Monday , 12 October 2026

KKS Lech Poznan vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 1

Tue 5 Jul 2022 · 18:00 UTC INEA Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
KKS Lech Poznan 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Qarabag Agdam FK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
03 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–4 L
26 Nov Royal Standard de Liege A 1–2 L
05 Nov Royal Standard de Liege H 3–1 W
29 Oct Rangers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul KKS Lech Poznan A 0–1 L
03 Dec Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor H 2–3 L
05 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor A 0–2 L
29 Oct Villarreal CF H 1–3 L
22 Oct Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. KKS Lech Poznan host Qarabag Agdam FK — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at INEA Stadion. Qarabag Agdam FK seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Qarabag Agdam FK is showing some good football. However, Qarabag Agdam FK are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His KKS Lech Poznan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John van den Brom will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' Qarabag Agdam FK fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Richard Almeida on 36.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shakhruddin Magomedaliyev made 252 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marko Vesovic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 48' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Leandro Andrade.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' KKS Lech Poznan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Qarabag Agdam FK backline.
  • 62' The Qarabag Agdam FK bench stirs into life. Ibrahima Wadji is withdrawn and Ramil Sheydaev gets his opportunity.
  • 63' It is a substitution in KKS Lech Poznan team. Kristoffer Velde is replaced by Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua on 63 minute.
  • 68' Both keepers have barely been tested. KKS Lech Poznan and Qarabag Agdam FK are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 73' KKS Lech Poznan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Qarabag Agdam FK's shape.
  • 78' It looks like no one’s ball. KKS Lech Poznan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 82' The whistle greets Elvin Jafarquliyev as he departs to be replaced by Tural Bayramov.
  • 87' KKS Lech Poznan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 87.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — KKS Lech Poznan 1-0 Qarabag Agdam FK.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 KKS Lech Poznan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznan51% Draw30% Qarabag Agdam FK19%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznan or Draw
81%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
49%
KKS Lech Poznan or Qarabag Agdam FK
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KKS Lech Poznan31% Draw55% Qarabag Agdam FK14%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznan

Handicap KKS Lech Poznan covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.