Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne City FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Steven Ugarkovic 39' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne City FC 26 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee Alex King

18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne City FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-26 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-05 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Melbourne City FC 2024-04-06 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Melbourne City FC 2024-02-17 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-12-23 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Oct	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–3	L
19 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–0	W
05 May	Melbourne Victory FC	A	2–3	L
28 Apr	Western United FC	H	1–0	W
20 Apr	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–1	W
14 Apr	Perth Glory FC	H	8–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Oct	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
18 Oct	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–0	D
25 May	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–3	L
18 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–1	W
12 May	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	0–0	D
05 May	Melbourne City FC	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#6	Position	#4
38	Points	40
26	Played	26
10 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
33	Scored	44
33	Conceded	33
+0	GD	+11
1.46	PPG	1.54
38%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
Melbourne City FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne City FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

4/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/–

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne City FC

Max Caputo	8 G	1 A
Marcus Younis	7 G	3 A
Medin Memeti	5 G	1 A

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds AAMI Park will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne City FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
5' Assisted by Nikolaos Vergos with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nishan Velupillay makes no mistake. 0-1!
10' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
12' The deadlock is broken! Nikolaos Vergos gets on the scoresheet on 12 minutes.
17' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne City FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
22' Supporters expect more eagerness from Samuel Souprayen, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
25' Magnificent from Ryan Teague! That is 6 goals in 215 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
30' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
39' Steven Ugarkovic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 39.
44' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' Time for substitution for Melbourne City FC. German Ferreyra is replaced by Zane Schreiber.
51' Melbourne City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
56' Australia international Jordi Valadon has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
59' Time for substitution for Melbourne City FC. Callum Talbot is replaced by Andreas Kuen.
64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Andrew Nabbout makes no mistake. 1-3!
66' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Reno Piscopo departs to be replaced by Daniel Arzani.
71' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Aurelio Vidmar will be considering his options from the bench.
72' The whistle greets Zinedine Machach as he departs to be replaced by Clarismario.
77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
79' Harry Politidis is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yonatan Cohen at the 79 minute mark.
84' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
89' The whistle greets Nathaniel Atkinson as he departs to be replaced by Arion Sulemani.
90' The whistle greets Nishan Velupillay as he departs to be replaced by Fabian Monge.
Full Time. Melbourne Victory FC beats Melbourne City FC

Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

Starting XI

16
Aziz Behich
6
Steven Ugarkovic
15
Andrew Nabbout
10
Yonatan Cohen ↓ Harry Politidis 79'
13
Nathaniel Atkinson ↓ Arion Sulemani 89'
23
Marco Tilio
27
Kai Trewin
2
Callum Talbot ↓ Andreas Kuen 59'
33
Patrick Beach
26
Samuel Souprayen
22
German Ferreyra ↓ Zane Schreiber 46'

Bench

1
Jamie Young
30
Andreas Kuen ↑ 59'
38
Harry Politidis ↑ 79'
19
Zane Schreiber ↑ 46'
20
Arion Sulemani ↑ 89'
47
Kavian Rahmani
42
Benjamin Dunbar

Coach Aurelio Vidmar

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 66'
10
Bruno Fornaroli
3
Adama Traore
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 90'
19
Jing Reec ↑ 66'
30
Daniel Graskoski
11
Clarismario ↑ 72'

Coach Patrick Kisnorbo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamie MacLaren	10
Ola Toivonen	4
Nishan Velupillay	3
Aiden O'Neill	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Mathew Leckie	3
Marco Rojas	3
Jake Brimmer	3

Head to Head

Melbourne City FC Form

2024-10-26 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-10-19 Newcastle United Jets FC 0–1 Melbourne City FC W 2024-05-05 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Melbourne City FC L 2024-04-28 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Western United FC W 2024-04-20 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 1–2 Melbourne City FC W 2024-04-14 Melbourne City FC 8–0 Perth Glory FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-10-26 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-05-05 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Melbourne City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.41 Melbourne City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.51 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC33% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC40%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.92

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw

61%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

67%

Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne City FC26% Draw45% Melbourne Victory FC29%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 2

8.4%

2 – 1

7.8%

0 – 1

7.3%

0 – 0

7.2%

1 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

6.1%

2 – 2

5.9%

2 – 0

5.3%

1 – 3

Actual

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap	Melbourne City FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	18%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	19%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.