Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Mon 15 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 25,580 HT 45' · FT 45'
Thomas Barkhuizen 29' 1–0
James Collins 49' 2–0
2–1 54' Steve Seddon
2–2 65' Joe Hugill
Conor Hourihane 90+3' 3–2

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jan Derby County FC A 2–3 L
06 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
23 Dec Charlton Athletic FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Pride Park Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Derby County FC and Burton Albion FC.
  • 5' Ciaran Gilligan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' James Collins has been relatively quiet despite scoring 91 goals in his last 382 appearances.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 29' What composure from Thomas Barkhuizen! The England international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 34' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Steve Seddon, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 49' The deadlock is broken! James Collins gets on the scoresheet on 49 minutes.
  • 54' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Steve Seddon makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' The referee has no hesitation. Adedeji Oshilaja is booked for Burton Albion FC — card on 64.
  • 65' Magnificent from Joe Hugill! That is 8 goals in 409 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 70' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Derby County FCLouie Sibley on, Callum Elder off on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Burton Albion FC team. Steve Seddon is replaced by Mustapha Carayol on 80 minute.
  • 83' The whistle greets Bez Lubala as he departs to be replaced by Rekeem Harper.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Derby County FCLiam Thompson on, Tyreece John-Jules off on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Thomas Barkhuizen makes way for Sonny Bradley at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Derby County FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC54% Draw24% Burton Albion FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
46%
Derby County FC or Burton Albion FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw44% Burton Albion FC20%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.