Friday , 11 September 2026

CR Vasco da Gama vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 12 Mar 2026 · 22:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CR Vasco da Gama vs SE PalmeirasSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar SE Palmeiras H 2–1 W
26 Feb Santos FC A 1–2 L
12 Feb EC Bahia H 0–1 L
05 Feb Chapecoense AF H 1–1 D
29 Jan Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
07 Dec CA Mineiro A 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
26 Feb Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
13 Feb SC Internacional A 3–1 W
05 Feb EC Vitoria H 5–1 W
28 Jan CA Mineiro A 2–2 D
07 Dec Ceará SC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

CR Vasco da Gama SE Palmeiras
#18 Position #2
25 Points 53
25 Played 26
6 / 7 / 12 W / D / L 15 / 8 / 3
27 Scored 45
40 Conceded 21
-13 GD +24
1.00 PPG 2.04
24% Win % 58%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
38% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

CR Vasco da Gama are 18th (25 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
2/6
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 4 G 2 A
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Allan 4 G 3 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 2 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CR Vasco da Gama Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.89 CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CR Vasco da Gama22% Draw27% SE Palmeiras51%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
49%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
78%
CR Vasco da Gama or SE Palmeiras
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CR Vasco da Gama14% Draw45% SE Palmeiras41%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 1
11.3%
0 – 2
10.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 3
6.4%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 4
2.9%
1 – 4
2.7%

Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama

Handicap CR Vasco da Gama covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 24% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 18% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
17%
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.