Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Burton Albion FC 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Toner
- Assistant 1 Kevin Howick
- Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
4 games this season
🟨 5.5/game
⚽ 12.5 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan | Burton Albion FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 06 Jan | Fleetwood Town FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Jan | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Oxford United FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Dec | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Lincoln City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan | Derby County FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Jan | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jan | Bolton Wanderers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Dec | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Blackpool FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Dec | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season
Burton Albion FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Burton Albion FC
| Jack Armer | 2 G | 1 A |
| Finn Delap | 2 G | |
| Matthew Dennis | 1 G | |
| Kgaogelo Chauke | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Steve Seddon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 34 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Burton Albion FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' Thomas Barkhuizen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 29' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Thomas Barkhuizen on 29.
- 34' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burton Albion FC backline.
- 39' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Burton Albion FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 44' Burton Albion FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 49' James Collins adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 54' A goal from the England international Steve Seddon! He fires home on 54 to make it 2-1!
- 59' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 64' The referee shows Burton Albion FC player a card on 64.
- 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Joe Hugill makes it 2-2.
- 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 72' Derby County FC ring the changes. Callum Elder has done his job and it is now time for Louie Sibley to step up.
- 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burton Albion FC that had 379 games and scored 428 goals.
- 80' Time for substitution for Burton Albion FC. Steve Seddon is replaced by Mustapha Carayol.
- 83' Bez Lubala makes way for Rekeem Harper at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burton Albion FC.
- 86' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Tyreece John-Jules is replaced by Liam Thompson.
- 90' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sonny Bradley is hanging Thomas Barkhuizen on the field on 90 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Derby County FC 3-2 Burton Albion FC.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 11
- 4
- 2
- 35
- 31
- 9
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Louie Sibley 72'
- 19
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 23
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 90'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 72'
- 22
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 86'
- 1
- 39
Coach
Paul Warne
Burton Albion FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 11
- 12
- 2
- 6
-
3
Steve Seddon ↓ Mustapha Carayol 80'
- 1
- 22
- 25
- 4
-
15
Bez Lubala ↓ Rekeem Harper 83'
Bench
-
8
Rekeem Harper ↑ 83'
- 30
-
21
Mustapha Carayol ↑ 80'
- 38
- 17
- 40
- 44
Coach
Gary Mills
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Conor Hourihane | 2 |
| Victor Adeboyejo | 1 |
| David McGoldrick | 1 |
| Conor Washington | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
| Steve Seddon | 1 |
| Joe Hugill | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2024-01-15
Derby County FC
3–2
Burton Albion FC
W
2024-01-06
Fleetwood Town FC
1–3
Derby County FC
W
2024-01-01
Derby County FC
2–3
Peterborough United FC
L
2023-12-29
Oxford United FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2023-12-26
Wigan Athletic FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2023-12-21
Derby County FC
3–1
Lincoln City FC
W
Burton Albion FC Form
2024-01-15
Derby County FC
3–2
Burton Albion FC
L
2024-01-06
Burton Albion FC
1–1
Wycombe Wanderers FC
D
2024-01-01
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–0
Burton Albion FC
L
2023-12-29
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
2023-12-26
Burton Albion FC
1–0
Blackpool FC
W
2023-12-23
Charlton Athletic FC
1–1
Burton Albion FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
46%
Derby County FC or Burton Albion FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Burton Albion FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

