Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Reading FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 23 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Select Car Leasing Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Paul Mukairu 54' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Reading FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Select Car Leasing Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Drysdale
  • Assistant 1 Justin Amey
  • Assistant 2 Stephen Brown

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Derby County FC H 1–0 W
20 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Exeter City FC H 3–2 W
29 Dec Cheltenham Town FC A 2–2 D
26 Dec Peterborough United FC A 2–2 D
23 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Reading FC A 0–1 L
20 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Reading FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
6/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Reading FC
Jack Marriott 8 G
Jacob Brown 2 G
George Earthy 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Select Car Leasing Stadium. Reading FC are looking to make home advantage count against Derby County FC.
  • 5' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Sonny Bradley has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Thomas Barkhuizen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Reading FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 54' Paul Mukairu adds to his 0 season tally! Reading FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 63' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. James Collins departs to be replaced by Tyreece John-Jules.
  • 64' Reading FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Amadou Salif Mbengue is hanging Andy Yiadom on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' Reading FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 73' Amadou Salif Mbengue was booked on 73.
  • 78' Lewis Wing makes way for Clinton Mola at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Reading FC.
  • 79' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sonny Bradley is hanging Conor Hourihane on the field on 79 minute.
  • 84' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 88' The whistle greets Femi Azeez as he departs to be replaced by Kelvin Ehibhationhan.
  • It finishes all square. Reading FC and Derby County FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.41 Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC49% Draw28% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Reading FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Reading FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Reading FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC32% Draw50% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Reading FC

Handicap Reading FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Reading FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.