Thursday , 2 July 2026

KKS Lech Poznan vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 1

Tue 5 Jul 2022 · 18:00 UTC INEA Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
KKS Lech Poznan 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Qarabag Agdam FK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
03 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–4 L
26 Nov Royal Standard de Liege A 1–2 L
05 Nov Royal Standard de Liege H 3–1 W
29 Oct Rangers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul KKS Lech Poznan A 0–1 L
03 Dec Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor H 2–3 L
05 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor A 0–2 L
29 Oct Villarreal CF H 1–3 L
22 Oct Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
Qarabag Agdam FK this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. KKS Lech Poznan is hosting Qarabag Agdam FK for another epic battle.
  • 5' It’s high time John van den Brom made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leandro Andrade suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Qara Garayev, as he is very good at scoring at INEA Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' KKS Lech Poznan is showing some good football. However, KKS Lech Poznan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joao Amaral made 22 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Maksim Medvedev has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 36' The referee calls foul for Richard Almeida. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Qarabag Agdam FK needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' It looks like no one’s ball. Qarabag Agdam FK is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 48' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Leandro Andrade.
  • 53' Filip Ozobic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Qarabag Agdam FK team. Ibrahima Wadji is replaced by Ramil Sheydaev on 62 minute.
  • 63' Time for substitution for KKS Lech Poznan. Kristoffer Velde is replaced by Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua.
  • 68' Qarabag Agdam FK is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 73' KKS Lech Poznan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 78' It looks surprising Qarabag Agdam FK does not make any changes. Tural Bayramov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 82' Another substitution for Qarabag Agdam FK to replace Elvin Jafarquliyev by Tural Bayramov on 82 minute.
  • 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 KKS Lech Poznan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznan51% Draw30% Qarabag Agdam FK19%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznan or Draw
81%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
49%
KKS Lech Poznan or Qarabag Agdam FK
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KKS Lech Poznan31% Draw55% Qarabag Agdam FK14%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznan

Handicap KKS Lech Poznan covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
51%
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.