Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
Paul Nebel 35' 1–0
1–1 49' Patrik Schick pen
1–2 54' Patrik Schick
Jonathan Burkardt pen 63' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
04 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 2–4 L
04 May SC Freiburg A 2–2 D
26 Apr FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
20 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#6 Position #5
7 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
10 Scored 10
6 Conceded 5
+4 GD +5
1.75 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.74 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0537% Draw25% Bayer 04 Leverkusen38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
62%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
63%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0528% Draw40% Bayer 04 Leverkusen32%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
5%
0 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 0
4%
3 – 2
4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 17% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 18% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.