Thursday , 2 July 2026

Charlton Athletic FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 6 Aug 2022 · 14:00 UTC The Valley, Charlton HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Derby County FC H 1–0 W
30 Jul Accrington Stanley FC A 2–2 D
30 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 0–4 L
23 Apr Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–0 W
19 Apr Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
15 Apr Morecambe FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 0–1 L
30 Jul Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
07 May Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
30 Apr Blackpool FC A 2–0 W
23 Apr Bristol City FC H 1–3 L
18 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.34 Charlton Athletic FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Charlton Athletic FC50% Draw28% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Charlton Athletic FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Charlton Athletic FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
50%
Charlton Athletic FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Charlton Athletic FC31% Draw52% Derby County FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Charlton Athletic FC

Handicap Charlton Athletic FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Charlton Athletic FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.