Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fleetwood Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 12:30 UTC Highbury Stadium 4,045 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–2 45+1' James Collins
Jayden Stockley 76' 1–2
1–3 90' Thomas Barkhuizen
Josh Vela 31' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fleetwood Town FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Highbury Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Speedie (England)
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Sowerby (England)
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Mulraine
3 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Derby County FC H 1–3 L
01 Jan Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–3 L
29 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Carlisle United FC H 1–1 D
23 Dec Portsmouth FC A 1–1 D
16 Dec Peterborough United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fleetwood Town FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Thomas Barkhuizen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 27' A stunning finish from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 31' Controversy at the stadium! Josh Vela argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 36' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Conor Hourihane made 355 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' The deadlock is broken! James Collins gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Craig Forsyth departs to be replaced by Callum Elder.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Fleetwood Town FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 56' Callum Dolan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 61' Fleetwood Town FC make a change. Jack Marriott trudges off to be replaced by Junior Quitirna on 61 minutes.
  • 63' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Tyreece John-Jules by Thomas Barkhuizen on 63 minute.
  • 68' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 70' Another substitution for Fleetwood Town FC to replace Phoenix Patterson by Promise Omochere on 70 minute.
  • 73' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. James Collins gets a card.
  • 76' Jayden Stockley has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
  • 80' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. James Collins is replaced by Liam Thompson on 80 minute.
  • 85' A quiet spell here at Highbury Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 86' Ronan Coughlan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Josh Vela on 86 minute.
  • 90' The England Thomas Barkhuizen breaks the deadlock on 90 minutes. 1-3!
  • 90' The whistle greets Conor Hourihane as he departs to be replaced by Tyrese Fornah.
  • The points are shared — Fleetwood Town FC 1-3 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Fleetwood Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fleetwood Town FC27% Draw29% Derby County FC44%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Fleetwood Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
73%
Fleetwood Town FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fleetwood Town FC20% Draw49% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
10.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Fleetwood Town FC

Handicap Fleetwood Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Fleetwood Town FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.