Sunday , 15 November 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee Alex King

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Melbourne Victory FC
#4 Position #9
7 Points 3
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 3 / 1
6 Scored 5
6 Conceded 6
+0 GD -1
1.75 PPG 0.75
50% Win % 0%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Melbourne City FC are 4th (7 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne City FC
Andrew Nabbout 2 G
Emiliano Marcondes 1 G 2 A
Matheus Rossetto 1 G
Awer Mabil 1 G
Quinn MacNicol 1 G
Melbourne Victory FC
Keegan Jelacic 2 G
Jordi Valadon 2 G
Charles Nduka 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC39% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC34%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
61%
Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC32% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC25%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.