Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Macarthur FC 26 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jack Morgan
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Macarthur FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Melbourne City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Perth Glory FC | H | 6–1 | W |
| 04 May | Sydney FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Sydney FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Macarthur FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #7 |
| 40 | Points | 34 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 10 |
| 44 | Scored | 37 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| +11 | GD | -7 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.31 |
| 42% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Macarthur FC this season
Macarthur FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Macarthur FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Macarthur FC
| Harry Sawyer | 6 G | 1 A |
| Mitchell Duke | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luke Vickery | 5 G | 1 A |
| Rafael Duran | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Melbourne Victory FC get us underway at AAMI Park.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Macarthur FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tomislav Uskok is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Macarthur FC.
- 35' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 46' Macarthur FC ring the changes. Ivan Vujica has done his job and it is now time for Walter Scott to step up.
- 51' Valere Germain doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 62' The crowd applauds Zinedine Machach as he leaves the pitch. Daniel Arzani steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
- 67' Filip Kurto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 69' A stunning finish from Daniel Arzani — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 75' GOAL! Reno Piscopo scores on 75. Assisted by Kasey Bos
- 78' Jed Drew makes way for Dean Bosnjak at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Macarthur FC.
- 81' Jing Reec is replacing Nikolaos Vergos for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
- 82' Poor challenge from Jason Geria. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 87' The crowd applauds Kealey Adamson as he leaves the pitch. Harry Sawyer steps in for Macarthur FC.
- 88' Reno Piscopo makes way for Fabian Monge at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
- 2-1 the final result. Macarthur FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Fabian Monge 88'
- 6
- 25
- 2
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Clarismario 81'
- 14
- 28
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Jing Reec 81'
Bench
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 62'
- 3
- 22
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 88'
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 81'
- 30
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 81'
Coach
Patrick Kisnorbo
Macarthur FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
-
13
Ivan Vujica ↓ Walter Scott 46'
- 12
- 15
- 26
- 44
-
22
Liam Rose ↓ Joshua Damevski 78'
- 6
- 8
-
11
Jed Drew ↓ Dean Bosnjak 78'
-
20
Kealey Adamson ↓ Harry Sawyer 87'
Bench
-
18
Walter Scott ↑ 46'
- 30
- 5
-
27
Joshua Damevski ↑ 78'
-
28
Harry Sawyer ↑ 87'
-
24
Dean Bosnjak ↑ 78'
Coach
Mile Sterjovski
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elvis Kamsoba | 2 |
| James Meredith | 2 |
| Matt Derbyshire | 2 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 2 |
| Ben Folami | 2 |
| Jake Brimmer | 1 |
| Jake Hollmann | 1 |
| Roderick Miranda | 1 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2024-11-03
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Macarthur FC
W
2024-10-26
Melbourne City FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-10-18
Central Coast Mariners FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-05-25
Central Coast Mariners FC
3–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-05-18
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-05-12
Melbourne Victory FC
0–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
Macarthur FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Macarthur FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Macarthur FC
38%
Melbourne Victory FC or Macarthur FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Macarthur FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.