Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 20 Sep 2024 · 18:30 UTC WWK Arena 30,660 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 13' Armindo Sieb
0–2 15' Jonathan Burkardt
1–3 49' Jonathan Burkardt
Samuel Essende 57' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at WWK Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Christian Bandurski
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–3 L
15 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–1 W
01 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–4 L
24 Aug SV Werder Bremen H 2–2 D
18 Aug FC Viktoria 1889 Berlin A 4–1 W
18 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
15 Sep SV Werder Bremen H 1–2 L
31 Aug VfB Stuttgart A 3–3 D
24 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D
16 Aug SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–1 W
18 May VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W

Season Stats

FC Augsburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#4 Position #6
7 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
11 Scored 10
6 Conceded 6
+5 GD +4
1.75 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Augsburg are 4th (7 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
5/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.17 FC Augsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Augsburg37% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0540%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw
60%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
63%
FC Augsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Augsburg32% Draw36% 1. FSV Mainz 0532%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 2
5%
2 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap FC Augsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 17% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 17% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.