1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 2

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sat 17 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'

Paul Nebel 35' 1–0

1–1 49' Patrik Schick pen

1–2 54' Patrik Schick

Jonathan Burkardt pen 63' 2–2

Stephan Kuhnert 34' Y

Stefan Bell 40' Y

Y 40' Exequiel Palacios

Y 45' Aleix Garcia

Y 59' Piero Hincapie

Y 68' David Thiel

Y 68' Xabi Alonso

Y 68' Arthur Augusto

Andreas Hanche-Olsen 81' Y

Y 83' Jonathan Tah

Y 87' Florian Wirtz

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Reichel
Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim

13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2023-02-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D
10 May	VfL Bochum 1848	A	4–1	W
04 May	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D
26 Apr	FC Bayern München	A	0–3	L
19 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	H	2–2	D
12 Apr	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	0–2	L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–2	D
11 May	Borussia Dortmund	H	2–4	L
04 May	SC Freiburg	A	2–2	D
26 Apr	FC Augsburg	H	2–0	W
20 Apr	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	1. FC Union Berlin	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#10	Position	#6
40	Points	59
34	Played	34
10 / 10 / 14	W / D / L	17 / 8 / 9
44	Scored	68
53	Conceded	47
-9	GD	+21
1.18	PPG	1.74
29%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at MEWA Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
5' Bayer 04 Leverkusen looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
10' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Alejandro Grimaldo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
20' Bayer 04 Leverkusen come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
25' Bayer 04 Leverkusen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Arthur Augusto is hanging Alejandro Grimaldo on the field on 25 minute.
30' Nathan Tella needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
34' Poor challenge from Stephan Kuhnert. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
35' Paul Nebel has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 35 minutes.
40' That looks like a foul for a card for Stefan Bell.
45' Aleix Garcia picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
46' It is a substitution in Bayer 04 Leverkusen team. Nathan Tella is replaced by Amine Adli on 46 minute.
49' A goal from the Czech Republic international Patrik Schick! He fires home on 49 to make it 1-1!
54' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Patrik Schick makes it 1-2.
59' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a card for a hard tackle on 59.
63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jonathan Burkardt makes it 2-2.
68' David Thiel picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
71' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Nikolas Veratschnig comes on to replace Anthony Caci.
76' Amine Adli, a Morocco left winger, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andreas Hanche-Olsen on 81.
83' Jonathan Tah has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
87' The referee has no hesitation. Florian Wirtz is booked for Bayer 04 Leverkusen — card on 87.
87' Aleix Garcia makes way for Emiliano Buendia at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
90' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Nadiem Amiri exits the field as Lennart Maloney enters on 90.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 71'
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Silvan Widmer 87'
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Nelson Weiper 90'
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Lennart Maloney 90'
21
Danny da Costa
8
Paul Nebel
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 90'

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

4
Jonathan Tah
1
Lukas Hradecky
7
Jonas Hofmann ↓ Robert Andrich 46'
24
Aleix Garcia ↓ Emiliano Buendia 87'
14
Patrik Schick
25
Exequiel Palacios
20
Alejandro Grimaldo ↓ Arthur Augusto 25'
12
Edmond Tapsoba
10
Florian Wirtz
19
Nathan Tella ↓ Amine Adli 46'
3
Piero Hincapie

Bench

Coach Xabi Alonso

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	5
Lucas Alario	4
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Jeremie Frimpong	2
Nadiem Amiri	2
Kai Havertz	2
Julian Brandt	2
Alejandro Grimaldo	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-05-10 VfL Bochum 1848 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-05-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2025-04-12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-05-11 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–4 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-05-04 SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-04-26 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 FC Augsburg W 2025-04-20 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-04-12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 1. FC Union Berlin D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.43 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw26% Bayer 04 Leverkusen42%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

58%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

68%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0523% Draw42% Bayer 04 Leverkusen35%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.7%

1 – 2

8.9%

2 – 1

6.8%

0 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

6.2%

1 – 3

5.5%

0 – 0

5.2%

1 – 0

4.5%

2 – 3

0 – 3

3.9%

2 – 0

3.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	15%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	20%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.