Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee Alex King

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Melbourne Victory FC
#6 Position #4
38 Points 40
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
33 Scored 44
33 Conceded 33
+0 GD +11
1.46 PPG 1.54
38% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.41 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC33% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC40%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
67%
Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC26% Draw45% Melbourne Victory FC29%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.