Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
Paul Nebel 35' 1–0
1–1 49' Patrik Schick pen
1–2 54' Patrik Schick
Jonathan Burkardt pen 63' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
04 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 2–4 L
04 May SC Freiburg A 2–2 D
26 Apr FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
20 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
12 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#16 Position #12
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.79 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0531% Draw34% Bayer 04 Leverkusen35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
65%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
69%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw58% Bayer 04 Leverkusen24%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.1%
0 – 1
15.2%
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
2.3%
1 – 3
2%
3 – 1
1.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 18% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 22% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
39%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.