Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
R 31' Hugo Moura

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Mineirao.

Match Details

  • Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CR Vasco da Gama H 5–0 W
04 Dec SE Palmeiras H 0–3 L
30 Nov Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 1–1 D
16 Nov RB Bragantino A 0–2 L
12 Nov Fortaleza EC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CA Mineiro A 0–5 L
02 Dec Mirassol FC H 0–2 L
28 Nov SC Internacional H 5–1 W
23 Nov EC Bahia A 0–1 L
20 Nov Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
08 Nov EC Juventude H 1–3 L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro CR Vasco da Gama
#7 Position #16
40 Points 31
27 Played 27
11 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 12
36 Scored 34
32 Conceded 41
+4 GD -7
1.48 PPG 1.15
41% Win % 30%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 16th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! CA Mineiro vs CR Vasco da Gama — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fernando Diniz might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' CR Vasco da Gama started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' CR Vasco da Gama have won 292 goals from 293 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 18' Junior Alonso does the damage! The net is bulging and CA Mineiro surge ahead!
  • 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and CR Vasco da Gama are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 28' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Alan Franco has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 31' Hugo Moura has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 31.
  • 32' What composure from Hulk! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 35' Another change for CR Vasco da Gama made on 35 minute. Pablo Vegetti leaves to be changed by Leandro Viana.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Pablo Vegetti has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 49' Assisted by Hulk with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dudu makes no mistake. 3-0!
  • 54' Lucas Oliveira is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CR Vasco da Gama so far.
  • 56' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 56 minute. Rony leaves to be changed by Gustavo Scarpa.
  • 61' Hugo Moura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 29 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CR Vasco da Gama winning 0% of all matches.
  • 69' Dudu has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 69 minutes.
  • 70' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 70 minute. Bernard leaves to be changed by Alexsander Gomes.
  • 72' Guilherme Estrella has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheus Franca on 72 minute.
  • 75' Victor Luis has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
  • 78' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Dudu departs to be replaced by Tomas Cuello.
  • 83' Vitor Hugo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 88' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 5-0 the final result. CR Vasco da Gama will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: CA Mineiro to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro60% Draw23% CR Vasco da Gama17%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
82%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
40%
CA Mineiro or CR Vasco da Gama
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro44% Draw42% CR Vasco da Gama14%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 19% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 23% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.