Thursday , 2 July 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 20 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Sincil Bank Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lincoln City FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Sincil Bank Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Yates
  • Assistant 1 Anthony Da Costa
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Smith (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jan Derby County FC H 0–0 D
13 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
29 Dec Northampton Town FC H 1–2 L
26 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
21 Dec Derby County FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Sincil Bank Stadium that hosts another battle between Lincoln City FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Lincoln City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Lincoln City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' It looks surprising Lincoln City FC does not make any changes. Joe Taylor has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eiran Cashin, as he is very good at scoring at Sincil Bank Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 60' Louie Sibley has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 65' Lincoln City FC is showing some good football. However, Lincoln City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kane Wilson made 65 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 75' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 80' Ethan Erhahon needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
  • 85' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • The final score is 0-0.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC32% Draw32% Derby County FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Derby County FC
68%
Lincoln City FC or Derby County FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC22% Draw53% Derby County FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.