Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Macarthur FC

Sun 3 Nov 2024 · 05:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Jason Geria 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Macarthur FC 26 games · 34 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jack Morgan
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 12 games · Avg 2.8 goals Macarthur FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-03 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC 2024-02-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Macarthur FC 2023-11-24 Macarthur FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-04-23 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC 2022-12-11 Macarthur FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Nov	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
26 Oct	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
18 Oct	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–0	D
25 May	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–3	L
18 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–1	W
12 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	0–0	D

Macarthur FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–2	L
25 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	1–2	L
20 Oct	Perth Glory FC	H	6–1	W
04 May	Sydney FC	A	0–4	L
27 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	0–3	L
20 Apr	Sydney FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Macarthur FC
#4	Position	#7
40	Points	34
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 7 / 10
44	Scored	37
33	Conceded	44
+11	GD	-7
1.54	PPG	1.31
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Melbourne Victory FC kicks off things out of here…
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
10' Macarthur FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
20' Ivan Vujica has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
35' Jason Geria has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
40' The travelling Macarthur FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
45' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Macarthur FC's compact .
46' Walter Scott gets the nod from Macarthur FC. He replaces Ivan Vujica and will look to change the dynamic.
51' Assisted by Marin Jakolis with the perfectly-timed delivery and Valere Germain makes no mistake. 0-1!
56' Ryan Teague, a Australia , has 4 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
62' Daniel Arzani is replacing Zinedine Machach for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
67' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
69' Daniel Arzani adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
75' Reno Piscopo does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
78' Jed Drew makes way for Dean Bosnjak at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Macarthur FC.
81' Jing Reec is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nikolaos Vergos at the 81 minute mark.
82' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a card on 82.
87' Time for substitution for Macarthur FC. Kealey Adamson is replaced by Harry Sawyer.
88' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Reno Piscopo is replaced by Fabian Monge on 88 minute.
Another three points for Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 62'
3
Adama Traore
22
Joshua Rawlins
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 88'
19
Jing Reec ↑ 81'
30
Daniel Graskoski
11
Clarismario ↑ 81'

Coach Patrick Kisnorbo

Macarthur FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

18
Walter Scott ↑ 46'
30
Alex Robinson
5
Matthew Jurman
27
Joshua Damevski ↑ 78'
28
Harry Sawyer ↑ 87'
24
Dean Bosnjak ↑ 78'

Coach Mile Sterjovski

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ben Folami	2
Elvis Kamsoba	2
James Meredith	2
Matt Derbyshire	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2
Yianni Nicolaou	1
Jake Brimmer	1
Jake Hollmann	1

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-11-03 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2024-10-26 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D

Macarthur FC Form

2024-11-03 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC L 2024-10-25 Macarthur FC 1–2 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2024-10-20 Macarthur FC 6–1 Perth Glory FC W 2024-05-04 Sydney FC 4–0 Macarthur FC L 2024-04-27 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–0 Macarthur FC L 2024-04-20 Macarthur FC 1–0 Sydney FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.06 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 Macarthur FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC62% Draw22% Macarthur FC16%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Macarthur FC

38%

Melbourne Victory FC or Macarthur FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw42% Macarthur FC14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.4%

2 – 0

10.4%

1 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

3 – 1

6.6%

0 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 2

4.4%

0 – 1

3.9%

4 – 0

3.6%

4 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Macarthur FC covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	19%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	23%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	10%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.