Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CR Vasco da Gama vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 4 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Arena BRB Mane Garrincha HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CR Vasco da Gama vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena BRB Mane Garrincha.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May SE Palmeiras H 0–1 L
27 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
19 Apr CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
16 Apr Ceará SC A 1–2 L
13 Apr SC Recife H 3–1 W
05 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May CR Vasco da Gama A 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Bahia H 0–1 L
20 Apr Fortaleza EC A 2–1 W
16 Apr SC Internacional A 1–0 W
12 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–0 W
06 Apr SC Recife A 2–1 W

Season Stats

CR Vasco da Gama SE Palmeiras
#16 Position #2
31 Points 57
27 Played 28
8 / 7 / 12 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 3
34 Scored 47
41 Conceded 21
-7 GD +26
1.15 PPG 2.04
30% Win % 57%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

CR Vasco da Gama are 16th (31 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. CR Vasco da Gama kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 393 games and scored 590 goals.
  • 15' Leo Jardim is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 50% of all matches.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Facundo Torres Perez, as he is very good at scoring at Arena BRB Mane Garrincha with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' SE Palmeiras fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Abel Ferreira might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 40' Brazil international Tche Tche has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 42' The CR Vasco da Gama manager makes a substitution. Lucas Freitas departs to be replaced by Luiz Gustavo.
  • 47' SE Palmeiras is showing some good football. However, SE Palmeiras are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 51' The referee shows CR Vasco da Gama player a card on 51.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 58' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Paulo Henrique on 58 minutes.
  • 60' The Brazil Vitor Roque breaks the deadlock on 60 minutes. 0-1!
  • 60' The crowd applauds Felipe Anderson as he leaves the pitch. Allan steps in for SE Palmeiras.
  • 65' The home supporters are growing impatient. CR Vasco da Gama must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 67' Adson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tche Tche on 67 minute.
  • 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
  • 75' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Vitor Roque is replaced by Jose Manuel Lopez.
  • 80' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jose Manuel Lopez scoring 2 goals.
  • 81' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Estevao has done his job and it is now time for Lucas Evangelista to step up.
  • 82' SE Palmeiras manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Anibal Moreno is hanging Richard Rios on the field on 82 minute.
  • 83' The whistle greets Tucurui as he departs to be replaced by Alex Teixeira.
  • 88' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • CR Vasco da Gama will have plenty to reflect on. SE Palmeiras were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.67 CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CR Vasco da Gama18% Draw27% SE Palmeiras55%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
45%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
82%
CR Vasco da Gama or SE Palmeiras
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CR Vasco da Gama12% Draw50% SE Palmeiras38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.2%
0 – 2
12.5%
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 3
6.3%
1 – 0
6.3%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 4
2.4%
2 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama

Handicap CR Vasco da Gama covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 11% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 26% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 18% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
51% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.