Thursday , 2 July 2026

Reading FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 23 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Select Car Leasing Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Paul Mukairu 54' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Reading FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Select Car Leasing Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Drysdale
  • Assistant 1 Justin Amey
  • Assistant 2 Stephen Brown

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Derby County FC H 1–0 W
20 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Exeter City FC H 3–2 W
29 Dec Cheltenham Town FC A 2–2 D
26 Dec Peterborough United FC A 2–2 D
23 Dec Wigan Athletic FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jan Reading FC A 0–1 L
20 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Reading FC and Derby County FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Reading FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Reading FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Callum Elder suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' Sam Smith needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 54' GOAL! Paul Mukairu scores on 54.
  • 59' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kane Wilson, as he is very good at scoring at Select Car Leasing Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Tyreece John-Jules. He replaces James Collins on 63 minute.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Amadou Salif Mbengue. He replaces Andy Yiadom on 64 minute.
  • 69' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 73' It’s a booking for Reading FC player. Amadou Salif Mbengue gets a card.
  • 78' Clinton Mola is replacing Lewis Wing for the Reading FC side.
  • 79' Sonny Bradley has so much to prove this time. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 79 minute.
  • 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Thomas Barkhuizen made 385 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 88' Kelvin Ehibhationhan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Femi Azeez on 88 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.41 Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC49% Draw28% Derby County FC23%
Actual: Reading FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Reading FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Reading FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Reading FC32% Draw50% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Reading FC

Handicap Reading FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Reading FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.