
-
24
Dean Bosnjak ↑ 78'
Coach
Mile Sterjovski
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Meredith | 2 |
| Matt Derbyshire | 2 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 2 |
| Ben Folami | 2 |
| Elvis Kamsoba | 2 |
| Joshua Brillante | 1 |
| Reno Piscopo | 1 |
| Craig Noone | 1 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2024-11-03
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Macarthur FC
W
2024-10-26
Melbourne City FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-10-18
Central Coast Mariners FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-05-25
Central Coast Mariners FC
3–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-05-18
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-05-12
Melbourne Victory FC
0–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
Macarthur FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Macarthur FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Macarthur FC
38%
Melbourne Victory FC or Macarthur FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Macarthur FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.