Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Brisbane Roar FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 15' Jason Geria

Henry Hore 39' Y

Antonee Burke-Gilroy 62' Y

Keegan Jelacic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.

Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Elder
Referee Joanna Charaktis (Australia)

24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Brisbane Roar FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2023-01-06 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC 2022-10-29 Brisbane Roar FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-04-25 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	H	3–2	W
23 Feb	Western United FC	H	2–2	D
17 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–3	L
10 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	5–1	W
02 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D
27 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–2	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	2–3	L
25 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–1	L
20 Feb	Western United FC	H	2–1	W
17 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	0–0	D
10 Feb	Macarthur FC	H	0–1	L
03 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#11	Position	#4
26	Points	40
26	Played	26
6 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
27	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
-9	GD	+11
1.00	PPG	1.54
23%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	4 G	2 A
Chris Long	4 G	1 A
Samuel Klein	4 G

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Suncorp Stadium. Brisbane Roar FC are looking to make home advantage count against Melbourne Victory FC.
5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
10' New Zealand international Marco Rojas has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
15' That looks like a foul for a card for Jason Geria.
20' Brisbane Roar FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
23' The New Zealand Marco Rojas breaks the deadlock on 23 minutes. 1-0!
28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Antonee Burke-Gilroy, as he is very good at scoring at Suncorp Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
35' Zinedine Machach adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
39' Controversy at the stadium! Henry Hore argues furiously but the card stands.
44' Fabian Monge needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
49' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luciano Trani will be considering his options from the bench.
54' It’s high time Tony Popović made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
56' What a strike from Marco Rojas! The score is 2-1.
57' Another change for Brisbane Roar FC made on 57 minute. Florin Berenguer leaves to be changed by Nikola Mileusnic.
62' Antonee Burke-Gilroy was booked on 62.
66' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Ben Folami on, Daniel Arzani off on 66 minutes.
67' Marco Rojas makes way for Ayom Majok at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Brisbane Roar FC.
70' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Thomas Waddingham makes no mistake. 3-1!
74' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Salim Khelifi exits the field as Nishan Velupillay enters on 74.
79' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
82' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 82 minute. Jake Brimmer leaves to be changed by Fabian Monge.
86' Roly Bonevacia does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
88' The supporters are chanting for Jonas Markovski. He replaces Thomas Waddingham on 88 minute.
90' It’s a booking for Brisbane Roar FC player. Keegan Jelacic gets a card.
It finishes all square. Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne Victory FC share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

20
Marco Rojas ↓ Ayom Majok 67'
19
Jack Hingert
6
Joe Caletti ↓ Jay O'Shea 57'
5
Tom Aldred
7
Florin Berenguer ↓ Nikola Mileusnic 57'
1
Macklin Freke
27
Kai Trewin
23
Keegan Jelacic
13
Henry Hore
21
Antonee Burke-Gilroy
15
Thomas Waddingham ↓ Jonas Markovski 88'

Bench

3
Corey Brown
10
Nikola Mileusnic ↑ 57'
99
Ayom Majok ↑ 67'
35
Louis Zabala
29
Matthew Acton
26
Jay O'Shea ↑ 57'
8
Jonas Markovski ↑ 88'

Coach Luciano Trani

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Damien da Silva
8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Chris Ikonomidis 74'
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Fabian Monge 82'
20
Paul Izzo
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Ben Folami 66'
23
Salim Khelifi ↓ Nishan Velupillay 74'
10
Bruno Fornaroli
3
Adama Traore
14
Connor Chapman
12
Ryan Teague
2
Jason Geria

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 66'
16
Stefan Nigro
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 74'
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 74'
40
Christian Siciliano
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 82'

Coach Tony Popović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kosta Barbarouses	7
Scott McDonald	3
Ola Toivonen	3
Andrew Nabbout	2
Marco Rojas	2
Riku Danzaki	2
Thomas Waddingham	1
Ben Folami	1

Head to Head

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-02-23 Brisbane Roar FC 2–2 Western United FC D 2024-02-17 Perth Glory FC 3–2 Brisbane Roar FC L 2024-02-10 Brisbane Roar FC 5–1 Melbourne City FC W 2024-02-02 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-01-27 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC W 2024-02-17 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-02-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Macarthur FC L 2024-02-03 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.48 Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.35 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Brisbane Roar FC45% Draw26% Melbourne Victory FC29%

Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

55%

Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Brisbane Roar FC29% Draw46% Melbourne Victory FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted

3 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

12.7%

2 – 1

8.4%

1 – 0

7.8%

0 – 0

7.8%

1 – 2

7.7%

0 – 1

2 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

5.7%

0 – 2

5.3%

3 – 1

4.1%

1 – 3

3.5%

3 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap	Brisbane Roar FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	20%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	18%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.