Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
23 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–1 W
16 Aug SV Hemelingen A 9–0 W
17 May Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
09 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–2 D
03 May Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
24 Aug 1. FC Köln H 0–1 L
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
17 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
04 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#1 Position #16
29 Points 0
34 Played 0
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
69 Conceded 0
-24 GD +0
0.85 PPG
21% Win %

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.68 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Under — clean sheet likely 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg32% Draw35% 1. FSV Mainz 0533%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
67%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
68%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg16% Draw61% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.3%
0 – 1
16.9%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 1
4.3%
0 – 3
2.3%
2 – 2
2.1%
1 – 3
1.7%
3 – 1
1%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 17% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 23% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
42%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.