Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Mineiro vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
R 31' Hugo Moura

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs CR Vasco da GamaSerie A at Mineirao.

Match Details

  • Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CR Vasco da Gama H 5–0 W
04 Dec SE Palmeiras H 0–3 L
30 Nov Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 1–1 D
16 Nov RB Bragantino A 0–2 L
12 Nov Fortaleza EC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CA Mineiro A 0–5 L
02 Dec Mirassol FC H 0–2 L
28 Nov SC Internacional H 5–1 W
23 Nov EC Bahia A 0–1 L
20 Nov Grêmio FBPA A 0–2 L
08 Nov EC Juventude H 1–3 L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro CR Vasco da Gama
#9 Position #17
24 Points 20
18 Played 18
7 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 8
22 Scored 22
23 Conceded 29
-1 GD -7
1.33 PPG 1.11
39% Win % 28%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
17% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 17th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/
31-45
2/3
46-60
/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A
CR Vasco da Gama
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against CA Mineiro and CR Vasco da Gama has kicked off!
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and CR Vasco da Gama are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' CR Vasco da Gama fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fernando Diniz might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 18' Assisted by Rony with the perfectly-timed delivery and Junior Alonso makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 23' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 28' CR Vasco da Gama have won 287 goals from 287 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 31' It’s gonna be a card for Hugo Moura.
  • 32' Brilliant from the forward! Hulk makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 32.
  • 35' Leandro Viana has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pablo Vegetti on 35 minute.
  • 40' Daniel Fuzato has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 527 appearances.
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fernando Diniz will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 49' The deadlock is broken! Dudu gets on the scoresheet on 49 minutes.
  • 54' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' The whistle greets Rony as he departs to be replaced by Gustavo Scarpa.
  • 61' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Pablo Vegetti has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 69' The Brazil Dudu breaks the deadlock on 69 minutes. 4-0!
  • 70' The whistle greets Bernard as he departs to be replaced by Alexsander Gomes.
  • 72' It is a substitution in CR Vasco da Gama team. Matheus Franca is replaced by Guilherme Estrella on 72 minute.
  • 75' What a strike from Victor Luis! The score is 4-1.
  • 78' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Dudu is replaced by Tomas Cuello on 78 minute.
  • 83' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 88' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • Another three points for CA Mineiro.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: CA Mineiro to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro59% Draw23% CR Vasco da Gama18%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
82%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
41%
CA Mineiro or CR Vasco da Gama
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro44% Draw42% CR Vasco da Gama14%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.4%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 19% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 23% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
38%
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.