Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SE Palmeiras vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 1 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
28 Sep EC Bahia A 0–1 L
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 4–1 W
13 Sep SC Internacional H 4–1 W
31 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
25 Aug SC Recife H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
27 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 2–0 W
24 Sep EC Bahia H 3–1 W
21 Sep CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
14 Sep Ceará SC H 2–2 D
31 Aug SC Recife A 3–2 W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras CR Vasco da Gama
#2 Position #16
57 Points 31
28 Played 27
16 / 9 / 3 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 12
47 Scored 34
21 Conceded 41
+26 GD -7
2.04 PPG 1.15
57% Win % 30%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 16th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A
CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. SE Palmeiras host CR Vasco da Gama — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and CR Vasco da Gama are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 6' Jose Manuel Lopez makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
  • 11' CR Vasco da Gama has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 16' CR Vasco da Gama started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 16.
  • 18' A stunning finish from Jose Manuel Lopez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 23' Over 23 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 24' Brilliant from the ! Vitor Roque makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 24.
  • 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SE Palmeiras and CR Vasco da Gama are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 39' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past CR Vasco da Gama's compact .
  • 49' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Murilo Cerqueira made 356 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' CR Vasco da Gama receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 61' Carlos Gomez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nuno Moreira on 61 minute.
  • 66' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Ramon Sosa on, Raphael Veiga off on 66 minutes.
  • 67' It is a substitution in CR Vasco da Gama team. Pablo Vegetti is replaced by David on 67 minute.
  • 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 76' Vitor Roque makes way for Bruno Rodrigues at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
  • 79' Tucurui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Oliveira at the 79 minute mark.
  • 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Anibal Moreno.
  • 82' Allan is replacing Andreas Pereira for the SE Palmeiras side.
  • 87' SE Palmeiras currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • Full Time. SE Palmeiras beats CR Vasco da Gama

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.33 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras72% Draw18% CR Vasco da Gama10%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
90%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
28%
SE Palmeiras or CR Vasco da Gama
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras54% Draw39% CR Vasco da Gama7%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.7%
1 – 0
12.6%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 1
7.9%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.4%
4 – 0
6.4%
4 – 1
3.8%
5 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
2.6%
2 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 30% — 70%
-2 30% 22% 47%
-1.5 53% — 47%
-1 53% 23% 24%
-0.5 76% — 24%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.