Sunday , 26 July 2026

KKS Lech Poznań vs Qarabağ Ağdam FK, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 1

Tue 5 Jul 2022 · 18:00 UTC INEA Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
KKS Lech Poznań 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Qarabağ Ağdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
03 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–4 L
26 Nov Royal Standard de Liege A 1–2 L
05 Nov Royal Standard de Liege H 3–1 W
29 Oct Rangers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul KKS Lech Poznań A 0–1 L
03 Dec Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor H 2–3 L
05 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor A 0–2 L
29 Oct Villarreal CF H 1–3 L
22 Oct Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
Qarabağ Ağdam FK this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Qarabağ Ağdam FK
Camilo Duran 5 G 2 A
Leandro Andrade 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. KKS Lech Poznan host Qarabag Agdam FK — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gurban Gurbanov will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His KKS Lech Poznan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Ibrahima Wadji has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' KKS Lech Poznan is showing some good football. However, KKS Lech Poznan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' KKS Lech Poznan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 36' It’s a booking for Qarabag Agdam FK player. Richard Almeida gets a Yellow card.
  • 41' It is a cagey affair so far. KKS Lech Poznan in their trying to find a way past Qarabag Agdam FK's compact .
  • 46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 48' That is a Yellow card for Qarabag Agdam FK. Leandro Andrade will be fuming at that decision.
  • 53' It looks like no one’s ball. KKS Lech Poznan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 58' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kevin Medina, as he is very good at scoring at INEA Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Qarabag Agdam FK team. Ibrahima Wadji is replaced by Ramil Sheydaev on 62 minute.
  • 63' A tactical swap from KKS Lech Poznan — Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua on, Kristoffer Velde off on 63 minutes.
  • 68' Qarabag Agdam FK fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 73' The travelling Qarabag Agdam FK supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 78' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Qarabag Agdam FK — Tural Bayramov on, Elvin Jafarquliyev off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Abdellah Zoubir suffering a number of foals already.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. KKS Lech Poznan take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 KKS Lech Poznań xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Qarabağ Ağdam FK xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznań51% Draw30% Qarabağ Ağdam FK19%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznań win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznań or Draw
81%
Draw or Qarabağ Ağdam FK
49%
KKS Lech Poznań or Qarabağ Ağdam FK
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KKS Lech Poznań31% Draw55% Qarabağ Ağdam FK14%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznań win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznań

Handicap KKS Lech Poznań covers Push Qarabağ Ağdam FK covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznań keeps clean sheet
51%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.