Saturday , 24 October 2026

Charlton Athletic FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC The Valley 16,014 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Charlton Athletic FC vs Derby County FC — League One at The Valley.

Match Details

  • Referee Edward Duckworth (England)
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Bonneywell (England)
  • Assistant 2 Stuart Butler
6 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Derby County FC H 0–1 L
27 Jan Blackpool FC A 1–1 D
23 Jan Northampton Town FC H 2–3 L
20 Jan Burton Albion FC A 0–2 L
13 Jan Peterborough United FC H 1–2 L
06 Jan Port Vale FC A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Charlton Athletic FC A 1–0 W
27 Jan Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
23 Jan Reading FC A 0–1 L
20 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Charlton Athletic FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Charlton Athletic FC or Derby County FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Charlton Athletic FC31% Draw31% Derby County FC38%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Charlton Athletic FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Charlton Athletic FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Charlton Athletic FC22% Draw52% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.7%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Charlton Athletic FC

Handicap Charlton Athletic FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Charlton Athletic FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.