Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 15 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Toner
- Assistant 1 Kevin Howick
- Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
5 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.2 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan | Burton Albion FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 06 Jan | Fleetwood Town FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Jan | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Oxford United FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Dec | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Lincoln City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan | Derby County FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Jan | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Dec | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Blackpool FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Dec | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 3 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 3 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Burton Albion FC.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Burton Albion FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' Burton Albion FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' It’s high time Gary Mills made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Burton Albion FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 29' The England Thomas Barkhuizen breaks the deadlock on 29 minutes. 1-0!
- 34' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Burton Albion FC's shape.
- 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bez Lubala suffering a number of foals already.
- 49' James Collins is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
- 54' Brilliant from the ! Steve Seddon makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 54.
- 59' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 64' The referee calls foul for Adedeji Oshilaja. He receives a card.
- 65' What an equalizer from Joe Hugill!
- 70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Mills will be considering his options from the bench.
- 72' Derby County FC ring the changes. Callum Elder has done his job and it is now time for Louie Sibley to step up.
- 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 385 games and scored 434 goals.
- 80' Time for substitution for Burton Albion FC. Steve Seddon is replaced by Mustapha Carayol.
- 83' Burton Albion FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rekeem Harper is hanging Bez Lubala on the field on 83 minute.
- 86' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Tyreece John-Jules departs to be replaced by Liam Thompson.
- 90' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Thomas Barkhuizen exits the field as Sonny Bradley enters on 90.
- 3-2 the final result. Burton Albion FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 11
- 4
- 2
- 35
- 31
- 9
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Louie Sibley 72'
- 19
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 23
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 90'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 72'
- 22
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 86'
- 1
- 39
Coach
Paul Warne
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 11
- 12
- 2
- 6
-
3
Steve Seddon ↓ Mustapha Carayol 80'
- 1
- 22
- 25
- 4
-
15
Bez Lubala ↓ Rekeem Harper 83'
Bench
-
8
Rekeem Harper ↑ 83'
- 30
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↑ 80'
- 38
- 17
- 40
- 44
Coach
Gary Mills
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Joe Hugill | 1 |
| Victor Adeboyejo | 1 |
| David McGoldrick | 1 |
| Conor Washington | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
| Steve Seddon | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2024-01-15
Derby County FC
3–2
Burton Albion FC
W
2024-01-06
Fleetwood Town FC
1–3
Derby County FC
W
2024-01-01
Derby County FC
2–3
Peterborough United FC
L
2023-12-29
Oxford United FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2023-12-26
Wigan Athletic FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2023-12-21
Derby County FC
3–1
Lincoln City FC
W
Burton Albion FC Form
2024-01-15
Derby County FC
3–2
Burton Albion FC
L
2024-01-06
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Wycombe Wanderers FC
D
2024-01-01
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-12-29
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
2023-12-26
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Blackpool FC
W
2023-12-23
Charlton Athletic FC
1–1
Burton Albion FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
46%
Derby County FC or Burton Albion FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.