Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SG Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 ROUND 1

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
SG Dynamo Dresden
0 – 1
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Mon 18 Aug 2025 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SG Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — DFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
SG Dynamo Dresden 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

SG Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–1 L
09 Aug 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–2 L
03 Aug SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 2–3 L
30 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–3 L
18 Aug TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 2–0 W
29 Jul VfB Stuttgart H 0–1 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
17 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
04 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
SG Dynamo Dresden this season
100% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SG Dynamo Dresden
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Nadiem Amiri 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SG Dynamo Dresden and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.

Lineups

SG Dynamo Dresden Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 SG Dynamo Dresden xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SG Dynamo Dresden28% Draw31% 1. FSV Mainz 0541%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

SG Dynamo Dresden or Draw
59%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%
SG Dynamo Dresden or 1. FSV Mainz 05
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SG Dynamo Dresden20% Draw52% 1. FSV Mainz 0528%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
3.3%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — SG Dynamo Dresden

Handicap SG Dynamo Dresden covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 17% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.