FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at WWK Arena.
- FC Augsburg 34 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Soren Storks
- Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
- Assistant 2 Christian Bandurski
17 games this season
🟨 0.5/game
⚽ 3.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 0–4 | L |
| 24 Aug | SV Werder Bremen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Aug | FC Viktoria 1889 Berlin | A | 4–1 | W |
| 18 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 May | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Augsburg | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #10 |
| 43 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 7 / 15 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 45 | Scored | 44 |
| 61 | Conceded | 53 |
| -16 | GD | -9 |
| 1.26 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 35% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season
FC Augsburg this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
FC Augsburg are 9th (43 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Augsburg
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at WWK Arena!
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Marius Wolf has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 13' Armindo Sieb adds to his 0 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 15' The Germany Jonathan Burkardt breaks the deadlock on 15 minutes. 0-2!
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' Keven Schlotterbeck does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Augsburg surge ahead!
- 28' The referee has no hesitation. Andreas Hanche-Olsen is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 28.
- 33' Nadiem Amiri picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 35' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nadiem Amiri.
- 39' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Armindo Sieb departs to be replaced by Aymen Barkok.
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' Steve Mounie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maximilian Bauer at the 46 minute mark.
- 49' Jonathan Burkardt with the second goal in the match!
- 54' The 28-year-old Frank Onyeka has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 56.
- 57' What composure from Samuel Essende! The DR Congo international strokes it home. 2-3.
- 61' Time for substitution for FC Augsburg. Kristijan Jakic is replaced by Arne Maier.
- 63' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Maxim Leitsch on, Hyun-seok Hong off on 63 minutes.
- 68' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 70' FC Augsburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
- 72' FC Augsburg ring the changes. Ruben Vargas has done his job and it is now time for Phillip Tietz to step up.
- 77' 1. FSV Mainz 05 has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 80' Another substitution for FC Augsburg to replace Marius Wolf by Yusuf Kabadayi on 80 minute.
- 84' The referee shows FC Augsburg player a card on 84.
- 88' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Jonathan Burkardt departs to be replaced by Karim Onisiwo.
- 90' Dominik Kohr has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Augsburg Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
- 8
-
11
Marius Wolf ↓ Yusuf Kabadayi 80'
- 31
-
23
Maximilian Bauer ↓ Steve Mounie 46'
- 9
- 19
-
16
Ruben Vargas ↓ Phillip Tietz 72'
- 13
-
17
Kristijan Jakic ↓ Arne Maier 61'
- 22
Bench
-
15
Steve Mounie ↑ 46'
-
24
Fredrik Jensen ↑ 80'
- 1
-
10
Arne Maier ↑ 61'
-
21
Phillip Tietz ↑ 72'
- 5
- 18
- 44
-
7
Yusuf Kabadayi ↑ 80'
Coach
Jess Thorup
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 88'
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 25
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Aymen Barkok 39'
- 3
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↓ Maxim Leitsch 63'
- 6
Bench
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 88'
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 63'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 39'
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 88'
- 8
- 1
- –
- 44
- 22
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ermedin Demirovic | 4 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 4 |
| Andre Hahn | 4 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Alfred Finnbogason | 3 |
| Lee Jaesung | 3 |
| Ruben Vargas | 3 |
| Florian Niederlechner | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Augsburg Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65
FC Augsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
FC Augsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 75% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
FC Augsburg or Draw
57%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
67%
FC Augsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg
| Handicap | FC Augsburg covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

