Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fleetwood Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 12:30 UTC Highbury Stadium 4,045 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–2 45+1' James Collins
Jayden Stockley 76' 1–2
1–3 90' Thomas Barkhuizen
Josh Vela 31' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fleetwood Town FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Highbury Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Speedie (England)
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Sowerby (England)
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Mulraine

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Derby County FC H 1–3 L
01 Jan Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–3 L
29 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Carlisle United FC H 1–1 D
23 Dec Portsmouth FC A 1–1 D
16 Dec Peterborough United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Lincoln City FC H 3–1 W
16 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Fleetwood Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fleetwood Town FC27% Draw29% Derby County FC44%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Fleetwood Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
73%
Fleetwood Town FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fleetwood Town FC20% Draw49% Derby County FC31%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
10.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
8.3%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Fleetwood Town FC

Handicap Fleetwood Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Fleetwood Town FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.