Thursday , 1 October 2026

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Joanna Charaktis (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Melbourne Victory FC H 3–2 W
23 Feb Western United FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb Perth Glory FC A 2–3 L
10 Feb Melbourne City FC H 5–1 W
02 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–1 D
27 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Brisbane Roar FC A 2–3 L
25 Feb Central Coast Mariners FC H 0–1 L
20 Feb Western United FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Melbourne City FC A 0–0 D
10 Feb Macarthur FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC Melbourne Victory FC
#11 Position #4
26 Points 40
26 Played 26
6 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
27 Scored 44
36 Conceded 33
-9 GD +11
1.00 PPG 1.54
23% Win % 42%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne Victory FC is underway.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' That looks like a foul for a card for Jason Geria.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 23' The deadlock is broken! Marco Rojas gets on the scoresheet on 23 minutes.
  • 28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Brisbane Roar FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 33' Brisbane Roar FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' What an equalizer from Zinedine Machach!
  • 39' Henry Hore has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
  • 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
  • 49' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 54' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luciano Trani might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' The deadlock is broken! Marco Rojas gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
  • 57' The Brisbane Roar FC bench stirs into life. Florin Berenguer is withdrawn and Nikola Mileusnic gets his opportunity.
  • 62' It’s gonna be a card for Antonee Burke-Gilroy.
  • 66' Ben Folami is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Arzani at the 66 minute mark.
  • 67' Ayom Majok is replacing Marco Rojas for the Brisbane Roar FC side.
  • 70' Thomas Waddingham doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 74' The whistle greets Salim Khelifi as he departs to be replaced by Nishan Velupillay.
  • 79' It’s high time Tony Popović made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 82' Jake Brimmer makes way for Fabian Monge at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 86' Roly Bonevacia makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and Melbourne Victory FC are in front.
  • 88' Jonas Markovski has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thomas Waddingham on 88 minute.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Keegan Jelacic.
  • The points are shared — Brisbane Roar FC 3-2 Melbourne Victory FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.48 Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC45% Draw26% Melbourne Victory FC29%
Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
55%
Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC29% Draw46% Melbourne Victory FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap Brisbane Roar FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.