Sunday , 16 August 2026

CA Mineiro vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
R 31' Hugo Moura

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs CR Vasco da GamaSerie A at Mineirao.

Match Details

  • Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CR Vasco da Gama H 5–0 W
04 Dec SE Palmeiras H 0–3 L
30 Nov Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 1–1 D
16 Nov RB Bragantino A 0–2 L
12 Nov Fortaleza EC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CA Mineiro A 0–5 L
02 Dec Mirassol FC H 0–2 L
28 Nov SC Internacional H 5–1 W
23 Nov EC Bahia A 0–1 L
20 Nov Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
08 Nov EC Juventude H 1–3 L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro CR Vasco da Gama
#11 Position #18
29 Points 22
21 Played 21
8 / 5 / 8 W / D / L 5 / 7 / 9
27 Scored 23
27 Conceded 31
+0 GD -8
1.38 PPG 1.05
38% Win % 24%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 18th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/4
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 4 G 2 A
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. CA Mineiro kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' CR Vasco da Gama have won 288 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 18' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Junior Alonso makes it 1-0.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 31' A moment of madness from Hugo Moura on 31 minutes earns him a card. CR Vasco da Gama will be frustrated.
  • 32' GOAL! Hulk fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 35' It is a substitution in CR Vasco da Gama team. Pablo Vegetti is replaced by Leandro Viana on 35 minute.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 49' Dudu has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 54' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Rony is withdrawn and Gustavo Scarpa gets his opportunity.
  • 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and CR Vasco da Gama are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 66' Lucas Freitas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Dudu makes it 4-0.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Alexsander Gomes. He replaces Bernard on 70 minute.
  • 72' A change in the CR Vasco da Gama ranks — Matheus Franca exits the field as Guilherme Estrella enters on 72.
  • 75' Victor Luis has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
  • 78' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Dudu is replaced by Tomas Cuello.
  • 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fernando Diniz will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 88' The travelling CR Vasco da Gama supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • The final score is 5-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: CA Mineiro to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro60% Draw23% CR Vasco da Gama17%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
82%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
40%
CA Mineiro or CR Vasco da Gama
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro44% Draw42% CR Vasco da Gama14%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
3 – 0
7%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 19% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 23% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
40%
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.