Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC WWK Arena 27,310 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Ludovic Ajorque
Ermedin Demirovic 15' 1–1
Ermedin Demirovic 45' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at WWK Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
16 Sep RB Leipzig A 0–3 L
02 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–2 D
27 Aug FC Bayern München A 1–3 L
19 Aug Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–4 D
13 Aug SpVgg Unterhaching A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
27 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
20 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–4 L
12 Aug SV 07 Elversberg A 1–0 W

Season Stats

FC Augsburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #10
43 Points 40
34 Played 34
12 / 7 / 15 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
45 Scored 44
61 Conceded 53
-16 GD -9
1.26 PPG 1.18
35% Win % 29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Augsburg are 9th (43 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/3
46-60
/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds WWK Arena will turn into a battlefield for FC Augsburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 5' Stefan Bell has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 6' What composure from Ludovic Ajorque! The France international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 10' What a strike from Stefan Bell! The score is 0-2.
  • 15' Magnificent from Ermedin Demirovic! That is 60 goals in 328 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 25' Patric Pfeiffer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 234 appearances.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with 1. FSV Mainz 05 winning 100% of all matches.
  • 35' Aymen Barkok is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 40' FC Augsburg currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 43' The whistle greets Danny da Costa as he departs to be replaced by Aymen Barkok.
  • 45' Ermedin Demirovic with the second goal in the match!
  • 50' Anwar El Ghazi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 55' 1. FSV Mainz 05 looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 60' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Arne Engels.
  • 65' Another change for FC Augsburg made on 65 minute. Ruben Vargas leaves to be changed by Tim Breithaupt.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Stefan Bell as he leaves the pitch. Sepp van den Berg steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 72' FC Augsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Maximilian Bauer is hanging Patric Pfeiffer on the field on 72 minute.
  • 74' Brajan Gruda is having his name booked by the referee on 74.
  • 77' Robin Zentner catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 77.
  • 80' The whistle greets Leandro Barreiro Martins as he departs to be replaced by Marco Richter.
  • 85' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Danny da Costa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 89' Another substitution for FC Augsburg to replace Ermedin Demirovic by Dion Drena Beljo on 89 minute.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for FC Augsburg. Niklas Dorsch will be fuming at that decision.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 FC Augsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Augsburg45% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%
Actual: FC Augsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw
70%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
55%
FC Augsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Augsburg33% Draw41% 1. FSV Mainz 0526%
Actual: FC Augsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap FC Augsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 16% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
22%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.