Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Mon 15 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 25,580 HT 45' · FT 45'
Thomas Barkhuizen 29' 1–0
James Collins 49' 2–0
2–1 54' Steve Seddon
2–2 65' Joe Hugill
Conor Hourihane 90+3' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Howick
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
4 games this season 🟨 5.5/game ⚽ 12.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jan Derby County FC A 2–3 L
06 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
23 Dec Charlton Athletic FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 2 G 1 A
Finn Delap 2 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC54% Draw24% Burton Albion FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
46%
Derby County FC or Burton Albion FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw44% Burton Albion FC20%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.