Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 20 Apr 2024 · 07:30 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jack Morgan
  • Referee Sarah Ho (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Brisbane Roar FC H 0–0 D
12 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC A 0–1 L
06 Apr Melbourne City FC H 2–1 W
31 Mar Perth Glory FC H 2–1 W
14 Mar Western United FC A 2–2 D
09 Mar Adelaide United FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Melbourne Victory FC A 0–0 D
13 Apr Newcastle United Jets FC H 0–2 L
05 Apr Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
31 Mar Wellington Phoenix FC A 0–1 L
16 Mar Macarthur FC H 1–2 L
10 Mar Sydney FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Brisbane Roar FC
#4 Position #11
40 Points 26
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 12
44 Scored 27
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD -9
1.54 PPG 1.00
42% Win % 23%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Brisbane Roar FC get us underway at AAMI Park.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Brisbane Roar FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Jack Hingert has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 205 appearances.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Brisbane Roar FC have won 245 goals from 205 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' Florin Berenguer is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Brisbane Roar FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Damien da Silva made 424 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' Rylan Brownlie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 51' Jason Geria has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 51.
  • 55' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Zinedine Machach is withdrawn and Connor Chapman gets his opportunity.
  • 59' The whistle greets Jack Hingert as he departs to be replaced by Jez Lofthouse.
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' The whistle greets Fabian Monge as he departs to be replaced by Roly Bonevacia.
  • 73' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luciano Trani might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 75' The whistle greets Antonee Burke-Gilroy as he departs to be replaced by Louis Zabala.
  • 80' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 82' Chris Ikonomidis catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 84' The Brisbane Roar FC bench stirs into life. Nikola Mileusnic is withdrawn and Jonas Markovski gets his opportunity.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Salim Khelifi. He replaces Daniel Arzani on 86 minute.
  • 87' Leigh Broxham has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jake Brimmer on 87 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC45% Draw30% Brisbane Roar FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
55%
Melbourne Victory FC or Brisbane Roar FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC31% Draw52% Brisbane Roar FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.