Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Mon 15 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 25,580 HT 45' · FT 45'
Thomas Barkhuizen 29' 1–0
James Collins 49' 2–0
2–1 54' Steve Seddon
2–2 65' Joe Hugill
Conor Hourihane 90+3' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Burton Albion FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Howick
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Jan Derby County FC A 2–3 L
06 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
23 Dec Charlton Athletic FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Pride Park Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Burton Albion FC.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burton Albion FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Eiran Cashin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 27 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' It looks surprising Burton Albion FC does not make any changes. Tyreece John-Jules has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' What a strike from Thomas Barkhuizen! The score is 1-0.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' Burton Albion FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 49' GOAL! James Collins scores on 49. Assisted by Thomas Barkhuizen
  • 54' What a strike from Steve Seddon! The score is 2-1.
  • 59' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mason Bennett, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 64' Adedeji Oshilaja is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
  • 65' What an equalizer from Joe Hugill!
  • 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 72' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Callum Elder is replaced by Louie Sibley on 72 minute.
  • 77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Mustapha Carayol. He replaces Steve Seddon on 80 minute.
  • 83' Rekeem Harper is replacing Bez Lubala for the Burton Albion FC side.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Liam Thompson. He replaces Tyreece John-Jules on 86 minute.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Sonny Bradley. He replaces Thomas Barkhuizen on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Burton Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC54% Draw24% Burton Albion FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Burton Albion FC
46%
Derby County FC or Burton Albion FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw44% Burton Albion FC20%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Burton Albion FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.