VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

VfL Wolfsburg

1 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Soren Storks

4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
23 Aug	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	3–1	W
16 Aug	SV Hemelingen	A	9–0	W
17 May	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	1–0	W
09 May	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–2	D
03 May	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–4	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	1. FC Köln	H	0–1	L
18 Aug	SG Dynamo Dresden	A	1–0	W
17 May	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D
10 May	VfL Bochum 1848	A	4–1	W
04 May	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the football do the talking.
The points are shared — VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 1. FSV Mainz 05. Honours even.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Max Kruse	3
Maximilian Philipp	2
Sebastiaan Bornauw	2
Stefan Bell	2
Wout Weghorst	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-23 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-08-16 SV Hemelingen 0–9 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-05-17 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-05-09 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2025-05-03 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Köln L 2025-08-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-05-10 VfL Bochum 1848 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-05-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.33 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.42 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg38% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0535%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

66%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

62%

VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg26% Draw46% 1. FSV Mainz 0528%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.3%

1 – 2

8.2%

0 – 1

8.1%

2 – 1

7.7%

1 – 0

7.5%

0 – 2

6.3%

2 – 0

5.6%

2 – 2

5.5%

1 – 3

3.9%

3 – 1

3.5%

0 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	18%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	20%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.