SG Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 ROUND 1

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DFB-Pokal · 2025-26

SG Dynamo Dresden

0 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Mon 18 Aug 2025 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SG Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — DFB-Pokal .

SG Dynamo Dresden 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Florian Badstubner

18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

SG Dynamo Dresden 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

SG Dynamo Dresden

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–1	L
09 Aug	1. FC Magdeburg	H	1–2	L
03 Aug	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	A	2–3	L
30 Oct	SV Darmstadt 98	H	2–3	L
18 Aug	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	H	2–0	W
29 Jul	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–1	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Aug	SG Dynamo Dresden	A	1–0	W
17 May	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D
10 May	VfL Bochum 1848	A	4–1	W
04 May	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D
26 Apr	FC Bayern München	A	0–3	L
19 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	H	2–2	D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)

0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for SG Dynamo Dresden and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

SG Dynamo Dresden Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.96 SG Dynamo Dresden xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SG Dynamo Dresden28% Draw31% 1. FSV Mainz 0541%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.2

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

SG Dynamo Dresden or Draw

59%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

72%

SG Dynamo Dresden or 1. FSV Mainz 05

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SG Dynamo Dresden20% Draw52% 1. FSV Mainz 0528%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

13.4%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.4%

0 – 2

8.2%

1 – 2

7.9%

2 – 1

6.1%

2 – 0

4.9%

2 – 2

3.9%

0 – 3

3.3%

1 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — SG Dynamo Dresden

Handicap	SG Dynamo Dresden covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	17%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	22%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	12%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.