VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

VfL Wolfsburg

1 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Soren Storks

17 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
23 Aug	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	3–1	W
16 Aug	SV Hemelingen	A	9–0	W
17 May	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	1–0	W
09 May	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–2	D
03 May	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–4	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–1	D
24 Aug	1. FC Koln	H	0–1	L
18 Aug	SG Dynamo Dresden	A	1–0	W
17 May	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D
10 May	VfL Bochum 1848	A	4–1	W
04 May	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg		1. FSV Mainz 05
#16	Position	#10
29	Points	40
34	Played	34
7 / 8 / 19	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
45	Scored	44
69	Conceded	53
-24	GD	-9
0.85	PPG	1.18
21%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. VfL Wolfsburg kicks off things out of here…
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonas Wind	7
Max Kruse	3
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Renato Steffen	2
Paul Nebel	2
Maximilian Philipp	2
Sebastiaan Bornauw	2

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-23 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-08-16 SV Hemelingen 0–9 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-05-17 Borussia Monchengladbach 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-05-09 VfL Wolfsburg 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2025-05-03 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Koln L 2025-08-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-05-17 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-05-10 VfL Bochum 1848 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-05-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.42 VfL Wolfsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.67 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg37% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0537%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.09

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw

62%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

63%

VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfL Wolfsburg25% Draw44% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

8.7%

2 – 1

7.4%

0 – 1

6.8%

0 – 2

6.3%

0 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 0

5.6%

1 – 3

4.8%

2 – 0

4.6%

3 – 1

3.5%

2 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap	VfL Wolfsburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	17%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	20%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.