Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Brisbane Roar FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 15' Jason Geria

Henry Hore 39' Y

Antonee Burke-Gilroy 62' Y

Keegan Jelacic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.

Brisbane Roar FC 3 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Elder
Referee Joanna Charaktis (Australia)

3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Brisbane Roar FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-01-06 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2022-10-29 Brisbane Roar FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-04-25 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	H	3–2	W
23 Feb	Western United FC	H	2–2	D
17 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–3	L
10 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	5–1	W
02 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D
27 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–2	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	2–3	L
25 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–1	L
20 Feb	Western United FC	H	2–1	W
17 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	0–0	D
10 Feb	Macarthur FC	H	0–1	L
03 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#3	Position	#9
7	Points	3
3	Played	4
2 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 3 / 1
5	Scored	5
3	Conceded	6
+2	GD	-1
2.33	PPG	0.75
67%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Brisbane Roar FC are 3rd (7 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/1

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	2 G
Tom Aldred	1 G
Tae-Hee Nam	1 G
Sabit James	1 G

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne Victory FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
15' Poor challenge from Jason Geria. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
20' Brisbane Roar FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Melbourne Victory FC backline.
23' Brisbane Roar FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Marco Rojas on 23.
28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Brisbane Roar FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nishan Velupillay is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Melbourne Victory FC.
35' Against the run of play, Zinedine Machach has scored! This game has turned on its head.
39' Henry Hore has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
44' Joe Caletti, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
49' Brisbane Roar FC is showing some good football. However, Brisbane Roar FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
54' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
56' The New Zealand Marco Rojas breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 2-1!
57' A change in the Brisbane Roar FC ranks — Florin Berenguer exits the field as Nikola Mileusnic enters on 57.
62' That looks like a foul for a card for Antonee Burke-Gilroy.
66' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Ben Folami on, Daniel Arzani off on 66 minutes.
67' Ayom Majok gets the nod from Brisbane Roar FC. He replaces Marco Rojas and will look to change the dynamic.
70' Thomas Waddingham has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
74' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Salim Khelifi has done his job and it is now time for Nishan Velupillay to step up.
79' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
82' The supporters are chanting for Fabian Monge. He replaces Jake Brimmer on 82 minute.
86' What a moment for Roly Bonevacia! That strike on 86 puts his side firmly in control.
88' Brisbane Roar FC make a change. Thomas Waddingham trudges off to be replaced by Jonas Markovski on 88 minutes.
90' Keegan Jelacic was booked on 90.
The points are shared — Brisbane Roar FC 3-2 Melbourne Victory FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

20
Marco Rojas ↓ Ayom Majok 67'
19
Jack Hingert
6
Joe Caletti ↓ Jay O'Shea 57'
5
Tom Aldred
7
Florin Berenguer ↓ Nikola Mileusnic 57'
1
Macklin Freke
27
Kai Trewin
23
Keegan Jelacic
13
Henry Hore
21
Antonee Burke-Gilroy
15
Thomas Waddingham ↓ Jonas Markovski 88'

Bench

3
Corey Brown
10
Nikola Mileusnic ↑ 57'
99
Ayom Majok ↑ 67'
35
Louis Zabala
29
Matthew Acton
26
Jay O'Shea ↑ 57'
8
Jonas Markovski ↑ 88'

Coach Luciano Trani

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Damien da Silva
8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 74'
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Fabian Monge 82'
20
Paul Izzo
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Ben Folami 66'
23
Salim Khelifi ↓ Nishan Velupillay 74'
10
Bruno Fornaroli
3
Adama Traore
14
Connor Chapman
12
Ryan Teague
2
Jason Geria

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 66'
16
Stefan Nigro
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 74'
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 74'
40
Christian Siciliano
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 82'

Coach Tony Popović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kosta Barbarouses	7
Scott McDonald	3
Ola Toivonen	3
Marco Rojas	2
Riku Danzaki	2
Andrew Nabbout	2
Jordan Courtney-Perkins	1
Jake Brimmer	1

Head to Head

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-02-23 Brisbane Roar FC 2–2 Western United FC D 2024-02-17 Perth Glory FC 3–2 Brisbane Roar FC L 2024-02-10 Brisbane Roar FC 5–1 Melbourne City FC W 2024-02-02 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-01-27 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC W 2024-02-17 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-02-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Macarthur FC L 2024-02-03 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.97 Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Brisbane Roar FC59% Draw23% Melbourne Victory FC18%

Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.96

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

41%

Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Brisbane Roar FC42% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.9%

2 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

9.6%

1 – 0

9.6%

0 – 0

6.9%

3 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

6.3%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.7%

0 – 1

4.4%

3 – 2

Actual

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap	Brisbane Roar FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	18%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	23%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.