CA Mineiro vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- CR Vasco da Gama 27 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 5–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | CA Mineiro | A | 0–5 | L |
| 02 Dec | Mirassol FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | SC Internacional | H | 5–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | CR Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #16 |
| 40 | Points | 31 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 7 / 12 |
| 36 | Scored | 34 |
| 32 | Conceded | 41 |
| +4 | GD | -7 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 41% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
19%
Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
CR Vasco da Gama this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 16th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
CR Vasco da Gama
| Carlos Gomez | 5 G | 3 A |
| Thiago Mendes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Cauan Lucas | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! CA Mineiro vs CR Vasco da Gama — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fernando Diniz might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' CR Vasco da Gama started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' CR Vasco da Gama have won 292 goals from 293 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 18' Junior Alonso does the damage! The net is bulging and CA Mineiro surge ahead!
- 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Mineiro and CR Vasco da Gama are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 28' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Alan Franco has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 31' Hugo Moura has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 31.
- 32' What composure from Hulk! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 35' Another change for CR Vasco da Gama made on 35 minute. Pablo Vegetti leaves to be changed by Leandro Viana.
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' Pablo Vegetti has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
- 49' Assisted by Hulk with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dudu makes no mistake. 3-0!
- 54' Lucas Oliveira is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CR Vasco da Gama so far.
- 56' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 56 minute. Rony leaves to be changed by Gustavo Scarpa.
- 61' Hugo Moura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 29 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CR Vasco da Gama winning 0% of all matches.
- 69' Dudu has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 69 minutes.
- 70' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 70 minute. Bernard leaves to be changed by Alexsander Gomes.
- 72' Guilherme Estrella has so much to prove this time. He replaces Matheus Franca on 72 minute.
- 75' Victor Luis has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
- 78' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Dudu departs to be replaced by Tomas Cuello.
- 83' Vitor Hugo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 88' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 5-0 the final result. CR Vasco da Gama will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
33
Rony ↓ Gustavo Scarpa 56'
- 17
-
92
Dudu ↓ Tomas Cuello 78'
-
11
Bernard ↓ Alexsander Gomes 70'
- 6
- 13
-
14
Vitor Hugo ↓ Ruan 70'
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↓ Gabriel Menino 70'
- 21
- 7
Bench
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 56'
- 38
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↑ 78'
- 18
-
16
Ruan ↑ 70'
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 70'
- 2
- 1
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↑ 70'
- 42
- 23
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
CR Vasco da Gama Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
David ↓ Jose Rodriguez 72'
- 12
- 13
-
3
Tche Tche ↓ Gabriel Sousa 72'
- 25
- 43
-
99
Pablo Vegetti ↓ Leandro Viana 35'
- 29
- 9
- 18
- 85
Bench
- 23
-
2
Jose Rodriguez ↑ 72'
- 15
- 30
- 11
- 88
-
19
Gabriel Sousa ↑ 72'
- 37
- 90
-
14
Guilherme Estrella ↑ 72'
-
66
Leandro Viana ↑ 35'
- 36
Coach
Fernando Diniz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yago Pikachu | 3 |
| Hulk | 3 |
| Gabriel Pec | 2 |
| Romulo Otero | 2 |
| Pablo Vegetti | 2 |
| German Cano | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Elias | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
82%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
40%
CA Mineiro or CR Vasco da Gama
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–0 not predicted5 – 0Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | CR Vasco da Gama covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

