Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Cheltenham Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,014 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 50' Liam Sercombe
Max Bird 60' 1–1
James Collins 81' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Cheltenham Town FC H 2–1 W
23 Jan Reading FC A 0–1 L
20 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Derby County FC A 1–2 L
23 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
06 Jan Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Northampton Town FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Reading FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Derby County FC is hosting Cheltenham Town FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Darrell Clarke will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Will Ferry suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Curtis Davies has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 35' Cheltenham Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' Cheltenham Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aidan Keena is hanging Robert Street on the field on 46 minute.
  • 50' What a strike from Liam Sercombe! The score is 0-1.
  • 55' Lewis Freestone was booked on 55.
  • 60' GOAL! Max Bird scores on 60.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Thomas Barkhuizen is replaced by Sonny Bradley on 63 minute.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Corey Blackett-Taylor as he leaves the pitch. Liam Thompson steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 65' Cheltenham Town FC make a change. Elliot Bonds trudges off to be replaced by Josh Harrop on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Sean Long has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
  • 75' Supporters expect more eagerness from Louie Sibley, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 3 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 77' Cheltenham Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Curtis Thompson is hanging Tom Pett on the field on 77 minute.
  • 81' James Collins does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
  • 84' Cheltenham Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nathan Butler-Oyedeji is hanging Will Ferry on the field on 84 minute.
  • 89' Kane Wilson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
  • Cheltenham Town FC will have plenty to reflect on. Derby County FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC53% Draw25% Cheltenham Town FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
47%
Derby County FC or Cheltenham Town FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC35% Draw46% Cheltenham Town FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.